{"id":45780,"date":"2016-06-08T21:49:49","date_gmt":"2016-06-08T18:49:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=45780"},"modified":"2016-06-09T08:48:27","modified_gmt":"2016-06-09T05:48:27","slug":"turkiye-olumlu-ayrisir-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/turkiye-olumlu-ayrisir-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; T\u00fcrkiye olumlu ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131r m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>\u00d6nce d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir krize girece\u011fine, sonra girdi\u011fine inanmad\u0131lar; ard\u0131ndan krizin ge\u00e7ici olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u2026 Yalanc\u0131 baharlara inan\u0131p, palavran\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini anlatt\u0131lar meydanlarda. Gelen paray\u0131 ulufe da\u011f\u0131t\u0131rcas\u0131na sa\u00e7t\u0131lar sa\u011fa sola. \u00a0Fakat matematik bir sana, bir bana i\u015fledi; oysa sana dedikleri 70 milyon, bana dedikleri en fazla 8 milyondu.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2662694698\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Sonra petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131lar; ters tepti. Kaybedilen pazarlar\u0131n Rusya ile telafi edilece\u011fini anlatt\u0131lar; Rusya ile kavgal\u0131 oldular. Hepsi bir yana Avrupa pazar\u0131 bizi kurtaracakt\u0131, sonra oras\u0131 da \u2018Ey Avrupa\u2019 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ama emin olun bunlar\u0131n hepsi bir tiyatroydu. Bu \u00e7arp\u0131k ekonomik yap\u0131s\u0131yla bu filmin sonu daha 15 y\u0131l \u00f6nceden belliydi. \u0130nanmad\u0131lar; inanmad\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ark\u0131 terse d\u00f6nd\u00fcrecek bir \u015fey yapmad\u0131lar; inanmak istemediler; istemeyenleri inand\u0131rd\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi geldi\u011fimiz noktada d\u00fcnyan\u0131n h\u0131zla bir daralmaya gitti\u011fini kabul etmek zorunda kald\u0131lar. Yeni masal ise T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu iktisadi felaketten olumlu ayr\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131\u2026 \u0130nanmasa da Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm kabine bunun \u00fczerine oynuyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u0130nan\u0131n bu temenninin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini benden daha fazla isteyemezler. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ben de sizin gibi, di\u011fer 70 milyon gibi, bu filmin fatura \u00f6deyen taraf\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131m. Ama ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmaz isek, hayallerimizin bizi kand\u0131rmas\u0131na izin verirsek, sonu\u00e7ta de\u011fi\u015fecek tek \u015fey, faturan\u0131n biraz daha a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fmas\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Peki T\u00fcrkiye ger\u00e7ekten olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fabilir mi? Sonda s\u00f6yleyece\u011fimi ba\u015ftan s\u00f6yleyeyim. B\u00f6yle bir ihtimal olsa, FED\u2019in faiz artt\u0131r\u0131p artt\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 korku i\u00e7inde takip etmeyiz. Yani bu s\u00f6ylem de, t\u0131pk\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ekonomi s\u00f6ylemi gibi, koca bir palavra.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en k\u0131r\u0131lgan ekonomileri aras\u0131nda birinci s\u0131rada g\u00f6sterilen bir \u00fclke olmasayd\u0131k; geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7inde en fazla risk ta\u015f\u0131yan olarak g\u00f6sterilmeseydik; 400 milyar dolara yak\u0131n bir d\u00f6viz pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na sahip olmasayd\u0131k; i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f toplam 600 milyar dolara yak\u0131n bir borca sahip olmasayd\u0131k belki olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fabilirdik.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnyaya satt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00fcr\u00fcnler i\u00e7erisinde olmazsa olmaz ihtiya\u00e7 maddeleri ve teknolojik \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin pay\u0131, ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc kapsasayd\u0131 ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesinden \u00f6nce bor\u00e7 de\u011fil, birikim yapm\u0131\u015f olsayd\u0131k belki olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fabilirdik.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3946198487\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131ll\u0131k 200 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n nakit paraya ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olmasayd\u0131; mesela dolar basma yetkimiz olsayd\u0131, ki yok,; d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck markalara sahip olup, katma de\u011ferli sat\u0131\u015flar elde edebilseydik, yani fasoncu olmasayd\u0131k belki olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fabilirdik.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcne kadar gelen paray\u0131 finansman yap\u0131p, \u00fcretimi destekleyip, \u00fcretim yap\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 farkl\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rsayd\u0131k, bor\u00e7 yapmak yerine, imalat yapmay\u0131 ve bunu uluslararas\u0131 pazarlara yerle\u015fik bir bi\u00e7imde satmay\u0131 ba\u015farm\u0131\u015f olsayd\u0131k belki olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fabilirdik.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Kom\u015fular\u0131m\u0131zla kavgal\u0131 olmasayd\u0131k; kendimizi dev aynas\u0131nda g\u00f6rmek yerine, dersimizi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsayd\u0131k; ger\u00e7ek y\u00f6neticilerle yar\u0131n\u0131 kurgulasayd\u0131k; sorunlar\u0131m\u0131zla y\u00fczle\u015febilseydik belki olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fabilirdik.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 sayfalarca yazmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn&#8230; Ama en \u00f6nemli ne biliyor musunuz? Biz, biz olarak kalabilseydik; d\u00fcnyadan geli\u015fmeyi al\u0131p, geli\u015ftirebilseydik; bo\u015f hayaller pe\u015finde ko\u015fmak yerine, aya\u011f\u0131 yere basan yar\u0131nlar yaratabilseydik belki olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fabilirdik.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3267094760\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00dczg\u00fcn\u00fcm ama tekrarlamakta fayda var. T\u00fcrkiye olumlu ayr\u0131\u015facak s\u00f6ylemi de t\u0131pk\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ekonomi vurgusu gibi koca bir palavra ve sonu ne yaz\u0131k sadece sorunlara g\u00f6zlerimizi kapatmamam\u0131z i\u00e7in s\u00f6yleniyor. A\u00e7\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fc\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00d6nce d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir krize girece\u011fine, sonra girdi\u011fine inanmad\u0131lar; ard\u0131ndan krizin ge\u00e7ici olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u2026 Yalanc\u0131 baharlara inan\u0131p, palavran\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini anlatt\u0131lar meydanlarda. Gelen paray\u0131 ulufe da\u011f\u0131t\u0131rcas\u0131na sa\u00e7t\u0131lar sa\u011fa&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-45780","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45780","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45780"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45780\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}