{"id":47463,"date":"2016-11-09T00:49:37","date_gmt":"2016-11-08T21:49:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=47463"},"modified":"2016-11-09T00:49:37","modified_gmt":"2016-11-08T21:49:37","slug":"cetin-unsalan-enerji-talebi-ve-gercekler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-enerji-talebi-ve-gercekler\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Enerji talebi ve ger\u00e7ekler  \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde a\u00e7mazlar b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fck\u00e7e her \u015fey alg\u0131 y\u00f6netimi \u00fczerinde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Gelece\u011fin d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla siyasetinde g\u00fc\u00e7 dengeleri i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele yap\u0131l\u0131rken, Ukrayna\u2019da tetiklenen, ard\u0131ndan Suriye ile k\u0131z\u0131\u015fan ekonomik big bang, yani b\u00fcy\u00fck patlama rekabeti ac\u0131mas\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-447130253\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Enerji ihracat\u0131 geliriyle akt\u00f6r olan Rusya\u2019y\u0131 k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmak isteyen bat\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 120 dolarlardan 40 dolarlara iteleyince Rusya\u2019y\u0131 alt edemedi ama, daha sonra d\u00fcnyada ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak resesyon, daralma tehlikesini tetikleyerek \u00f6ne \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Bir tarafta daralma, di\u011fer tarafta varl\u0131k balonu tehlikesiyle ya\u015fayan geli\u015fmi\u015fler ile, buradan gelecek parayla hayat\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme hayali kuran geli\u015fmekte olanlar, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tabloda bamba\u015fka sorunlar\u0131 da g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Rusya\u2019y\u0131 vuray\u0131m derken ters tepen yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, \u00f6nce geli\u015fmekte olanlar\u0131, sonra da geli\u015fenleri etkileyen bir foto\u011fraf ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. 2008 krizinden beri boyalar\u0131n d\u00f6k\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, 2011 itibariyle geli\u015fmekte olanlardan vazge\u00e7ildi\u011fi d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde \u015fimdi petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 varilde 50 dolar seviyesinde tutman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131 ar\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130yimserlik pompalayacak yeni bir hik\u00e2ye kalmay\u0131nca da OPEC \u00fcyesi ve \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelerin petrol arz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sma oyununu oynad\u0131lar. Buradan bir uzla\u015fma \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131; kas\u0131m sonuna ertelendi, ama muhtemeldir ki oradan da \u00e7\u0131kmayacak. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00f6lgesel oyun oynayan ABD ve Suudi Arabistan, arz k\u0131sma meselesine samimiyetle yakla\u015fm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu nedenle de s\u00fcrekli bir yeni iyimserlik havas\u0131 i\u00e7in hik\u00e2ye aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na giriyorlar. Bunlardan biri de son versiyon k\u00fcresel enerji talebine ili\u015fkin OPEC taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan 2016 D\u00fcnya Petrol G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Bu rapora g\u00f6re enerji talebi 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar artmaya devam edecek. Hesaplar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015f 50 y\u0131l\u0131n ger\u00e7ekleri \u00fczerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda rakamsal bazda, yemin etseniz ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131z a\u011fr\u0131mayacak, fakat ger\u00e7ekle ilgisi olmayan bu resimle bo\u015fa d\u00fc\u015fecek bir yeni \u00f6yk\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sayede d\u00fcnyada riskten ka\u00e7ma e\u011filiminin azalmas\u0131n\u0131, do\u011facak ortamda da risklerin sat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yorlar. Oysa herkesin bildi\u011fi bir ger\u00e7ek var ki, d\u00fcnya ekonomisi daralmaya gidiyor. Reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn d\u00fcnya genelinde darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda ise enerjiye olan talep azal\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-845772508\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca tek arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n petrolde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek de g\u00fc\u00e7. Hangi sekt\u00f6re bakarsan\u0131z bak\u0131n, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir arz fazlas\u0131 ve tersine azalan bir talep e\u011frisi var. Bu durum d\u00fcnya genelinde hemen her sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fck oranl\u0131 firma kapatmalar\u0131na neden olacakt\u0131r. B\u00f6ylesi bir ortamda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de n\u00fckleeri konu\u015fuyor olmas\u0131, ne kadar ak\u0131lc\u0131, takdirlerinize b\u0131rak\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p>Peki enerji talebi tamamen yok mu olacak? Elbette geli\u015fen d\u00fcnya ko\u015fullar\u0131nda enerji her zaman bir talep bulacakt\u0131r. Lakin e\u011filimlere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda da burada da n\u00fckleer, petrol gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klardan ka\u00e7\u0131larak, alternatif enerji denilen kaynaklara ve teknolojilere yo\u011funla\u015fan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz.<\/p>\n<p>Bunlar end\u00fcstriyel hale geldi\u011finde hem daha verimli, hem daha ekonomik, hem de daha \u00e7evreci olacak. \u00d6rne\u011fin bizi k\u0131skand\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddia edilen Almanya\u2019n\u0131n, bize oranla be\u015fte bir g\u00fcne\u015f almas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisine ve teknolojisine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m, bizim yine foto\u011fraf\u0131 okuyamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zetle gelece\u011fin d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda ekonomik daralmaya paralel enerji talebi azalacakt\u0131r. Mevcut enerji talebi ise, alternatif kaynaklarla sa\u011flanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Peki bu rapor ne? Onun sizle, bizle hi\u00e7 ilgisi yok.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-706842117\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Elinde k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t olanlar, bilimsel geli\u015fmeleri, ger\u00e7ek\u00e7ili\u011fi \u00e7\u00f6pe atm\u0131\u015f, ad\u0131na iyimserlik denen oyunla, ellerinde kalan riskleri satmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Uyan\u0131n art\u0131k; bamba\u015fka bir s\u00fcrece giriyoruz.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde a\u00e7mazlar b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fck\u00e7e her \u015fey alg\u0131 y\u00f6netimi \u00fczerinde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Gelece\u011fin d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla siyasetinde g\u00fc\u00e7 dengeleri i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele yap\u0131l\u0131rken, Ukrayna\u2019da tetiklenen, ard\u0131ndan Suriye&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-47463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47463\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}