{"id":45455,"date":"2016-05-16T12:51:56","date_gmt":"2016-05-16T09:51:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=45455"},"modified":"2016-05-16T13:27:06","modified_gmt":"2016-05-16T10:27:06","slug":"yeni-ve-kritik-bir-surec-baslarken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/yeni-ve-kritik-bir-surec-baslarken\/","title":{"rendered":"Yeni ve Kritik Bir S\u00fcre\u00e7 Ba\u015flarken"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Bu hafta g\u00f6nderdi\u011fim e\u011fitici b\u00fcltende piyasalara ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi verememi\u015ftim. Bu sabah saat 11:00-12:00 aras\u0131 verebilece\u011fimi belirtmi\u015ftim. Gecikme i\u00e7in kusuruma bakmay\u0131n.<\/em> <\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3611342356\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Borsa haftaya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u015flarken dolarda yatay bir seyir g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik endeksin 5 dakikal\u0131k hareketlerini veriyor. \u015eu an cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131na yak\u0131n seyrediyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-45461\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/BIST-16-mayis-2016-2.png\" alt=\"BIST-16 mayis 2016-2\" width=\"503\" height=\"367\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/BIST-16-mayis-2016-2.png 503w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/BIST-16-mayis-2016-2-300x219.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 503px) 100vw, 503px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Dikkat ederseniz daha \u00f6nceki yorumlar\u0131mda \u00e7izmi\u015f oldu\u011fum yatay kanal i\u00e7erisinde bir hareket s\u00f6z konusu olup, bu kanal i\u00e7inde kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, \u00e7ok fazla al-sat i\u015flemi yap\u0131lmamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nermi\u015ftim. Bu sabah d\u0131\u015f piyasalara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda genel olarak Avrupa borsalar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler var. Almanya bug\u00fcn kapal\u0131 bu nedenle DAX endeksinin cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc getirisini g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-45465\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/DE-16-mayis-2016.png\" alt=\"DE-16 mayis 2016\" width=\"532\" height=\"324\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/DE-16-mayis-2016.png 637w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/DE-16-mayis-2016-300x183.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 532px) 100vw, 532px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Rusya&#8217;da art\u0131\u015f var. Bunun sebebi de petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fu an %1.6 civar\u0131nda yukar\u0131da olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc itibariyle bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda MSCI GOP endeksi de hafif art\u0131dayd\u0131. Bizim borsadaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Avrupa borasalar\u0131na g\u00f6re daha zay\u0131f. Bazen endeks art\u0131ya ge\u00e7iyor bazen de eksiye ge\u00e7iyor. Fakat \u015funu belirteyim ki; 86 bin&#8217;lerden ba\u015flayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sonras\u0131nda endeks \u00e7ok ciddi bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tepki yapmad\u0131. Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131mda 81.000-81.500 seviyelerine kadar bir y\u00fckseli\u015fin olabilece\u011finden bahsetmi\u015ftim ama bu y\u00fckseli\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmiyor ve zaman ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e, bu kanal\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 riski art\u0131yor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da endeksin g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafi\u011fi ve bu grafik \u00fczerinde TKE g\u00f6stergesi de veriliyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-45467\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/BIST-16-mayis-2016-Gunluk.png\" alt=\"BIST-16 mayis 2016-Gunluk\" width=\"503\" height=\"367\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/BIST-16-mayis-2016-Gunluk.png 503w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/BIST-16-mayis-2016-Gunluk-300x219.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 503px) 100vw, 503px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Bu grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere endeks kanal i\u00e7inde belirgin bi\u00e7imde s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00dcstelik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn de hacimli oldu\u011funa ve TKE g\u00f6stergesinin de -26 seviyelerini test etti\u011fine dikkat ediniz. Uzun zamandan beri TKE g\u00f6stergesi bu derece sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yapmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda artan i\u015flem hacmi \u00f6nemli bir sorun ve endeksin sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini yak\u0131n zamanda ba\u015flatmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Fiyat grafi\u011finin g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc ayn\u0131 zamanda ters bayrak formasyonu olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. E\u011fer birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 77.200 alt\u0131nda <strong>KAPANI\u015e\u00a0olursa<\/strong> ve hacimde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcrsek, endeksin 70-73 in aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar d\u00fc\u015fme riski var. Bu nedenle \u015fimdi