{"id":45347,"date":"2016-05-06T10:15:50","date_gmt":"2016-05-06T07:15:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=45347"},"modified":"2016-05-06T10:15:50","modified_gmt":"2016-05-06T07:15:50","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-mayisin-ilk-haftasinda-yasananlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-mayisin-ilk-haftasinda-yasananlar\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211;\u00a0May\u0131s\u0131n \u0130lk Haftas\u0131nda Ya\u015fananlar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Bu hafta T\u00fcrkiye siyasetinde ya\u015fananlar ve bunlar\u0131n piyasalara ve ekonomiye etkileri konusunda \u0131srarla bir yaz\u0131 yazmam\u0131, yorum yapmam\u0131 bekleyen de\u011ferli okurlar\u0131m i\u00e7in ben de \u0131srarla benim a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 tam 2 y\u0131l \u00f6nce yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m 3 May\u0131s 2015 tarihli \u0130rrasyonel Beklentiler Teorisi ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131m\u0131 okumalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nerdim. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n devam eden \u0131srarlar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda o yaz\u0131mdan da yararlanarak bug\u00fcnk\u00fc durumu ele al\u0131p analiz etmekten geri duramayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum.<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-897960369\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00d6nce o yaz\u0131m\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya bir kez daha alay\u0131m, sonra bug\u00fcne geleyim.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cRasyonel beklentiler teorisi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Rasyonel s\u00f6zc\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, akla dayal\u0131, \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc ve hesapl\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u0130rrasyonel s\u00f6zc\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ise bunun kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 bir anlam ta\u015f\u0131yor: Akla dayal\u0131 olmayan, \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcz, hesaps\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>Rasyonel beklentiler teorisi, bu teoriyi geli\u015ftiren iktisat\u00e7\u0131lardan ikisine (Lucas, 1995 ve Sargent, 2011) Nobel Ekonomi \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fc kazand\u0131rm\u0131\u015f bir ekonomi teorisi. Teoriye g\u00f6re b\u00fct\u00fcn veriler a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasadaki karar al\u0131c\u0131lar, en az ekonomiyi y\u00f6netenler kadar, olaylar ve geli\u015fmeler hakk\u0131nda bilgi sahibi olur. Bu durumda piyasadaki karar al\u0131c\u0131lar, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin alaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerin etkilerini \u00f6nceden tahmin eder ve ona g\u00f6re davran\u0131rlar. H\u00fck\u00fcmetin ekonomiyi b\u00fcy\u00fctmek i\u00e7in t\u00fcketimi artt\u0131rma karar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n da bu karar paralelinde para arz\u0131n\u0131 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131ndan fazla artt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim. Piyasadaki karar al\u0131c\u0131lar bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n enflasyon yarataca\u011f\u0131 beklentisine girerler ve \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltirler. Sonu\u00e7ta enflasyon ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar. Beklenti ne y\u00f6nde ise ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme de o y\u00f6nde olur.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2016\/05\/maysn-ilk-haftasnda-yasananlar.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>. (Mahfiegilmez.Com)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bu hafta T\u00fcrkiye siyasetinde ya\u015fananlar ve bunlar\u0131n piyasalara ve ekonomiye etkileri konusunda \u0131srarla bir yaz\u0131 yazmam\u0131, yorum yapmam\u0131 bekleyen de\u011ferli okurlar\u0131m i\u00e7in ben de \u0131srarla&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-45347","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45347","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45347"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45347\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45347"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45347"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45347"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}