{"id":48317,"date":"2017-01-10T20:29:54","date_gmt":"2017-01-10T17:29:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=48317"},"modified":"2017-01-10T20:29:54","modified_gmt":"2017-01-10T17:29:54","slug":"cetin-unsalan-neden-geri-cagiriyorlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-neden-geri-cagiriyorlar\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Neden geri \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yorlar?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Trump\u2019\u0131n otomotiv firmalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u2018\u00fclkene geri d\u00f6n\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra, yeni bir mesaj da Fransa\u2019dan geldi. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Aday\u0131 Le Pen de se\u00e7ilmesi halinde benzer bir politikay\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Buna uymayanlar\u0131n da vergilerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1412014160\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Esasen mesele sadece otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden ibaret de\u011fil. \u00d6nce paran\u0131n geri \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lmas\u0131yla ba\u015flad\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7. D\u00fcnyada likiditenin daralmas\u0131, para kazan\u0131lan sahalar\u0131n riskinin y\u00fckselmesiyle birlikte g\u00fcvenli limanlara, yani evine d\u00f6nme e\u011filimi ba\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum bizim gibi paray\u0131 morfin etmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde \u00e7at\u0131rdamalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131. S\u0131k\u0131\u015fan likidite f\u0131rsat bulduk\u00e7a ya da f\u0131rsat\u0131n\u0131 yaratt\u0131k\u00e7a \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flarla d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f hareketine ge\u00e7ti. Bunu ba\u015faran da oldu, ba\u015faramayan da, ama bu foto\u011fraf yeni para giri\u015flerini neredeyse bitme noktas\u0131na getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u015e\u00fcphesiz geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar i\u00e7in, s\u0131cak paraya oranla daha zordur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc uluslararas\u0131 operasyonlar belli bir zamana ve hesaba dayan\u0131r. E\u011fer yat\u0131r\u0131m para, kasa ve raf de\u011filse, yani ger\u00e7ekten \u00fcretimden bahsediyorsak, kritik bir karar anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6z\u00fcken o ki, bu e\u011filim s\u00fcrecek ve a\u015fama a\u015fama geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fler de ba\u015flayacak. \u00dcstelik sadece otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcyle de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmayacak. Bu meseleyi birka\u00e7 farkl\u0131 pencereden okumak gerekiyor. \u00d6nce siyaset\u00e7ilerden ba\u015flayay\u0131m. Neden geri \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yorlar?<\/p>\n<p>Her zaman dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz \u00fczere, s\u0131cak para ekonomisinin d\u00fcnyaya hak\u00eem olmas\u0131 ve t\u00fcketimle beslenmesi ile birlikte, bu t\u00fcketim ihtiyac\u0131, talebin \u00fczerinde bir arz\u0131, yani \u00fcretimi do\u011furdu.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fcnya t\u00fcketimle ekonomiyi d\u00f6nd\u00fcrebilece\u011fini, bunu da bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemiyle, yani kredi mekanizmas\u0131yla finanse edebilece\u011fini, bu yolla da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ortamda, t\u00fcrev piyasalardan daha \u00e7ok para kazanabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Bir s\u00fcre sonra talep hesab\u0131 yap\u0131lmaks\u0131z\u0131n kapasiteler artt\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kredi mekanizmalar\u0131 aktifti ve bor\u00e7land\u0131rarak t\u00fcketimi k\u0131rba\u00e7l\u0131yordu. Fakat finansal krizin ba\u015f g\u00f6stermesi ile birlikte de\u011firmenin suyu kesildi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3494546558\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00fcnyada talep daralmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesi, \u2018Rusya\u2019ya operasyon yapay\u0131m\u2019 derken, talepteki \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ve daralman\u0131n erkene \u00e7ekilmesiyle bat\u0131 ekonomileri kendi baca\u011f\u0131na kur\u015fun s\u0131kt\u0131. