{"id":46534,"date":"2016-08-14T22:43:31","date_gmt":"2016-08-14T19:43:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=46534"},"modified":"2016-08-15T08:47:36","modified_gmt":"2016-08-15T05:47:36","slug":"cetin-unsalan-ekonomiye-yunanistan-modeli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-ekonomiye-yunanistan-modeli\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Ekonomiye Yunanistan modeli  \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flayan ve 2009 ile birlikte t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada etkilerini hissettiren d\u00fcnya krizi bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkenin de bat\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 finanse etmesi ile ilgili problemleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3457243460\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>ABD\u2019de ad\u0131na mortgage denilen, ama esasen t\u00fcrev piyasalarla olu\u015fturulan o \u00fcretmeden t\u00fcket ekonomisinin iflas etti\u011fi, kumarhanenin \u00e7at\u0131s\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve halen de \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u00fcre\u00e7ten bahsediyorum.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerindeki t\u00fcm g\u00f6stergelere kar\u015f\u0131n halen sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kavu\u015famayan ABD, \u0130ngiltere, Fransa, Portekiz, \u0130spanya, \u0130talya ve bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fen \u00fclkenin s\u0131rat k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fcnde y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler \u00fczerinden \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 neredeyse kesinle\u015fen ikinci dip ise g\u00fcnl\u00fck bazda \u00e7\u0131rp\u0131n\u0131\u015flarla \u00f6teleniyor. \u015e\u00fcphe g\u00f6t\u00fcrmez bir ger\u00e7ek ki d\u00fcnyay\u0131, bu \u00fclkeler \u00fczerinden daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kriz dalgas\u0131 bekliyor ve ne yaz\u0131k ki \u00e7ok uzak de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar ya\u015fan\u0131rken, yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda bir \u00fclke iktisaden \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc. Yunanistan\u2026 Oynanm\u0131\u015f bilan\u00e7olar, bat\u0131k kurulu\u015flar, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z kullan\u0131lan bor\u00e7lar ve fonlar, kom\u015fuyu i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmaz bir noktaya getirdi. Sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te ya\u015fananlar\u0131 hat\u0131rl\u0131yorsunuz. Domino etkisi nedeniyle bor\u00e7lar\u0131 yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lan ve \u00f6telendik\u00e7e \u00f6telenen bir yap\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu\u2026<\/p>\n<p>O g\u00fcnlerde bir ifadem olmu\u015ftu ve \u00e7o\u011fu insan ya inanmam\u0131\u015f ya da ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z sahte cennet nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u015ferbetli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00dclkemizde kom\u015funun bu durumuyla dalga ge\u00e7enlere kar\u015f\u0131 \u015funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftim: Bu kafayla gidersek, iddia ediyorum bir g\u00fcn Yunanistan bize kahkahayla g\u00fclecek.<\/p>\n<p>Ama ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 geliri bizden kat be kat yukar\u0131da olan bu \u00fclkenin insanlar\u0131yla dalga ge\u00e7enler, d\u00f6n\u00fcp de aynada kendilerine bakmad\u0131lar. Yetinmediler; Yunanistan mal m\u00fclk ne varsa hepsini sat\u0131\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131n\u0131, yani tabir yerindeyse hacze u\u011framas\u0131n\u0131 ego konusu yapt\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>Niye dalga ge\u00e7meye devam ettiler? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemi iflas etmi\u015f, bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yap\u0131land\u0131rmaya u\u011fra\u015fan, kambiyo rejimi \u00fczerinde m\u00fcdahil olan, eldeki milli varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, adalar dahil tek tek sat\u0131\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karan bir \u00fclke s\u00f6z konusuydu.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1015523424\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, y\u0131llard\u0131r \u00fcretmeden t\u00fcketen, kumar ekonomisinin oyun sahas\u0131 haline gelen T\u00fcrkiye hi\u00e7 ders almam\u0131\u015f ve almamaya da devam ediyor. 