{"id":466,"date":"2011-05-30T09:04:54","date_gmt":"2011-05-30T07:04:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.net\/?p=466"},"modified":"2011-06-04T19:42:01","modified_gmt":"2011-06-04T16:42:01","slug":"piyasalar-icin-karisik-bir-hafta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/piyasalar-icin-karisik-bir-hafta\/","title":{"rendered":"Piyasalar i\u00e7in kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir hafta!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0130YASALAR\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>son<\/strong><\/span><\/a> g\u00fcnlerde olduk\u00e7a dalgal\u0131 bir seyir izliyor. Bu haftan\u0131n y\u00f6n g\u00f6sterecek 2 endikat\u00f6r\u00fc, \u20181 dolar+1 euro\u2019 sepeti ve 13 g\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 35 gerileyen 2 ay\u0131n en \u2018h\u0131r\u00e7\u0131n\u2019 emtias\u0131 g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3963570736\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>12 Haziran\u2019daki genel se\u00e7imlere 10 i\u015f g\u00fcn\u00fc kald\u0131. Bug\u00fcn ABD piyasalar\u0131 tatil. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015flarda bug\u00fcnk\u00fc tatilin etkileri hissedildi. \u00d6zellikle de euro\/dolar paritesinde g\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda sanki \u2018Aman tatil nedeniyle\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>bir<\/strong><\/span><\/a> \u015fey ka\u00e7\u0131rmayal\u0131m\u2019 tavr\u0131 vard\u0131. G\u00fcn\u00fc haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde kapatan euro, adeta b\u00fcnyesindeki sorunlar\u0131 yok varsay\u0131yor gibiydi! 1.4324 ile haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6ren euro, g\u00fcn\u00fc 1.4316\u2019dan kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta en az ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>kadar<\/strong><\/span><\/a> kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir hafta olmaya aday. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta hem i\u00e7eride hem de yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ciddi oranda hareketlili\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u015fahit olduk!<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7eride se\u00e7im rallisi bekleyenler bu g\u00fcne kadar bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131lar. \u0130MKB haftal\u0131k bazda d\u00fc\u015ferken, hafta i\u00e7inde adeta k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 sarho\u015f eden y\u00fckseli\u015f\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hareketleriyle \u201cekstra zararlar\u0131n\u201d yaz\u0131lmas\u0131na da neden oldu! Borsan\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra tahvil piyasas\u0131 ve d\u00f6viz cephesinde de i\u00e7eride ciddi hareketler oldu. G\u00f6sterge bono bile\u015fikleri y\u00fczde 8.97 ile y\u00fczde 9\u2019a\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>yak\u0131n<\/strong><\/span><\/a> bir \u015fekilde kapan\u0131rken; \u20181 dolar+1 euro\u2018 sepeti de 3.9040 seviyesi ile 30 Mart 2009\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131!<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki d\u00f6viz cephesinde de bir keyifsizlik var.\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>Dolar<\/strong><\/span><\/a>\/TL baz\u0131nda her ne kadar 1.6180 tutuyor g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de euronun 1.4050\u2019lerden 1.43\u2019lere kadar g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ra\u011fmen dolar, TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korudu ve kurlar bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc 1.60\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na in(e)medi! Hal b\u00f6yle olunca da euro\/TL kurlar\u0131nda TL\u2019nin de\u011fer yitirdi\u011fini, bunun da \u201csepeti\u201d yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u015fahit oluyoruz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cSepet\u201d daha y\u00fckselir mi? <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Krizin en derin yerinde yani 9 Mrt 2009\u2019da 4.1210 seviyesine kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015f sepet. \u015eimdilik bu olas\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Ancak teknik olarak 3.9830 seviyesine kadar bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bu nas\u0131l m\u00fcmk\u00fcn ger\u00e7ekle\u015fir derseniz, paritenin 1.4350\u2019lerde \u201cyuvarland\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d varsay\u0131m\u0131yla, dolar\/TL kurlar\u0131n\u0131n 1.6180\u2019\u0131 k\u0131rarak 1.6350-1.6440 seviyelerine kadar y\u00fckselmesiyle m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<p>Bu haftan\u0131n y\u00f6n g\u00f6sterecek 2 endikat\u00f6r\u00fcnden birisi \u201csepet\u201d olacak. Di\u011feri mi? O da bence g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f!