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir numaral\u0131 sorunu b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve pazar eksikli\u011fi ile, verilen kredilerin geri d\u00f6nememe riski olmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi d\u00fcnya ekonomisini okuyan siyasiler biliyor ki, d\u00fcnyadaki arz fazlas\u0131 nedeniyle, \u00fcretim kanad\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f ve daralma olacak. Bu da i\u015fsizlik sorununun patlamas\u0131 sonucunu getirecek. Bu nedenle de maliyetleri azaltmak, birim fiyatlar \u00fczerinden enflasyon m\u00fccadelesi yaparak ucuz \u00fcretimleri ihra\u00e7 ederek, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne y\u00f6nelen bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeleri s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya sokuyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin patlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te, \u00fcretim g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin tekrar elde olmas\u0131n\u0131 arzu ediyorlar. Peki, buna firmalar\u0131n tavr\u0131 ne olur? Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 firma bat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirece\u011finden, i\u015fsizli\u011fin bask\u0131s\u0131yla birlikte g\u00fcndemimize 2008 krizinde gibi firma kurtarmalar\u0131n\u0131 da oturtacak.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin sizi kurtarmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyorsan\u0131z, \u00fclkenizde \u00fcretim yap\u0131yor olman\u0131z gerekir. Bu nedenle firmalar\u0131n da \u00f6nce direnseler de, zorunlu olarak bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131ya uyacaklar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4293179884\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Peki bir kral \u00e7\u0131plak noktas\u0131 da burada ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131yor mu? \u00dclke i\u00e7inde \u00fcretim g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc kaybeden, i\u00e7 piyasas\u0131n\u0131 ithal \u00fcr\u00fcnlere kapt\u0131ran T\u00fcrkiye, yani ekonomi kurmaylar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6ylemiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi markalar\u0131n\u0131 neden geri \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rm\u0131yor?<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc birincisi \u00e7a\u011f\u0131racak d\u00fczeyde bir markas\u0131 yok; ikincisi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00fcretim yapmak, uygulamalar, yanl\u0131\u015f politikalar nedeniyle neredeyse olanaks\u0131z hale geldi. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc de kamunun bor\u00e7lanma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 reel sekt\u00f6re y\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zdan, i\u00e7te bile ne kadar firmam\u0131z\u0131n ayakta kalaca\u011f\u0131 sorusunun yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 veremiyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye firmalar\u0131n\u0131 kurtarabilir mi? \u0130\u015fte burada finansman g\u00fcc\u00fc devreye giriyor. Ne yaz\u0131k ki geri d\u00f6nen dolar ile bile ba\u015f edemeyen \u00fclkemizin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck problemi de bu olu\u015fturuyor. Yani bundan 14 y\u0131l \u00f6nceki \u2018batan bats\u0131n\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn, ne kadar yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu, \u00fcretimin ne denli k\u0131ymet arz etti\u011fi bir kere daha iktisaden kan\u0131tlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcreteni \u00fcretti\u011fine pi\u015fman eden, s\u0131cak paray\u0131 ve krediyi \u00fclkeye getirip, onunla da yabanc\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn t\u00fcketen, bunun \u00fczerinden vergi al\u0131p, enflasyon m\u00fccadelesi yapan ekonomik yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131m\u0131z do\u011fal olarak iflas etti.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi ekonomi y\u00f6netimi de bunun bilincinde ve \u00fcretime ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ama sorun \u015fu ki; dayak yemi\u015f, yorgun boks\u00f6r\u00fc \u015fampiyonluk ma\u00e7\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karma \u00e7eli\u015fkisiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Bir numaral\u0131 sorunumuz i\u015fsizlik olacakt\u0131r ve bunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc de sorunu kabullenip, hamaseti b\u0131rak\u0131p, ger\u00e7eklerle y\u00fczle\u015ferek, planl\u0131 ekonomiye ge\u00e7mekten ba\u015fka bir yol de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n otomotiv firmalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u2018\u00fclkene geri d\u00f6n\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra, yeni bir mesaj da Fransa\u2019dan geldi. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Aday\u0131 Le Pen de se\u00e7ilmesi halinde benzer bir politikay\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-48317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48317","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48317"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48317\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48317"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48317"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48317"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}