{"id":45626,"date":"2016-05-29T17:36:56","date_gmt":"2016-05-29T14:36:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=45626"},"modified":"2016-05-29T17:40:33","modified_gmt":"2016-05-29T14:40:33","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-fed-faizi-artiracak-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-fed-faizi-artiracak-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; Fed Faizi Art\u0131racak m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in parasal geni\u015flemeyi sona erdirdi\u011fi Ekim 2014 tarihinden itibaren yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,5 y\u0131ld\u0131r finansal piyasalar\u0131 en \u00e7ok i\u015fgal eden konu Fed\u2019in ne zaman ve hangi h\u0131zla faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 sorusuna aranan yan\u0131t. <\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4124265401\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Soru de\u011fi\u015fmese de cevaplar s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015fti. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131nda bu soruya verilen genel cevap \u201cFed bu y\u0131l 4 kez faiz art\u0131rabilir\u201d \u015feklindeydi. Mart ay\u0131na gelindi\u011finde cevap \u201c1 veya en \u00e7ok 2 kez art\u0131rabilir\u201d \u015fekline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Nisan ay\u0131 sonlar\u0131nda \u201cFed galiba bu y\u0131l faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmayacak ya da en fazla 1 kez yapacak\u201d \u015feklindeki tahminler yo\u011funluk kazand\u0131. Ayn\u0131 soruyu bug\u00fcnlerde sorsak alaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z cevaplar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu \u201c2 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapacak herhalde\u201d \u015feklinde olur. Hem Fed yetkililerinin hem de piyasalar\u0131n bu konudaki kafa kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ABD ekonomisinin performans\u0131ndaki dalgalanmalarla ilgili. Fed\u2019in ka\u00e7 kez faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131 ABD ekonomisinin bundan sonra g\u00f6sterece\u011fi performansa ba\u011fl\u0131 bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Fed, \u00fc\u00e7 temel g\u00f6stergedeki gidi\u015fe bakarak faiz karar\u0131 verece\u011fini ba\u015ftan a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131: (1) B\u00fcy\u00fcme, (2) \u0130stihdam verilerindeki olumlu geli\u015fmeler ve (2) Enflasyonda art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131. Bu \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6sterge de ekonomide canlanman\u0131n i\u015faretleri olarak kabul ediliyor. Bu \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6stergede son 1,5 y\u0131lda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan geli\u015fmelere bir bakal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda krize giren ABD ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 2009 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde \u2013 2,8 ile en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck noktas\u0131na gelmi\u015f, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ise 2010 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 10 ile tavan yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Fed\u2019in tahvil al\u0131m\u0131na dayal\u0131 parasal geni\u015fleme program\u0131n\u0131 (QE) sona erdirdi\u011fi Ekim 2014\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 2,4\u2019e y\u00fckselirken, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 5,7\u2019ye gerilemi\u015fti. Nisan 2016 itibariyle y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 2 olarak belirlenirken i\u015fsizlik de y\u00fczde 5 oran\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2016\/05\/fed-faizi-artracak-m.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>. (Mahfiegilmez.Com)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in parasal geni\u015flemeyi sona erdirdi\u011fi Ekim 2014 tarihinden itibaren yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,5 y\u0131ld\u0131r finansal piyasalar\u0131 en \u00e7ok i\u015fgal eden konu Fed\u2019in ne zaman&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-45626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45626"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45626\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}