{"id":47992,"date":"2016-12-14T23:32:31","date_gmt":"2016-12-14T20:32:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=47992"},"modified":"2016-12-14T23:32:31","modified_gmt":"2016-12-14T20:32:31","slug":"cetin-unsalan-sakin-ama-gercekci-olma-zamani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-sakin-ama-gercekci-olma-zamani\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Sakin; ama ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olma zaman\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Amerikan Merkez Bankas\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizi artt\u0131rd\u0131. Gelecek y\u0131l da 3 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u015eimdi yar\u0131ndan itibaren bunu kullanmak isteyen bir kesim ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak ve yeni tart\u0131\u015fma konusu da gelecek y\u0131l ka\u00e7 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olabilece\u011fi bi\u00e7iminde olu\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-271089000\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00d6ncelikle birka\u00e7 noktan\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izelim. Birincisi kimse bize d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131k olsun diye faiz artt\u0131rm\u0131yor. Kendi ekonomileri ad\u0131na do\u011fru ya da yanl\u0131\u015f gerekeni yap\u0131yorlar. Bunu d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131k diye satanlar olursa inanmay\u0131n.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130kincisi, ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015f tamamen sembolik&#8230; FED\u2019in finans d\u00fcnyas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u2018s\u00f6yledim ve yapt\u0131m, gerekirse daha da yapar\u0131m, varl\u0131k balonunu \u015fi\u015firmekten vazge\u00e7in\u2019 mesaj\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc beklenmedik bir durumla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya de\u011filiz. Hatta finans piyasalar\u0131 bunu haftalar \u00f6ncesinden fiyatlad\u0131. Ama art\u0131k yeni bir hik\u00e2yeleri var. Bu nedenle olu\u015fan ortam\u0131 risk azaltmak ad\u0131na kullanmak i\u00e7in her t\u00fcrl\u00fc tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 a\u00e7acaklar. Bu nedenle sakin olun.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc sakin olmak, endi\u015felenmemek anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. Endi\u015felenebilirsiniz. Ama bunu bir panik i\u00e7erisinde yorumlamak, ekonomi y\u00f6netimini gaza getirip, kararlar ald\u0131rmak, sadece burada manevra yapmak isteyenlere kulvar a\u00e7ar. Daha \u00f6nce bir yaz\u0131mda da belirtti\u011fim gibi sakin olun; bireysel olarak siz, \u00fclke olarak da hepimiz risk azaltman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131 arayal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Zira bunu finans cephesinde f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6renler kadar, ekonomi y\u00f6netimi cephesinde de sorunlar\u0131 \u00f6rtmek i\u00e7in kullanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r. FED\u2019in faiz artt\u0131rmas\u0131 sadece sorunlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n boyutunu b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>O zaman bizim yapmam\u0131z gereken pani\u011fe kap\u0131lmak de\u011fil, endi\u015felenmektir. Bug\u00fcne kadar yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ve yapmad\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131zla y\u00fczle\u015fip, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n oran\u0131yla ya da say\u0131s\u0131yla ilgilenmek de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu duruma hangi sebeplerle d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc masaya yat\u0131rmak, bunu tersine \u00e7evirmek i\u00e7in politikalar geli\u015ftirmek, ama arada da 200 milyar dolar nakit paray\u0131 nas\u0131l kar\u015f\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 aramakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3585335745\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Sorunumuz FED\u2019in faiz artt\u0131rmas\u0131yla ilgili de\u011fil; bug\u00fcne kadar \u00fclkeyi kumar ekonomisine teslim edip, s\u0131cak parayla d\u00f6nece\u011fimize inan\u0131p, \u00fcretimi yok eden politikalar uygulay\u0131p, finanstan ara mal\u0131na memleketi serseri fonlar\u0131n ve ithal \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn insaf\u0131na b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f olmam\u0131zd\u0131r. Bunda da mevcut ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve \u00f6ncesinde Kemal Dervi\u015f\u2019ten ba\u015flayan s\u00fcre\u00e7 ve devam\u0131ndakiler birinci dereceden sorumludur.<\/p>\n<p>Problemi kabul edip, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlar ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 bilip, yar\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l kurtaraca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ve k\u0131sa vadeli \u00f6demelerimizi ne y\u00f6ntemle finanse edece\u011fimizin sakinli\u011fi i\u00e7inde hareket etmeliyiz.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar kurundaki art\u0131\u015ftan, ihracat ve turizm ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere daralan d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 gelir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerimize kadar ya\u015fanacaklar\u0131n hi\u00e7birinde anormal bir durum yok. Ne ektiysek onu bi\u00e7iyoruz. Ama bunu anormalmi\u015f gibi satanlar \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r. Bir de \u00f6nemsiz gibi g\u00f6sterenler.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130kisi de bu \u00fclkenin menfaatine \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131yor; bunu bilin. Sakin olmazsak, batakl\u0131ktaki gibi \u00e7\u0131rp\u0131nd\u0131k\u00e7a batar ve riskini satmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlara ortam haz\u0131rlar\u0131z. Sakin olun; ama endi\u015felenin. Daha zor g\u00fcnler ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-193252182\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Tek talebim; deveku\u015fu sendromuna girmeyelim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sorunlar ancak y\u00fczle\u015ferek ve ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olarak \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Amerikan Merkez Bankas\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizi artt\u0131rd\u0131. Gelecek y\u0131l da 3 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u015eimdi yar\u0131ndan itibaren bunu kullanmak isteyen bir kesim ortaya&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-47992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47992","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47992"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47992\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}