{"id":47381,"date":"2016-11-01T12:12:30","date_gmt":"2016-11-01T09:12:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=47381"},"modified":"2016-11-01T15:27:00","modified_gmt":"2016-11-01T12:27:00","slug":"piyasalarda-son-durum-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/piyasalarda-son-durum-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar, Borsa ve Son Bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n \u00d6zet Tablosu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Piyasalar haftaya genel anlamda olumlu ba\u015flad\u0131. Borsa y\u00fckseli\u015f denemeleri yaparken, dolarda gerileme vard\u0131. Ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n son d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn\u00fcnde borsa d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, dolar 3.1250 seviyelerine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Fakat, e\u011fitici b\u00fcltende haftaya ba\u015flarken, d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda belirgin bir olumsuzluk olmazsa, olumlu ba\u015flayabilece\u011fimizi belirtmi\u015ftim. \u00a0D\u00fcnden bu yana geli\u015fmelere g\u00f6z atmakta fayda var.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1957596689\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00fcn Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir duyurusu vard\u0131. Duyuru \u015f\u00f6yle;<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><em><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">&#8220;Finansal sisteme ek d\u00f6viz likiditesi imkan\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla, rezerv opsiyonu katsay\u0131lar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiklik yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Rezerv Opsiyonu Mekanizmas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda d\u00f6viz imk\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131n ikinci, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc dilimlerinde katsay\u0131lar 0,2 puan azalt\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rezerv opsiyonu kullan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 seviyede kalmas\u0131 halinde, s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fi\u015fiklik ile finansal sisteme yakla\u015f\u0131k 620 milyon ABD dolar\u0131 ilave likidite sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><em><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Ayr\u0131ca, bankalar\u0131n yabanc\u0131 para likidite y\u00f6netimine esneklik kazand\u0131rmak \u00fczere, yabanc\u0131 para y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler i\u00e7in tesis edilmesi gereken zorunlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n ortalama olarak tesis edilebilecek k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 3 puandan 4 puana y\u00fckseltilmi\u015ftir. S\u00f6z konusu de\u011fi\u015fiklik ile yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,9 milyar ABD dolar\u0131 tesis d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7erisinde bankalar\u0131n serbest kullan\u0131m\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olacakt\u0131r.&#8221;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Bu haberle birlikte dolarda gerileme g\u00f6rd\u00fck. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik dolar\u0131n 60 dk&#8217;l\u0131k hareketlerini veriyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47382\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/Dolar-1-kasim-2016.png\" alt=\"dolar-1-kasim-2016\" width=\"571\" height=\"417\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/Dolar-1-kasim-2016.png 571w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/Dolar-1-kasim-2016-300x219.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 571px) 100vw, 571px\" \/><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Dikey \u00e7izginin oldu\u011fu yerde Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;ndan a\u00e7\u0131klama gelmi\u015fti. O s\u0131rada 3.11 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde olan dolar 3.0930 civar\u0131na kadar geriledi. Bug\u00fcn itibariyle yeniden 3.10 civar\u0131ndan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n bu ad\u0131m\u0131 en az\u0131ndan dolar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 hafifletti. \u015eu an dolardaki hareketler, tekrar Dolar endeksine (DXY) g\u00f6re olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yani DXY endeksi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli oldu\u011funda dolar\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011fimli oldu\u011funda da yukar\u0131 hareket yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. B\u00fcltende de vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131m \u00fczere bu ili\u015fki en az\u0131ndan Aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndaki FED \u00a0toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar devam edecektir. DXY endeksi ge\u00e7en hafta bir ara 99 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f \u00a0ama ge\u00e7en cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc gerileme yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u015eu an 98.28 seviyesinde bulunuyor. \u00a0DXY endeksi i\u00e7in 97.75 seviyesinde \u00f6nemli bir destek olu\u015ftu. Bu seviyeye kadar gerileme s\u00fcrebilir. Bu durumda dolar\/TL kuru 3.0850 civar\u0131na kadar geri \u00e7ekilebilir fakat orta vadeli perspektifte dolara olan talebin art\u0131k zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. En az\u0131ndan teknik g\u00f6stergeler bu y\u00f6nde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sinyal vermiyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, dolar\/TL&#8217;nin 3.0850 seviyelerinde olu\u015fan deste\u011fine kadar gerilemesi normal olsa da bunun alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilmesi i\u00e7in, dolar\u0131n di\u011fer paralara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetmesi gerekiyor. DXY endeksinin g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafi\u011fi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da veriliyor.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47389\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/DXY-1-kasim-2016.png\" alt=\"dxy-1-kasim-2016\" width=\"493\" height=\"334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/DXY-1-kasim-2016.png 493w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/DXY-1-kasim-2016-300x203.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 493px) 100vw, 493px\" \/><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere DXY endeksi son zamanlardaki en sert y\u00fckseli\u015flerinden birini yapt\u0131. 