{"id":4855,"date":"2011-09-09T08:00:36","date_gmt":"2011-09-09T05:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=4855"},"modified":"2011-09-09T09:21:50","modified_gmt":"2011-09-09T06:21:50","slug":"kuresel-belirsizlik-ve-biz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kuresel-belirsizlik-ve-biz\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;K\u00fcresel Belirsizlik&#8221; ve Biz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Yapt\u0131klar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda d\u00fcn Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Thicet ile, Ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ali Babacan, &#8220;K\u00fcresel belirsizlik&#8221; konusunda birle\u015firlerken, Babacan, &#8220;\u0130kinci dip ihtimalinin&#8221; artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi. Babacan, bizim ekonomimizle ilgili de\u011ferlendirmesinde ise &#8220;Her t\u00fcrl\u00fc senaryoya haz\u0131r&#8221; olduklar\u0131n\u0131 belirtip k\u0131sa vadede ve uzun vade de uygulanmas\u0131 gereken reformlardan s\u00f6z etti.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1177253684\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131 Tr\u0131chet, d\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131da faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyeceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. K\u00fcresel durumu de\u011ferlendirirken \u00e7ok \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde, &#8220;K\u00fcresel ekonomide \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck belirsizlik var&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131. D\u00fcn kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 televizyon program\u0131nda Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ali Babacan da &#8221; D\u00fcnyada ciddi bir belirsizlik s\u00f6z konusu, genel tablo pek i\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesiyle paralel bir yorum yapt\u0131. Ancak Babacan, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki bu belirsizli\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 &#8220;Her t\u00fcrl\u00fc senaryoya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu&#8221; belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Ali Babacan, bir ay kadar \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131lar\u0131ndan sonra, d\u00fcn de uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ayr\u0131ca, bu d\u00f6nemde 3-4 ay \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel ikinci dip riskinin ihtimalinin daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Liderlerin kendi gelecekleri ya da siyasi partilerinin geleceklerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeden, \u00fclkelerinin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in en do\u011fru kararlar\u0131 alacak harekette bulunmalar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fru olaca\u011f\u0131 da Ali Babacan taraf\u0131ndan alt\u0131 \u00e7izilen konu oldu.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel belirsizli\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, resesyon ihtimalinin g\u00fcndemde oldu\u011fu, bu d\u00f6nemde bizim her t\u00fcrl\u00fc senaryoya haz\u0131r olmam\u0131z\u0131 belirten Ali Babacan, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin izleyece\u011fi yolu \u015f\u00f6yle tan\u0131ml\u0131yor:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Bundan sonraki geli\u015fmelere ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma veya gev\u015fetme her t\u00fcrl\u00fc politikalar\u0131 belirleyebiliriz. Emniyetli bir duru\u015f i\u00e7in para politikalar\u0131nda belki biraz rahat, ama \u00f6te yandan da sa\u011flam bir kamu maliyesi duru\u015fu benimsememiz s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Yani para politikalar\u0131nda gev\u015feme varke, ayn\u0131 anda maliye politikalar\u0131nda da gev\u015feme o bizi \u00e7\u0131k riskli bir tablo ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakabilir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla dengeyi \u00e7ok iyi kurmam\u0131z gerekir. Bu d\u00f6nemde hi\u00e7bir \u015feyi otomatik pilota ba\u011flayamay\u0131z. Yani kumanda manuel olmak zorunda.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Bu i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131na geli\u015fmeli s\u00fcrekli yak\u0131ndan izleme g\u00f6revini y\u00fckleyecektir. Ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin ise &#8220;Belirsizli\u011fi azalt\u0131c\u0131, s\u00fcrekli olarak yapacaklar\u0131n\u0131n bilgisini topluma duyurucu ve g\u00fcveni art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir politika&#8221; benimsemesini zorunlu k\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Babacan, yeni d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rma imkan\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirterek, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak k\u0131sa vadede istihdam paketi haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m ortam\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirici \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yapt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130stanbul&#8217;un Uluslar aras\u0131 Finans Merkezi olmas\u0131n\u0131n yasal d\u00fczenlemesini haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Uzun vadeli olarak da 2023 hedeflerine ula\u015fma yolunda en \u00f6nemli ad\u0131m\u0131n e\u011fitimde k\u00f6kl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fiklik yaparak katma de\u011feri y\u00fcksek \u00fcretim modeline ge\u00e7meyi ama\u00e7lad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Babacan, hem bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci b\u00f6l\u00fcml\u00fcnde hem de 2012&#8217;de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin frenlenebilece\u011fi bilgisini verdi. Orta Vadeli Program\u0131n B\u00fct\u00e7e&#8217;nin TBMM sevki tarihi olan 17 Ekim \u00f6ncesinde a\u00e7\u0131klanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-161754315\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>K\u00fcresel y\u00f6neticiler de, Ali Babacan da &#8220;K\u00fcresel belirsizlikten&#8221; ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde birle\u015fiyorlar. \u0130kinci Dip korkusundan da s\u00f6z ediliyor. Ancak, Babacan, her t\u00fcrl\u00fc senaryoya haz\u0131r olarak &#8220;manuel&#8221; bir \u015fekilde y\u00f6netimi s\u00fcrd\u00fcreceklerini, k\u0131zsa vadede baz\u0131 reformlar\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede hayata ge\u00e7ireceklerini, uzun vadede ise katma de\u011feri y\u00fcksek \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00fcretebilmek i\u00e7in e\u011fitim reformunun gereklili\u011fini alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/p>\n<p>Babacan, &#8220;K\u00fcresel belirsizlik&#8221; s\u00fcrerken bizim nas\u0131l bir yol haritas\u0131 i\u00e7ersinde hareket edece\u011fimizin ip u\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yapt\u0131klar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda d\u00fcn Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Thicet ile, Ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ali Babacan, &#8220;K\u00fcresel belirsizlik&#8221; konusunda birle\u015firlerken, Babacan, &#8220;\u0130kinci dip ihtimalinin&#8221; artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":903,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4855"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4855\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/903"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}