{"id":48667,"date":"2017-02-01T18:48:22","date_gmt":"2017-02-01T15:48:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=48667"},"modified":"2017-02-01T18:54:08","modified_gmt":"2017-02-01T15:54:08","slug":"cetin-unsalan-ihracat-yoksa-issizlik-var","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-ihracat-yoksa-issizlik-var\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u0130hracat yoksa, i\u015fsizlik var"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>A\u00e7\u0131klanan ihracat rakamlar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye b\u00fcy\u00fck bir uyar\u0131 veriyor; ama biz yine g\u00f6nl\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc avutman\u0131n pe\u015findeyiz. 2023\u2019te 500 milyar dolar hedefiyle yola \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k. Do\u011fru hesaplama y\u00f6ntemleriyle birlikte dahi, 2023\u2019te 400 miyar dolar\u0131 dahi yakalayamayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ortadayd\u0131.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2094935573\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131\u00e7ramalar ancak ger\u00e7ekten yeni bir \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131na sunmakla m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Y\u0131llarca \u00fcretim kabiliyeti katledilen reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn ar-ge yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. \u00d6te yandan ithalata teslim edilen bir i\u00e7 piyasa, \u00fcretimin yap\u0131s\u0131ndan do\u011fan sakatl\u0131\u011f\u0131n giderilmemesi gibi ger\u00e7ekler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde duruyordu; halen de duruyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ticaret yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z kom\u015fular\u0131m\u0131zla, d\u0131\u015f siyasetten kaynaklanan hatalar ve d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131nda korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da y\u00fckselten daralma, kutuplar aras\u0131ndaki kavga olaylar\u0131 daha da i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmaz noktaya getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi 12 ayl\u0131k dilimde 143 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracata seviniyoruz. Elbette mutlu olal\u0131m; lakin buradan y\u00fckselen tehlikeyi de birilerini mutlu etmek ad\u0131na g\u00f6rmezden gelmeyelim. 13 Haziran 2012 tarihinde Resmi Gazete\u2019de yay\u0131mlanan bir metin var.<\/p>\n<p>2023 T\u00fcrkiye \u0130hracat Stratejisi ve Eylem Plan\u0131&#8230; Bu plan\u0131n resmi hedeflerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonunda 292 milyar dolarl\u0131k d\u0131\u015f sat\u0131m\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015f olmam\u0131z gerekiyordu. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda hedef 150 milyar dolard\u0131; 2015 \u015fubat ay\u0131nda da Bakan155,5 milyar dolar a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Sadece bu cepheden bile baksan\u0131z ilk plandaki sapma y\u00fczde 100. Geli\u015fmeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki hedefin de y\u00fczde 8 civar\u0131nda gerisindeyiz. T\u0130M, 2023\u2019teki 500 milyar dolar hedefini ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde 375 milyar dolar olarak revize etti.<\/p>\n<p>Geriye kald\u0131 7 sene ve yine y\u00fczde 100\u2019den fazla bir s\u0131\u00e7rama yarat\u0131p, bunu yakalayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00c7ok net ki bu da iyimser ve daha sonra muhtemelen revize edilecek bir hedef.<\/p>\n<p>Peki ama bunlar sadece rakam m\u0131? \u0130\u00e7 piyasas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kapt\u0131ran ve ele ge\u00e7irse bile, t\u00fcketimi finanse edecek kayna\u011f\u0131n kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir yap\u0131 var. D\u00f6viz bor\u00e7lusu reel sekt\u00f6r a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda, \u00fclkenin dolar ihtiyac\u0131na da bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan para gelmesi gerekiyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2422905198\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>S\u0131cak paran\u0131n gelmeyece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131k. K\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 oranda gelse de maliyetinin kar\u015f\u0131lanamaz boyutta y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Bu da yine ihtiyac\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamayacak. E\u011fer bir an \u00f6nce kom\u015fular\u0131m\u0131zla aray\u0131 d\u00fczeltmez, yeniden ticaret yapabilir bir g\u00fcven ortam\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturamazsak i\u015fimiz zor.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca bunu sa\u011flasak bile hasar b\u00fcy\u00fck. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada bir iktisadi daralma geliyor. Ama en az\u0131ndan olumsuzluk azal\u0131r. Bunu yapamazsak, T\u00fcrk reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6nd\u00fcrebilecek bir i\u00e7 piyasa ve finansman modeline sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in g\u00fcndemimiz i\u015fsizlik olacak.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte kendimizi \u0131skalanm\u0131\u015f hedefleri ve bunun nedenlerini g\u00f6rmezden gelip, avutaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131za, bir an \u00f6nce sorunla y\u00fczle\u015fip, yakla\u015fan dev i\u015fsizlik dalgas\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015fmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Aksi takdirde iki \u015fey bol olacak. Kapanan firma ve i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3348430830\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A\u00e7\u0131klanan ihracat rakamlar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye b\u00fcy\u00fck bir uyar\u0131 veriyor; ama biz yine g\u00f6nl\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc avutman\u0131n pe\u015findeyiz. 2023\u2019te 500 milyar dolar hedefiyle yola \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k. Do\u011fru hesaplama y\u00f6ntemleriyle birlikte&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-48667","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48667","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48667"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48667\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48667"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48667"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48667"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}