{"id":47828,"date":"2016-12-01T14:04:05","date_gmt":"2016-12-01T11:04:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=47828"},"modified":"2016-12-01T17:26:41","modified_gmt":"2016-12-01T14:26:41","slug":"cetin-unsalan-kurda-dalgalanma-mi-var","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-kurda-dalgalanma-mi-var\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Kurda dalgalanma m\u0131 var?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m T\u00dcS\u0130AD Y\u0130K\u2019te yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131da TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n canlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Dalgalanman\u0131n da 1,5 ay daha devam edece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. Can s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 gidermenin yolu belli:<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2227354486\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u2018Ey dolar\u2019 dersiniz, birileri sizi alk\u0131\u015flar, o da t\u0131pk\u0131 di\u011fer \u2018ey\u2019lerdeki gibi hemen sonu\u00e7 verir. Bir \u00fclkede politika slogan atmak \u00fczerine kurulmu\u015f, i\u00e7i bo\u015f bir \u00e7uval haline d\u00f6nd\u00fcyse s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 as\u0131l buradad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Dalgalanma meselesine gelince&#8230; Ba\u015fbakan Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m her g\u00fcn bir rekorla uyand\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z kurda bir dalgalanma oldu\u011funa ger\u00e7ekten inan\u0131yor mu? Ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z dalgalanma m\u0131d\u0131r; yoksa sistematik deval\u00fcasyon mu?<\/p>\n<p>Yani bir \u015feyin de\u011ferinin 10 birim art\u0131p, 2 birim d\u00fc\u015fmesi, sonra 5 birim art\u0131p 1 birim d\u00fc\u015fmesi dalgalanma de\u011fildir. S\u00fcrekli bir yukar\u0131 gidi\u015f varsa, t\u0131pk\u0131 akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnse zam, d\u00f6viz kuru ise deval\u00fcasyon anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n<p>Bunu dalgalanma s\u00f6ylemenin ard\u0131na saklay\u0131p normalle\u015ftirmek do\u011fru mu? Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131n can\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131yor mu bilmem ama, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerdeki bir yaz\u0131mda da payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi 211 milyar dolarl\u0131k d\u0131\u015f borcu olan reel sekt\u00f6r, \u00c7etin Osman Budak\u2019\u0131n tespitlerine g\u00f6re her 1 kuru\u015fta 2,1 milyar dolar kullanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir parada yeni bor\u00e7 alm\u0131\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n tarifiyle dalgalanman\u0131n, ger\u00e7ek haliyle sistematik deval\u00fcasyonun 1,5 ay daha s\u00fcrece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc ise tamamen ABD\u2019deki geli\u015fmelere ba\u011flanm\u0131\u015f bir \u00e7\u0131pa. Di\u011fer konu\u015fmalar\u0131nda da s\u0131k s\u0131k dile getirildi\u011fi i\u00e7in \u015funu bir kez daha ortaya koymak laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019deki geli\u015fmeler, sadece sistematik deval\u00fcasyonun boyutunu ve \u015fiddetini artt\u0131ran bir unsur. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda her \u015fey yolunda da ABD y\u00fcz\u00fcnden TL de\u011fer kaybediyor de\u011fil. Derdiniz sorunla y\u00fczle\u015fmek de\u011filse, bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131ndan yeni bahane bulursunuz.<\/p>\n<p>1,5 ay sonra ne olacak? T\u00fcrkiye dolar basmaya m\u0131 ba\u015flayacak? \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z birden bire patlayacak, turizm gelirlerimiz \u015faha kalkacak ya da d\u00fcnya finans sistemi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye para m\u0131 ya\u011fd\u0131racak?<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2665377604\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Tekrar alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyorum: Kurda dalgalanma yok. Sistematik deval\u00fcasyon var. Art\u0131k sorunu kabullenip, yar\u0131n\u0131 kurtaracak hamleler yapmak laz\u0131m. \u0130ktidar belki fark\u0131nda de\u011fil ama; reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn oksijen t\u00fcp\u00fcndeki nefesi kesilmek \u00fczere.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m T\u00dcS\u0130AD Y\u0130K\u2019te yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131da TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n canlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Dalgalanman\u0131n da 1,5 ay daha devam edece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. Can s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 gidermenin yolu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-47828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47828\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}