{"id":46273,"date":"2016-07-20T20:54:20","date_gmt":"2016-07-20T17:54:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=46273"},"modified":"2016-07-20T20:54:20","modified_gmt":"2016-07-20T17:54:20","slug":"cetin-unsalan-notalama","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-notalama\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Not(a)lama  \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131 yine ata\u011fa ge\u00e7ti. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den de tepki g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 bu kurulu\u015flar\u0131n \u00e7ok objektif davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ben de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Ekonomik olarak de\u011ferlendirmeleri gereken bir\u00e7ok hususu, siyasi kayg\u0131larla olumlu ya da olumsuz y\u00f6nlendirdikleri genel bir kanaat.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-770733107\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Fakat kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda Moody\u2019s\u2019in \u00e7\u00f6p uyar\u0131s\u0131, S&amp;P\u2019nin de not d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcm\u00fc var. Do\u011fal olarak i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndan da buna y\u00f6nelik tepkiler y\u00fckseldi. Hakl\u0131 m\u0131, son derece hakl\u0131lar. Ama durum hi\u00e7 de \u00f6yle s\u00f6ylendi\u011fi gibi de\u011fil. Daha anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r olmas\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayattan bir \u00f6rnek verelim.<\/p>\n<p>Diyelim ki mahallede mesela bir bakkal var ve ayn\u0131 zamanda tefecilerle ili\u015fki i\u00e7inde. Siz de bu ki\u015fiden pek ho\u015flanm\u0131yorsunuz. Ne s\u00f6yledi\u011fi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli mi? Kesinlikle hay\u0131r\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Ama siz gidip o ki\u015finin kefaletiyle bir yerlerden kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z bor\u00e7 kulland\u0131ysan\u0131z, o ki\u015fi gelirlerinizin giderlerinizi kar\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fark etmesine ra\u011fmen, kendisinden daha \u00e7ok al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f yapman\u0131z kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bunu bor\u00e7 ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131za farkl\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131ysa, siz de evdekilere \u00e7ok para kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 s\u00f6ylediyseniz durum de\u011fi\u015fir mi?<\/p>\n<p>Bu foto\u011fraf i\u00e7erisinde d\u00fcr\u00fcst kim? Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131, IMF, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 gibi kurulu\u015flarla T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ili\u015fkisi tam da bu.S\u0131cak para gelirken, y\u00fcksek k\u00e2rlar s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in yapt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131za g\u00f6z yumduysa, \u2018alan memnun satan memnun\u2019 ili\u015fkiniz devam ederken, evdekilerin ruhu duymad\u0131ysa, \u015fimdi bu \u015fik\u00e2yet niye?<\/p>\n<p>Burada bir tek k\u0131r\u0131lma noktas\u0131 var. O da hafta sonunda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, lanetlenmesi gereken kalk\u0131\u015fma hareketi. Bununla bir ilgisi olabilir mi? O halde ger\u00e7e\u011fimizle y\u00fczle\u015felim. \u00c7ok uzun zamand\u0131r zaten bu kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131, s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fumuzu biliyor, raporlar\u0131n\u0131n dip notlar\u0131nda belirtiyor, ama belki siyaseten birilerinin de beklentilerine uyarak, not d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Kalk\u0131\u015fmayla, not ve uyar\u0131 \u015fiddetinin artmas\u0131n\u0131n nedenini ekonomide de\u011fil, siyasette aramak gerekiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc iktisaden notumuzun \u00e7ok \u00f6nceden d\u00fc\u015fmesi gerekirdi. Bu saatten sonra ili\u015fkiler d\u00fczelir mi, emin de\u011filim. Parasal geni\u015fleme olup, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere kaymayaca\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re tek fakt\u00f6r T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin siyaseten taviz vermesi. Onda da sadece not deste\u011fi olur, para de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>O halde, haz\u0131r Erdo\u011fan-Putin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinin arifesindeyken, T\u00fcrkiye anlams\u0131z kahramanl\u0131klarla bu i\u015fe k\u0131zmak yerine, politik bir tak\u0131m de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri g\u00fcndemine almal\u0131, bunun ekonomik sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilerek, s\u0131\u011f\u0131nma de\u011fil, ortak gelecek kayg\u0131s\u0131yla bu ili\u015fkileri de buna g\u00f6re projelendirmeli. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu notlama, asl\u0131nda verilen bir ekopolitik notad\u0131r ve onun da m\u00fczikle ilgisi yoktur.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4248717333\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>E\u011fer meseleyi buradan okumuyorsan\u0131z, kusura bakmay\u0131n; bu oyunun i\u00e7inde zaten d\u00fcr\u00fcst kimse yok. Do\u011fal olarak k\u0131zmak da anlams\u0131z oluyor. K\u0131zarsan\u0131z, biri \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p der ki, kazan\u0131n do\u011furdu\u011funa inan\u0131yorsun da, \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne niye inanm\u0131yorsun?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131 yine ata\u011fa ge\u00e7ti. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den de tepki g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 bu kurulu\u015flar\u0131n \u00e7ok objektif davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ben de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Ekonomik olarak de\u011ferlendirmeleri gereken bir\u00e7ok&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-46273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46273","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46273"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46273\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46273"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46273"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46273"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}