<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3362553459\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Neden g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f derseniz, son 2 ay\u0131n en \u201ch\u0131r\u00e7\u0131n\u201d metas\u0131 g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f idi. Dolar\/ons baz\u0131nda 49.82 ile rekor k\u0131rd\u0131ktan sonra 13 i\u015f g\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7inde 32.34\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ferek y\u00fczde 35.1 de\u011fer yitirdi. Benzer d\u00f6nemlerde, \u201ck\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir gecikmeyle\u201d euro da 1.3970\u2019e geriledi hat\u0131rlarsan\u0131z. \u015eimdi hem g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte hem de di\u011fer metalarda d\u00fczeltme d\u00f6nemindeyiz. Y\u00fckseli\u015flerin\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ha\u015far\u0131 metas\u0131 g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f de bu toparlanma d\u00f6nemine bir anlamda liderlik ediyor, t\u0131pk\u0131 son b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fte oldu\u011fu gibi.<\/p>\n<p>Nereye kadar devam eder bu d\u00fczeltme derseniz, ilk hedef 39.50. Bu seviye hem teknik bir d\u00fczeltme seviyesi hem de 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama! Bu seviyenin \u00fczeri 41.10 seviyesini g\u00fcndeme getirecektir. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fteki bu hareketler genelde t\u00fcm varl\u0131k piyasalar\u0131nda \u201ceski oyuna d\u00f6n\u00fcl\u00fcyor mu\u201d d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerin tetikleyebilir. Hem emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, hem de euronun Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc seviyelerinden bir miktar daha y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz . Borsalar\u0131 da \u00e7eker mi? \u2018Eski oyuna d\u00f6n\u00fcl\u00fcyor\u2019havas\u0131 da ister istemez hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 da pozitif etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak, hem g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, hem de euro paritesinde y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyelinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Belirtmi\u015f oldu\u011fum teknik seviyelerden yeni bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131 gelirse bu beni \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmayacakt\u0131r. Zira halen daha g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte 30 dolar\/ons, euro\/dolar paritesinde de 1.3650 seviyelerinin as\u0131l hedefler oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u0130MKB 100\u2019de de bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda (\u00f6zellikle de haz\u0131r ABD piyasalar\u0131 tatildeyken) derlenip\/toparlanma g\u00f6rsek de haftan\u0131n \u00f6zellikle ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra yeniden keyifsiz bir havan\u0131n hakim oldu\u011funa \u015fahit olabiliriz. \u0130MKB\u2019de bir anda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecek \u201chormonlu talep\u201d t\u00fcm bu resmi k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine de olsa de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir . Ancak se\u00e7ime 10 g\u00fcn gibi k\u0131sa bir zaman kalm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 bu talebin yaratabilece\u011fi \u201cetkiyi\u201d de azaltabilecek!<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-925167451\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130MKB 100\u2019de ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn durdu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131yla 63.900-64.000 band\u0131na do\u011fru bir toparlanma g\u00f6rebiliriz. \u0130ster sonras\u0131nda, isterse d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hen\u00fcz durmam\u0131\u015f ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket devam ediyor olsun, as\u0131l hedef 59,750 seviyesi olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, dolar\/TL kurlar\u0131n da 1.64\u2019l\u00fc seviyelere y\u00fckseldi\u011fi bir zamana denk gelecek olur ise burunlar\u0131 \u201cdaha hasas\u201d olan baz\u0131 k\u00f6pekbal\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 mutlaka harekete ge\u00e7irecektir. Her zamankinden de dikkatli olunmas\u0131nda fayda olan g\u00fcnlerdeyiz!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0130YASALAR\u00a0son g\u00fcnlerde olduk\u00e7a dalgal\u0131 bir seyir izliyor. Bu haftan\u0131n y\u00f6n g\u00f6sterecek 2 endikat\u00f6r\u00fc, \u20181 dolar+1 euro\u2019 sepeti ve 13 g\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 35 gerileyen 2 ay\u0131n&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/466","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=466"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/466\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=466"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=466"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=466"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}