750 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir ekonomiye sahip T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 411 milyar dolarl\u0131k pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmezden geliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Son iki y\u0131lda, binden fazla \u015firketin iflas mahkemelerine ba\u015fvurmu\u015f olmas\u0131n\u0131, alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 alamayanlar\u0131n do\u011fal olarak da \u00f6demelerini yapamayanlar\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u2018k\u00f6t\u00fc niyet\u2019 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131n\u0131 yok say\u0131yoruz. Enflasyonu k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde oynamalarla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6sterip, y\u00fczde 30 civar\u0131nda enflasyon ya\u015fayan halk\u0131n aradaki fark\u0131 bor\u00e7lanarak kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmezden geliyoruz. Geldi\u011fimiz noktada:<\/p>\n<p>26, 4 milyon vatanda\u015f bor\u00e7lu. 3 ki\u015filik aile ve bek\u00e2rlar ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda iki ki\u015fiden hesaplarsak, asl\u0131nda bu borcun alt\u0131nda kalan n\u00fcfus 52 milyonu ge\u00e7iyor. Yani T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7te ikisi\u2026 Resmi rakamlara g\u00f6re hane halk\u0131 bor\u00e7 oran\u0131, \u00fclkenin bor\u00e7 oran\u0131 i\u00e7inde y\u00fczde 50 paya sahip. Hat\u0131rlat\u0131r\u0131m 2001 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu oran y\u00fczde 4 idi. Ayr\u0131ca bunun da 750 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde hesap yap\u0131larak bu oranlara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, ger\u00e7ek oran\u0131n y\u00fczde 65 d\u00fczeyinde oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatmakta fayda var.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1173606830\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Son bir y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde 1,9 trilyon TL nakit kredi kulland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f. Bunlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn bor\u00e7 yap\u0131land\u0131rmas\u0131 oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131k\u2026 B\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc vatanda\u015fa bankalar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kulland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken, reel sekt\u00f6rde ilk iki s\u0131ray\u0131 perakende ve in\u015faat al\u0131yor. Yani ya t\u00fcketime, ya topra\u011fa para yat\u0131r\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7ta geldi\u011fimiz nokta ne? D\u0131\u015far\u0131dan para gelmiyor. Hatta kayna\u011f\u0131 belirsiz para bile haziran ay\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na g\u00f6re 1,5 milyar dolar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapm\u0131\u015f. TL \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde deval\u00fce edilmi\u015f, \u015firketler k\u0131sa vadeli bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyemez noktada.<\/p>\n<p>Her y\u0131l bulmam\u0131z gereken nakit para, cari a\u00e7\u0131k finansman\u0131 dahil 2015 rakamlar\u0131yla 207 milyar dolar. Yurti\u00e7inde vergi ve benzeri yollarla para toplama s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 oldu\u011fundan Cumhuriyet tarihinin 49. aff\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, \u2018ne toplarsak\u2019 kafas\u0131 ortaya konuluyor. Dolayl\u0131 vergiler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor, ka\u00e7ak \u00fcr\u00fcn al\u0131mlar\u0131 art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcne kadar elde ne var ne yok, hepsini satan \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi \u015fimdi son bir hamle ile tencerenin dibini kaz\u0131yor. 100\u2019den fazla devlet kurumu i\u00e7in \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme hamlesi ba\u015flat\u0131l\u0131yor; yine torba kanunla fiili durum yarat\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlarla yetinmeyen \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi ise bir yanda 45 ya\u015f alt\u0131 insanlara zorla sigorta sat\u0131yor; di\u011fer yanda taksit say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131r\u0131p \u2018hem cebindekini, hem gelece\u011fini\u2019 diyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda bu tablonun sonunda Yunanistan bize g\u00fcler mi, g\u00fclmez mi? Onun karar\u0131n\u0131 herkes kendi akl\u0131nda versin; ama a\u00e7\u0131k olan bir \u015fey var ki, san\u0131r\u0131m \u00fclkede ekonomiye Yunanistan modeli uygulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flayan ve 2009 ile birlikte t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada etkilerini hissettiren d\u00fcnya krizi bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkenin de bat\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 finanse etmesi ile ilgili problemleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. ABD\u2019de&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-46534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46534","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46534"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46534\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}