{"id":47772,"date":"2016-11-29T11:45:33","date_gmt":"2016-11-29T08:45:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=47772"},"modified":"2016-11-29T11:45:38","modified_gmt":"2016-11-29T08:45:38","slug":"italya-referandumu-ve-piyasalar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/italya-referandumu-ve-piyasalar\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130talya Referandumu ve Piyasalar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Haftaya olumlu ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapan piyasalar\u0131m\u0131zda, dolar 3.40&#8217;lar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilerken, borsada bir miktar yukar\u0131 e\u011filim s\u00f6z konusu oldu. Dolar \u015fu an 3.4240 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. <\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3352526298\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Biraz sonra borsa a\u00e7\u0131lacak.\u00a0Bu hafta sonu \u0130talya&#8217;da referandum var. \u0130talya anayasa de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri yapt\u0131 ve bu de\u011fi\u015fikliklere \u0130talyan halk\u0131 ya EVET ya da HAYIR diyecek. E\u011fer referandumdan HAYIR \u00e7\u0131karsa, \u00a0\u015fu an \u0130talyan Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 olan Renzi istifa edece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Renzi&#8217;nin istifas\u0131 durumunda Avrupa Birli\u011fin&#8217;de i\u015fler yine kar\u0131\u015facak. Fakat \u015funu da belirteyim ki; BREXIT olay\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde de kapkara tablolar \u00e7izilmi\u015fti ve Brexit&#8217;e kadar sars\u0131lan piyasalar, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin AB&#8217;den \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen h\u0131zla d\u00fczelmi\u015fti. Bu y\u00fczden \u0130talya konusunda da piyasalarda &#8220;b\u00fcy\u00fctmeyin can\u0131m&#8221; modu hakim. Bu konuda en ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri Atilla Ye\u015filada yazm\u0131\u015f. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.paraanaliz.com\/2016\/yazarlar\/piyasalar-aralikta-avrupayi-gozleyecek-5559\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">Ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 buradan okuyabilirsiniz.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Piyasalar\u0131n \u0130talyan referandumuna bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bug\u00fcnden itibaren daha net g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Fakat \u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvillerindeki hareketlerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda hi\u00e7 ho\u015f sinyaller vermiyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik \u0130talyan tahvillerinin faizlerindeki son hareketleri g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47773\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/ITALYA-29-kasim-2016.png\" alt=\"italya-29-kasim-2016\" width=\"559\" height=\"339\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/ITALYA-29-kasim-2016.png 559w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/ITALYA-29-kasim-2016-300x182.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 559px) 100vw, 559px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u0130talya&#8217;N\u0131n 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k faizlerinde Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan bu yana %100&#8217;den fazla art\u0131\u015f oldu. Y\u00fczde 1&#8217;e yakla\u015fan faizler \u015fu an %2.05 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Referandumdan HAYIR \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 durumunda, \u00f6zellikle bat\u0131k olmas\u0131ndan \u015f\u00fcphelenilen \u0130talyan bankalar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc haber olacak. \u015eu an Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli sorunlar\u0131ndan biri bankalar\u0131n sermaye yeterlili\u011fidir ve daha \u00f6nce de bu konu g\u00fcndeme geldi\u011finde (yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.5-2 ay \u00f6nce) Avrupa borsalar\u0131nda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6rd\u00fck. \u015eu an her ne kadar piyasalar \u0130talyan referandumuna fazla odaklanmam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, BREX\u0130T&#8217;in tersine HAYIR oyu \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 durumunda, s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 yaratabilir. Bu nedenle d\u00fcn hafif\u00e7e olumluya d\u00f6nen piyasalara da fazla aldanmamak gerekiyor. \u0130talyan referandumu bir risk olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda duruyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>BORSA<\/strong><br \/>\nD\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k 600 puan yukar\u0131dan a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra 74.800 ile 75.300 gibi dar bir aral\u0131kta dalgalanan BIST-100 endeksi az \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 300-400 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131lan endeks i\u00e7in yine en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek seviyesi 74.150 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Endeksin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni ise, dolarda yar\u0131m saat \u00f6nce ba\u015flayan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket ve di\u011fer borsalarda da genel olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli bir hareket olmas\u0131d\u0131r. BIST-100 endeksinin bug\u00fcn 74.100 ile 75.250 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etmesini, i\u015flem miktar\u0131n\u0131n ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz. ABD&#8217;de 14 Aral\u0131ktaki faiz karar\u0131na kadar piyasalarda \u00e7ok net bir olumluya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>DOLAR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dolar\/TL kuru \u015fu an 3.4315 seviyesinde bulunuyor. \u00a0D\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 3.4079 seviyesi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. En g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 3.4750 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. D\u0131\u015f piyasalardaki genel hava nedeniyle dolarda 3.40 ile 3.4750 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket g\u00f6rebiliriz. Teknik olarak e\u011fer 3.4750 yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilirse, dolar\u0131n 3.49-3.51 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak bug\u00fcn piyasalarda net bir y\u00f6n yerine daha kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek. \u0130talya referandumu \u00f6ncesinde risk almak istemeyenlerin borsada bir miktar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Bu durumda yeniden 74 bin deste\u011fine do\u011fru testler ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir, fakat 75.500&#8217;\u00fcn yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Borsan\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesi i\u00e7in \u0130talya referandumundan EVET \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan da 8 Aral\u0131k&#8217;ta Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;ndan parasal geni\u015fleme ile ilgili olumlu mesajlar\u0131n gelmesi gereklidir. \u00a0Dolarda son bir iki g\u00fcnde sakinle\u015fme belirtisi g\u00f6r\u00fclse de, hen\u00fcz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinden bahsedemeyiz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2701279094\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131 dile\u011fiyle&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Haftaya olumlu ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapan piyasalar\u0131m\u0131zda, dolar 3.40&#8217;lar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilerken, borsada bir miktar yukar\u0131 e\u011filim s\u00f6z konusu oldu. Dolar \u015fu an 3.4240 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Biraz sonra&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,769,1497,752,753,1496],"class_list":["post-47772","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-dolar-duser-mi","tag-dolar-tl-yorumu","tag-dolar-yorumlari","tag-dolar-yukselir-mi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47772","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47772"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47772\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47772"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47772"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}