al\u0131m yapmak yerine, endekste dip seviyenin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine dair sinyaller geldikten sonra al\u0131m d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek daha ak\u0131ll\u0131cad\u0131r. Dibin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini ise g\u00f6stergelerde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak pozitif ayk\u0131r\u0131l\u0131klardan anlayaca\u011f\u0131z. \u015eu an hen\u00fcz bu t\u00fcr bir g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sinyal yok ama endeksin 77.500 ile 79.750 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi her zaman olas\u0131d\u0131r. \u00a0Fakat,\u00a0endeksin kritik seviyelerde oldu\u011funu da belirtelim. Yani sert hareketler ba\u015flayabilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Bollinger bantlar\u0131nda belirgin bir s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 da g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.\u00a0Bu anlatt\u0131klar\u0131m teknik analizle ilgiliydi.<\/p>\n<p>Temel analize bakacak olursak, AKP&#8217;nin 22 May\u0131s ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc kongresi ve ayn\u0131 zamanda 24 May\u0131s&#8217;ta Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde piyasalarda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir olumlu trend beklemek yanl\u0131\u015f olur. \u015eu an borsam\u0131z d\u0131\u015f piyasalara endeksli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor. Bunu sergilerken de i\u015flem miktar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yani piyasalar bir \u015feyleri bekliyor. PPK&#8217;dan \u00e7\u0131kacak faiz karar\u0131 bu sefer \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir indirim bekleniyor olsa da bu beklenti 2-3 hafta \u00f6nceydi. Yani piyasalar bozulmadan \u00f6nceydi. Son 2-3 haftada yabanc\u0131lardan belirgin hisse ve tahvil sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n hemen tekrar al\u0131ma ge\u00e7mesini beklemek yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olur. Bu y\u00fczden ge\u00e7en ayki toplant\u0131da 50 baz puanl\u0131k indirime olumsuz reaksiyon vermeyen borsalar, bu sefer ayn\u0131 boyutta faiz indirimine olumsuz reaksiyon verebilir. Temel analiz g\u00f6stergeleri ise, endeksteki s\u0131k\u0131\u015fman\u0131n en az\u0131ndan PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar devam edebilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterse de, piyasalar PPK sonucunu beklemeden de harekete ba\u015flayabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak Borsa y\u00f6ns\u00fcz hareketlerine devam ediyor. Sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sonras\u0131 ciddi bir tepki yamad\u0131 ve bu iyi bir sinyal de\u011fil. D\u0131\u015f piyasalarda da hava pek iyi de\u011fil. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD endeksleri de sert d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla borsada &#8220;bekle g\u00f6r, \u015fimdilik alma&#8221; zaman\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1471280324\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>DOLAR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dolar\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafi\u011fi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekildedir.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-45468\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/dolar-16-mayis-2.png\" alt=\"dolar-16 mayis-2\" width=\"503\" height=\"367\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/dolar-16-mayis-2.png 503w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/dolar-16-mayis-2-300x219.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 503px) 100vw, 503px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Grafikte y\u00fckselen bir \u00fc\u00e7gen ve flama formasyonu var. Dolar 2.97 seviyesine yap\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f ve bu seviyeyi 3 defa test etmi\u015f durumdad\u0131r. 2.9750 civar\u0131nda bir diren\u00e7 olu\u015fmu\u015f ama olu\u015fan \u00fc\u00e7genin her yeni dibi daha yukar\u0131da olu\u015farak y\u00fckselen \u00fc\u00e7gen formasyonu olu\u015fturmu\u015f. Bu nedenle 2.9750&#8217;nin yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Buras\u0131 yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise 3.02 civar\u0131na kadar y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bu durumu de\u011fi\u015ftirecek olan \u015fey, dolar\u0131n 2.9350&#8217;nin alt\u0131na gerilemesi olur. E\u011fer dolar 2.9350&#8217;nin alt\u0131na gerilerse, yukar\u0131 gitme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015fer. Ama dolar\u0131n 2.95&#8217;e kadar gerilemesi normal say\u0131labilir. Dolar\u0131 olanlar bence beklemede kalmal\u0131lar. PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar olan s\u00fcrede, piyasalarda stresi art\u0131racak geli\u015fmeler dolarda yeni sert hareketler olu\u015fturabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir hafta olmas\u0131n\u0131 diliyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3941205048\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bu hafta g\u00f6nderdi\u011fim e\u011fitici b\u00fcltende piyasalara ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi verememi\u015ftim. Bu sabah saat 11:00-12:00 aras\u0131 verebilece\u011fimi belirtmi\u015ftim. Gecikme i\u00e7in kusuruma bakmay\u0131n. Borsa haftaya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u015flarken dolarda&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-45455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45455"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45455\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}