{"id":47790,"date":"2016-11-29T18:21:04","date_gmt":"2016-11-29T15:21:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=47790"},"modified":"2016-11-29T18:34:41","modified_gmt":"2016-11-29T15:34:41","slug":"cetin-unsalan-yuzde-18-buyume-mumkun-mu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-yuzde-18-buyume-mumkun-mu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Y\u00fczde 18 b\u00fcy\u00fcme m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Monolog diyar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de, \u00fclkenin belki de en kritik konusu Edirne\u2019de tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131na girerken ekonomiye bak\u0131\u015f\u2026 Herkesin \u00fc\u00e7 maymunu oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te Edirne Gen\u00e7 \u0130\u015fadamlar\u0131 Derne\u011fi\u2019nin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu organizasyon, sadece konu\u015fulanlarla de\u011fil, zamanlamas\u0131 ve cesaretiyle de kayda de\u011ferdi.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1257634504\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>EG\u0130AD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Hakan \u0130nci, paneller serisi ba\u015flatt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ve her partiyle, farkl\u0131 bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131yla bu konunun tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya devam edece\u011fini, zira \u00fclkenin ger\u00e7ek ve can yakan g\u00fcndeminin ekonomi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Panelin konu\u015fmac\u0131lar\u0131 CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u00c7etin Osman Budak ve CHP Tekirda\u011f Milletvekili Faik \u00d6ztrak\u2019t\u0131. Biri reel sekt\u00f6r, di\u011feri Maliye k\u00f6kenli iki farkl\u0131 ismin bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131yla, resmi rakamlarla, d\u00fcnyadaki geli\u015fmelerle ve g\u00fcncel meselelerle ilgin\u00e7 bir oturum oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Konu\u015fmac\u0131lar\u0131n s\u00f6ylemlerinden notlara ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce, farkl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerden temsilcilerin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 dinleyicilerden gelen uyar\u0131lara bakmak gerekir. Bilhassa tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki a\u00e7mazlar, turizme y\u00f6nelik beklentiler s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n sinyal vermenin \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca tek bir ki\u015finin Edirne\u2019deki tar\u0131m arazilerinden 250 bin d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fc topluyor olmas\u0131 da \u00f6nemli bir yak\u0131nma konusuydu. Bu haliyle rahatl\u0131kla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te bir tekel riski ortada duruyor. Milletvekilleri konuyu ara\u015ft\u0131racaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylediler. Bakal\u0131m ne \u00e7\u0131kacak?<\/p>\n<p>Panelistlerin sunumlar\u0131na gelirsek; ortadaki tablo hi\u00e7 de ho\u015f de\u011fil. Ki\u015fisel fikirlerin \u00f6tesinde resmi rakamlarla ortaya konulan tezlerde ya\u015fananlar da ya\u015fanacaklar da t\u00fcm \u00e7\u0131plakl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Not defterime d\u00fc\u015fen \u00e7ok say\u0131da ba\u015fl\u0131k var. Ama dikkat \u00e7ekici olanlar\u0131n \u00fczerinde durmak gerekirse, en \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 iki ba\u015fl\u0131k \u015f\u00f6yleydi:<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7etin Osman Budak, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2023 hedeflerine ili\u015fkin durum tespitini payla\u015f\u0131rken man\u015feti att\u0131: \u2018Rakiplerimiz sabit kal\u0131rsa ve biz geri kalan y\u0131llarda y\u00fczde 18 b\u00fcy\u00fcrsek hedeflere ula\u015fmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.\u2019 Elbette bunun imk\u00e2ns\u0131z\u0131n ba\u015fka bir terc\u00fcmesi oldu\u011funu anlamak i\u00e7in ekonomist olmak gerekmiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan \u015fartlar, a\u00e7mazlar\u0131m\u0131z ve d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin durumunu g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda, OECD verilerine g\u00f6re ilk 10 ekonominin i\u00e7ine girmek teorik olarak dahi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Budak, aksine gidi\u015fat\u0131n yak\u0131n bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te bizi ilk 20 ekonominin de d\u0131\u015f\u0131na itece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3578989380\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc sanayi devrimini tart\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te, \u00f6nce e\u011fitimi tart\u0131\u015fmam\u0131z gere\u011fine dikkat \u00e7eken Budak, nitelikli be\u015feri sermayenin ka\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 100 \u00e7ocuktan 36\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n yata\u011fa a\u00e7 girdi\u011finin resmi rakamlarla sabit oldu\u011funu ifade ederken orta gelir de\u011fil, vasatl\u0131k tuza\u011f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fumuzu vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ortaya konulan hedeflerinin tamam\u0131n\u0131n orta ve uzun vadeye y\u00f6nelik nitelik ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen \u00c7etin Osman Budak, bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlar varken rejim tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n anlams\u0131z oldu\u011funu ifade etti ve ekonomiyle ilgili yap\u0131lacak ilk i\u015fin demokrasiye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011funu, aksi takdirde hi\u00e7bir projenin hayat bulmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Tekirda\u011f Milletvekili Faik \u00d6ztrak ise d\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirmesini yap\u0131p, riskleri ortaya koyduktan sonra cari a\u00e7\u0131k ile ilgili bir kli\u015feyi alt \u00fcst etti: \u2018Cari a\u00e7\u0131kla ilgili her ortamda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 74\u2019l\u00fck enerji al\u0131m\u0131 \u00fczerinde duruluyor. G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin ithalat\u0131ndaki enerji pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 82. Ama 2015 sonu itibariyle verdi\u011fi cari fazla y\u00fczde 6. Demek ki bizde ba\u015fka t\u00fcrl\u00fc bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 var.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>211 milyar dolarl\u0131k reel sekt\u00f6r borcuna ve yeti\u015fkin fertlerin 2002\u2019deki 470 dolarl\u0131k borcunun 2016\u2019da 6 bin 80 dolara \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken \u00d6ztrak, dokuz y\u0131lda dokuz se\u00e7im ge\u00e7iren T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u015fimdi referandumdan bahsetti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyip \u2018Bunu hi\u00e7bir ekonomi kald\u0131ramaz\u2019 dedi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1485602129\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00f6viz kurunun bor\u00e7luluk nedeniyle faizden daha \u00f6nemli bir hal ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan \u00d6ztrak 35 milyar dolarl\u0131k net rezervle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin iki ayl\u0131k ithalat\u0131n\u0131 bile kar\u015f\u0131layamayacak noktada oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. D\u00f6viz kurundaki her bir kuru\u015fluk fark\u0131n, reel sekt\u00f6re 2,1 milyar dolar ek maliyet \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken Faik \u00d6ztrak, verimsiz bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc veren \u00fclkemizin bu haliyle enflasyonu da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcremeyece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Elbette konu\u015fmalarda benim de zaman zaman burada hat\u0131rlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131m riskler ve tespitler vard\u0131. Ama \u00d6ztrak\u2019\u0131n \u015fu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 da bence toplant\u0131n\u0131n ikinci man\u015fetiydi:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cT\u00fcrkiye y\u00f6netilemiyor. Bakanlar ve eylemleri tutars\u0131z. D\u00f6viz \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131, d\u00f6viz gelmeyece\u011finin ve y\u00f6netilemedi\u011fimizin en a\u00e7\u0131k itiraf\u0131d\u0131r. TL\u2019yi \u00f6zendirmekten bahsediliyor. Oysa soru \u015fu: Vatanda\u015f neden TL\u2019den ka\u00e7\u0131yor? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc TL\u2019yi y\u00f6netene g\u00fcvenmiyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z hareket etmedi\u011fi izlenimini verdi\u011finiz anda d\u00f6vizi tutamazs\u0131n\u0131z. En somut \u00f6nerim \u015fu: Y\u00f6netemiyorsunuz; gelin bu darbo\u011fazdan \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in birlikte \u00e7al\u0131\u015fal\u0131m.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda toplant\u0131da ekonomiyle ilgili ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz ba\u015fl\u0131klar olan, k\u00fcresel risklerden hukuk eksikli\u011fine, ba\u015fkanl\u0131k s\u00f6ylemlerinden OHAL\u2019e kadar bir dizi konu da ele al\u0131nd\u0131. Ama dedim ya toplant\u0131n\u0131n iki man\u015feti vard\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>Budak\u2019\u0131n geri kalan y\u0131llarda, her sene y\u00fczde 18 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fcyorsak, hedeflerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin olanaks\u0131z oldu\u011fu tespiti ve \u00d6ztrak\u2019\u0131n \u2018birlikte \u00e7al\u0131\u015fal\u0131m\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131.\u00a0 Bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulur mu; \u015f\u00fcpheliyim. Kabinede bakanlar bile aras\u0131nda anla\u015famazken, ekonomide mutabakat ekibi, bu yap\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok l\u00fcks ama bir o kadar da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn derim; zira i\u015fler iyice sarpa sar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Monolog diyar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de, \u00fclkenin belki de en kritik konusu Edirne\u2019de tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131na girerken ekonomiye bak\u0131\u015f\u2026 Herkesin \u00fc\u00e7 maymunu oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te Edirne Gen\u00e7 \u0130\u015fadamlar\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-47790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47790"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47790\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}