{"id":4737,"date":"2011-09-07T08:35:00","date_gmt":"2011-09-07T05:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=4737"},"modified":"2011-09-07T09:34:15","modified_gmt":"2011-09-07T06:34:15","slug":"buyume-yavaslamasinda-farklilasma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/buyume-yavaslamasinda-farklilasma\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fcy\u00fcme Yava\u015flamas\u0131nda Farkl\u0131la\u015fma"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ramazanda yava\u015flayan toplumsal temponun ard\u0131ndan uzun say\u0131labilecek bir de bayram tatili ya\u015fad\u0131k. Pek \u00e7o\u011fumuz i\u00e7in ramazan bayram\u0131 yaz tatilinin pe\u015fine tak\u0131ld\u0131. B\u00f6ylece uzay\u0131p giden bir tatil d\u00f6nemi ge\u00e7irdik. Hi\u00e7 de fena olmad\u0131 do\u011frusu. Uzun dinlence san\u0131r\u0131m herkese iyi geldi. Yeni d\u00f6neme bir enerji birikimi ile ba\u015flad\u0131k.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1059266412\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda insanlar\u0131n temposu duraklarken d\u00fcnya durmad\u0131 tabii. Yaz ba\u015f\u0131nda ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olan baz\u0131\u00a0 k\u00fcresel e\u011filimler son iki ayda daha yerle\u015fik hale geldi. Bu e\u011filimlerin daha da s\u00fcrece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte egemen olmaya ba\u015flayan temel e\u011filimlerin ba\u015f\u0131nda iktisadi b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131 geliyor. Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde biraz daha vurgulu olan, biraz daha \u00f6nceden devreye giren yava\u015flama\u00a0 e\u011filiminin\u00a0 \u015fimdilerde geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilere de bula\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla yaz ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6rece s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalan yava\u015flama e\u011filimi mevsim sonunda daha yayg\u0131n ve yerle\u015fik hale geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131\u00a0 y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve\u00a0 sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 kriz \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc bozuyor. Sa\u011fl\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc adeta tersine d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Tersine d\u00f6nmenin k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtt\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0 beklenti bozulmas\u0131 yava\u015flama e\u011filimini daha da peki\u015ftiriyor. B\u00f6ylece genel bir durgunluk sarmal\u0131 olu\u015fuyormu\u015f gibi bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ortaya.<\/p>\n<p>Genelleme yapmadan \u00f6nce k\u00fcresel yava\u015flama dinami\u011finin pek de \u00fczerinde durulmayan bir \u00f6zelli\u011fine vurgu yap\u0131lmas\u0131 do\u011fru olur. \u0130ktisadi b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki yava\u015flama geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde farkl\u0131 dozlarda oluyor, farkl\u0131 anlamlara sahip\u00a0 ve farkl\u0131 alg\u0131lamalar yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler\u00a0 k\u00fcresel krizden g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ve olduk\u00e7a\u00a0 teredd\u00fctl\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme performanslar\u0131 ile \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131lar. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu \u00fclkelerde\u00a0 b\u00fcy\u00fcme olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir d\u00fczeydeyken yeniden yava\u015flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Zaten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n daha da d\u00fc\u015fmesi bu \u00fclkelerin ciddi bir resesyona gitti\u011fi, yeni bir dip noktas\u0131na do\u011fru s\u00fcr\u00fcklendikleri gibi bir kayg\u0131lar yarat\u0131yor. Bu \u00fclkelere d\u00f6n\u00fck risk alg\u0131lamas\u0131 da buna g\u00f6re bi\u00e7imleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler k\u00fcresel krizden g\u00f6rece daha y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme temposu ile \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131lar. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu \u00fclkelerde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131nda bir ka\u00e7 puanl\u0131k gerileme d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir anlam ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yor. Yani, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015fl\u0131yor olmas\u0131, en az\u0131ndan \u015fimdilik,\u00a0 resesyon ya da dibe yuvarlanma beklentisi yaratm\u0131yor, b\u00f6yle bir risk alg\u0131s\u0131 \u00fcretmiyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3977314449\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Zaten, dikkat ederseniz, yava\u015flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme sorunsal\u0131na ili\u015fkin tart\u0131\u015fmalarda sadece geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelere, \u00f6zellikle de\u00a0 ABD ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi&#8217;ne at\u0131fla konu\u015fuluyor. Adeta tek boyutlu bir tart\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\u00a0 \u0130ki grup \u00fclkedeki yava\u015flaman\u0131n hem g\u00f6reli doz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hem de yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131 evreni a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde farkl\u0131la\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 yarat\u0131yor bu tek boyutlulu\u011fu.<\/p>\n<p>*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki\u00a0 yava\u015flaman\u0131n iki \u00fclke grubu aras\u0131nda farkl\u0131la\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 yava\u015flamaya kar\u015f\u0131 geli\u015ftirilen iktisat politikas\u0131 tepkilerini de farkl\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Yava\u015flaman\u0131n neredeyse resesyon ba\u011flam\u0131nda alg\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0 geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde iktisat politikalar\u0131n\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle para politikas\u0131n\u0131n, gev\u015fetildi\u011fi ya da zaten gev\u015fek olan politikalar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesinde israr edildi\u011fi dikkati \u00e7ekiyor. Bu \u00fclkelerde parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma, faiz y\u00fckseltme vb gibi \u00f6nlemlere d\u00f6n\u00fck bir i\u015ftaha hen\u00fcz rastlanm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k yava\u015flaman\u0131n sadece b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131nda bir ka\u00e7 puanl\u0131k gerileme olarak alg\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde\u00a0 y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na do\u011fru devreye sokulmu\u015f olan politika s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n, biraz utanga\u00e7 bi\u00e7imde de olsa, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2710845322\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin pek \u00e7o\u011funda k\u00fcresel krizden g\u00f6rece y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131 ile \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck dozda \u0131s\u0131nma yaratm\u0131\u015f, enflasyonu hareketlendirmi\u015fti. Enflasyon tehdidini\u00a0 g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcslemek amac\u0131yla iktisat politikalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\u00a0 \u015eimdi yeniden devreye giren yava\u015flama e\u011filimi politika gev\u015femesine yol a\u00e7masa da var olan s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n biraz gev\u015fetilmesi sonucunu do\u011furmu\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz sonunda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin ahvali b\u00f6yle. Sonbahar\u0131 bu ahvali tart\u0131\u015farak ge\u00e7irece\u011fiz san\u0131r\u0131m.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ramazanda yava\u015flayan toplumsal temponun ard\u0131ndan uzun say\u0131labilecek bir de bayram tatili ya\u015fad\u0131k. Pek \u00e7o\u011fumuz i\u00e7in ramazan bayram\u0131 yaz tatilinin pe\u015fine tak\u0131ld\u0131. B\u00f6ylece uzay\u0131p giden bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":901,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4737\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/901"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}