{"id":48226,"date":"2017-01-03T21:35:12","date_gmt":"2017-01-03T18:35:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=48226"},"modified":"2017-01-03T21:35:12","modified_gmt":"2017-01-03T18:35:12","slug":"cetin-unsalan-dolari-bozdur-demek-kolay-da","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-dolari-bozdur-demek-kolay-da\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Dolar\u0131 \u2018bozdur\u2019 demek kolay da\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Bug\u00fcnlerde dolar bahsi a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u00fcrekli duydu\u011fum c\u00fcmle: S\u00f6ylemi\u015ftiniz\u2026 Evet sorunun bu noktaya gelece\u011fini gerek yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131zda, gerekse de televizyon programlar\u0131m\u0131zda dile getirmi\u015f ve uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1712826204\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bunu yaparken de ne cebimizde dolar\u0131m\u0131z vard\u0131; ne de medyumluk, m\u00fcneccimlik gibi sa\u00e7ma sapan iddialar\u0131m\u0131z. Sadece ekonominin gidi\u015fat\u0131 ile eldeki verileri analiz etti\u011finizde, Atat\u00fcrk\u2019\u00fcn bize miras\u0131 olan ak\u0131l ve bilimle g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc aktard\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00fcrekli iyimserlik, k\u00f6t\u00fcmserlik diye ekonominin y\u00f6netilemeyece\u011fini, ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledim. O y\u00fczden bug\u00fcn gelinen nokta, s\u00fcrpriz veya ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc bir durumun tezah\u00fcr\u00fc de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca gelinen noktadan mutluluk duydu\u011fum da s\u00f6ylenemez. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ben de her vatanda\u015f gibi bu a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fan faturadan pay\u0131ma d\u00fc\u015feni al\u0131yorum. Derdimiz ne felaket tellall\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapmak, ne de zannedildi\u011fi gibi birilerine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmakt\u0131. \u00d6nlem al\u0131ns\u0131n istedik.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat sorunu kabul etmeyen insanlar\u0131n, \u00f6nlem almas\u0131 olanaks\u0131z oluyor. Yani ara\u00e7 duvara son h\u0131z giderken, sonunda \u00e7arparak duraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcthi\u015f bir zek\u00e2 gerektirmiyor. Yap\u0131lan sadece ara\u00e7taki biri olarak durma mesafesinin kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcp, \u2018h\u0131z\u0131 azalt ya da vites d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr ki, hasar azals\u0131n\u2019 demekten ibaret.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi can\u0131m \u00fclkem dolar\u0131n geldi\u011fi noktaya hayret etmeye devam etsin, ben gelecek d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in bug\u00fcnden yine bir uyar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izeyim. D\u00f6viz pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2026 Yani sahip olduklar\u0131m\u0131zla, y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerimiz aras\u0131ndaki fark. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin toplam a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 383 milyar dolar. Son 10 y\u0131lda a\u00e7\u0131ktaki art\u0131\u015f 200 milyar dolardan fazla.<\/p>\n<p>Bundan da tehlikeli olan, finans kesimi d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn, yani \u00fcreten, ticaret yapan ve bu yolla istihdam ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere katk\u0131 sa\u011flayan grubun pay\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n son a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2016 Ekim verilerine g\u00f6re net d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 reel sekt\u00f6r i\u00e7in 212 milyar 602 milyon dolar. Tekrar alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyorum; bunun i\u00e7inde bankalar ve finans kesimi yok.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1316854187\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bunu eyl\u00fcl itibariyle d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc diye haber yapmak ayr\u0131 bir aymazl\u0131k olmakla beraber; kurun 3.60\u2019\u0131 zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te, TL baz\u0131nda maliyetlerin ge\u00e7en seneye oranla kat be kat artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da dikkate almak gerekir.<\/p>\n<p>Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 finans olanaklar\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlanan, ihracat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fen, i\u00e7te \u00f6deme ve tahsil\u00e2t problemi ya\u015fayan, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n arz fazlas\u0131 problemi nedeniyle elenme s\u00fcrecine girdi\u011fi, katma de\u011ferli \u00fcretim yapamayan bu i\u015fletmeler gelecek ad\u0131na en b\u00fcy\u00fck problemlerin kayna\u011f\u0131 olmaya aday.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018Dolar bozdur\u2019 kampanyalar\u0131 yapmak kolay da, bu bor\u00e7 \u00f6demelerinde dolar ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l kar\u015f\u0131layacaklar\u0131n\u0131n sorununun yan\u0131t\u0131 zor. Siz bu \u015firketlerimize \u2018dolar bozdur\u2019 bask\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131p, sonra da \u00f6deme zamanlar\u0131nda mesela \u20182.50\u2019den dolar verebilecek misiniz? TL \u00f6deme yapamayacaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re, sorunu nas\u0131l \u00e7\u00f6zmeyi planl\u0131yorsunuz?<\/p>\n<p>Herkesin g\u00f6rmezden geldi\u011fi, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin de \u2018firmalar\u0131n sorunu\u2019 diye yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu mesele, i\u015fsizlikten k\u0131r\u0131lan \u00f6demeler zincirine kadar bir\u00e7ok problemin habercisi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-885882857\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bence \u015fimdiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek laz\u0131m\u2026 Zira s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131nca \u2018hakl\u0131ym\u0131\u015fs\u0131n\u0131z\u2019 s\u00f6z\u00fc bir anlam ifade etmiyor. Ayr\u0131ca araba duvara \u00e7arpt\u0131ktan sonra hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmak umurumda bile de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015f i\u015ften ge\u00e7mi\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bug\u00fcnlerde dolar bahsi a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u00fcrekli duydu\u011fum c\u00fcmle: S\u00f6ylemi\u015ftiniz\u2026 Evet sorunun bu noktaya gelece\u011fini gerek yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131zda, gerekse de televizyon programlar\u0131m\u0131zda dile getirmi\u015f ve uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Bunu yaparken&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-48226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48226"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48226\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}