{"id":47027,"date":"2016-09-29T06:09:09","date_gmt":"2016-09-29T03:09:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=47027"},"modified":"2016-09-29T06:09:09","modified_gmt":"2016-09-29T03:09:09","slug":"cetin-unsalan-kac-firma-kapanacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-kac-firma-kapanacak\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Ka\u00e7 firma kapanacak?  \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>IMF Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Lagarde, d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki a\u00e7maza de\u011finiyor da, meselenin ger\u00e7ek resmini ge\u00e7i\u015ftiriyor. Chicago\u2019daki konu\u015fmas\u0131nda Lagarde, d\u00fcnyadaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne ve ticaretin gerilemesine dikkat \u00e7ekerek yava\u015flaman\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na de\u011findi.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1859953725\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Esasen benzer temennileri ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn konu\u015fan sanayicilerle bulu\u015fan Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Murat \u00c7ekinkaya da yapt\u0131. Belki biraz bizim sorunlardan daha ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z vurgusunun da alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerek\u2026 Dip not; elbette bu ger\u00e7e\u011fi yans\u0131tm\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n<p>Foto\u011fraf\u0131 biraz daha a\u00e7al\u0131m. G20 toplant\u0131lar\u0131ndan yurti\u00e7i ve yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00e7e\u015fitli organizasyonlara kadar her erde bu konu\u015fuluyor mu? Evet\u2026 \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu sorun saklanmayacak kadar aleni bir hal ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Peki \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm ne? Lagarde d\u00fcnyada ticaretin mutlaka artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u00c7ekinkaya al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemlerle piyasalar\u0131n rahatlayaca\u011f\u0131na vurgu yapt\u0131. Her toplant\u0131da ayn\u0131 s\u00f6ylemin \u00fczerinde duruluyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcme desteklenmeli\u2026 Nas\u0131l? Yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 yaparak\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Ne gariptir ki; bu yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131n ne oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131k konu\u015fulmuyor ama kapal\u0131 kap\u0131lar ard\u0131nda herkes birbirini teslim almak ad\u0131na tavsiyelerde bulunuyor. Oysa sorunlar\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in konu\u015fulmas\u0131 gereken; kalk\u0131nma odakl\u0131 planl\u0131 ekonomiye ge\u00e7i\u015f olmal\u0131. Fakat kimsenin derdi bu de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc son 15 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde \u00f6yle bir t\u00fcketim ekonomisi yarat\u0131ld\u0131 ki; \u015fimdi i\u015fin i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131kmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmuyor. D\u00fcnyada kumar ekonomisiyle yarat\u0131lan ortam, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazanan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, yarat\u0131lan sahte para cenneti kapasitelerin de geni\u015fletilmesi sonucunu do\u011furdu.<\/p>\n<p>Zira bol para da\u011f\u0131t\u0131l\u0131yordu ve herkesin t\u00fcketmesi tavsiye edilirken, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin de bu yolla sa\u011flanabilece\u011finin \u00fczerinde duruluyordu. 2008 krizinin ard\u0131ndan finans odakl\u0131 bu yap\u0131 patlay\u0131p, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemeyece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131nca boyalar d\u00f6k\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn ders al\u0131nmam\u0131\u015f olacak ki halen b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n yolunun buradan ge\u00e7ece\u011fi konusunda yurti\u00e7i ve yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ikna \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bunun esasen tek bir a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 var. Sen d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc (!) yap ki, bat\u0131klar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131lan pazar pay\u0131na ben mal satay\u0131m.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-405362702\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ne yaz\u0131k ki IMF politikalar\u0131ndan kurtuldu\u011funu iddia eden T\u00fcrkiye de ayn\u0131 trene binmi\u015f, u\u00e7uruma do\u011fru son s\u00fcrat gidiyor. S\u00fcrekli bir yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi, tam olarak muhteviyat\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanmayan bir yap\u0131sal reform vurgusu insanlara, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131na empoze ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ger\u00e7ek \u015fu ki d\u00fcnyada da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir arz fazlas\u0131 var ve daralan t\u00fcketimin bu sorunu kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Doldurulamayan kapasiteler, daralan i\u015f hacmi \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kapasitenin ortadan kalkmas\u0131na neden olacak.<\/p>\n<p>Yani yurti\u00e7inde de, d\u00fcnya genelinde \u00e7ok say\u0131da firma kapanacak. Elbette bunun getirece\u011fi i\u015fsizlik, sosyal sorunlar gibi bir dizi problem de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze gelecek. Lagarde t\u00fcm bunlar olmayacak, d\u00fcnyada arz fazlas\u0131 yokmu\u015f gibi, halen i\u015fin zorlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnyaya entegre olmakla, d\u00fcnyaya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmay\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131ran ekonomi y\u00f6netimimiz ise duyduklar\u0131n\u0131 tekrarl\u0131yor. Oysa b\u00f6ylesi d\u00f6nemler yar\u0131na ili\u015fkin ger\u00e7ek haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131, kay\u0131plar\u0131 azaltacak politikalar geli\u015ftirilmesini ve ger\u00e7ekten yap\u0131sal s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in eyleme ge\u00e7ilmesi gerektirir. Bunun i\u00e7in de \u00f6nce i\u015fe, do\u011frular\u0131 s\u00f6yleyerek ba\u015flamak \u015fart.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3567556365\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u0131\u015fta Lagarde, i\u00e7te \u00c7ekinkaya inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olmak istiyorsa, daralan d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131nda ka\u00e7 firman\u0131n batma ihtimalinin oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klamal\u0131. Fakat bunu konu\u015fabilmek \u00e7ok zor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc hepsinin ba\u015f\u0131nda siyasetin k\u0131l\u0131c\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<p>Onlar da do\u011fruyu s\u00f6ylemek yerine; kolay\u0131 se\u00e7iyorlar. Yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131n. Yani bildi\u011fimiz anlam\u0131yla al\u0131n verin, ekonomiye can verin. Neyle; kime; nas\u0131l? Dolmayan kapasiteler, k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u00f6demeler zinciri i\u00e7erisinde yeniden yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiye etmenin tek bir anlam\u0131 var. Biraz daha kolay bat\u0131n. \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm istiyorsak; \u00f6nce ger\u00e7ekle ve hatalarla y\u00fczle\u015fece\u011fiz. Gerisi hamaset..<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IMF Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Lagarde, d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki a\u00e7maza de\u011finiyor da, meselenin ger\u00e7ek resmini ge\u00e7i\u015ftiriyor. Chicago\u2019daki konu\u015fmas\u0131nda Lagarde, d\u00fcnyadaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne ve ticaretin gerilemesine dikkat \u00e7ekerek yava\u015flaman\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-47027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47027","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47027"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47027\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47027"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47027"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47027"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}