97.50 civar\u0131ndaki direncin yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nemliydi ve Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda FED&#8217;in faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi bu direncin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck etkendi. \u015eu an d\u00f6viz konusunda bu endeksi izlemekte fayda var. \u00c7ar\u015famba ak\u015fam\u0131 FED&#8217;in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenece\u011fiz. Asl\u0131nda faiz de\u011fi\u015fmeyecek ama, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesajlar piyasalar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olacak. Sonu\u00e7 olarak, \u015fu anki ortamda dolarda birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn daha 3.0850-3.1150 aras\u0131nda hareket olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beklemek daha mant\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>BORSA<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3080894443\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Borsa d\u00fcn haftaya olumlu bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapsa da g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeniden zay\u0131flad\u0131 fakat bu sabah d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda artan risk i\u015ftah\u0131 sayesinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc 300 puanl\u0131k bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle 78.800 civar\u0131ndan g\u00fcne ba\u015flad\u0131. \u015eu an 78.880 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik BIST-100 endeksinin 60 dk&#8217;l\u0131k hareketlerini veriyor.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/BIST-1-kasim-2016.png\" alt=\"bist-1-kasim-2016\" width=\"599\" height=\"387\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/BIST-1-kasim-2016.png 599w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/BIST-1-kasim-2016-300x194.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, 599px\" \/><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Grafikte de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere son iki g\u00fcnde TKE g\u00f6stergesinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir ivme var. \u0130\u015flem miktar\u0131 ise genelde \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011fil. \u00a0Dikkat ederseniz 60 dk&#8217;l\u0131k grafiklerde 28 Ekim ile 31 Ekim aras\u0131nda \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyde \u00e7ift dip olu\u015fmu\u015f durumda. Bu formasyona g\u00f6re endeks 79.300-79.600 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar ekstra bir y\u00fckseli\u015f sergileyebilir. Fakat, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi i\u00e7in hacim bu a\u015famada yetersiz kal\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, endeksin yatay seyretmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bir \u015fekilde, \u00f6nemli bir haberle 80 binin yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olabilir mi? Bunun i\u00e7in, kesinlikle d\u0131\u015f ko\u015fullardan olumlu haberler gelmesi ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n daha da artmas\u0131 gerekir. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD&#8217;den tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi gelecek. Yar\u0131n da ADP istihdam verisi var. Bu verileri g\u00f6rmeden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir trend beklemek yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olur. Bu veriler sonras\u0131nda e\u011fer istihdam da beklentilerin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu olursa ancak o zaman k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz. \u015eu an bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Endeks yeniden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7erek 78 bini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rabilir mi? Teknik g\u00f6stergeler ve \u015fu ana kadarki geli\u015fmeler endeksin d\u0131\u015f piyasalarla uyumlu gitti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren \u015fu ana kadarki s\u00fcrede BIST-100 endeksi \u00a0hatta d\u0131\u015f piyasalardan hafif bir pozitif ayr\u0131\u015fma g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle \u00e7ok ters bir haber gelmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece bug\u00fcn veya yar\u0131n sert gerileme ve 78 binin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemem. Ama yar\u0131n ADP istihdam verisi ve FED&#8217;in toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra per\u015fembe sabah\u0131 i\u00e7in bir\u015fey s\u00f6ylemek zor. Sonu\u00e7 olarak BIST-100 i\u00e7in \u015fu an zoraki bir olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm var ve genelde b\u0131kt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacimli yatay bir seyir olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebilir.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131 dile\u011fiyle&#8230;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3703737188\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tablo \u015fu ana kadar bilan\u00e7osu a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u015firketlerin baz\u0131 \u00f6nemli oranlar\u0131n\u0131 vermektedir. Hisseler harf s\u0131ras\u0131na g\u00f6re verilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-47391\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/BILANCO-1-kasim-2016.png\" alt=\"bilanco-1-kasim-2016\" width=\"604\" height=\"2023\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/BILANCO-1-kasim-2016.png 705w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/BILANCO-1-kasim-2016-90x300.png 90w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/BILANCO-1-kasim-2016-306x1024.png 306w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 604px) 100vw, 604px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalar haftaya genel anlamda olumlu ba\u015flad\u0131. Borsa y\u00fckseli\u015f denemeleri yaparken, dolarda gerileme vard\u0131. Ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n son d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn\u00fcnde borsa d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, dolar 3.1250 seviyelerine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Fakat,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,769,1497,752,753,1496],"class_list":["post-47381","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-dolar-duser-mi","tag-dolar-tl-yorumu","tag-dolar-yorumlari","tag-dolar-yukselir-mi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47381","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47381"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47381\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47381"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47381"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47381"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}