{"id":4517,"date":"2011-08-27T04:43:05","date_gmt":"2011-08-27T01:43:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=4517"},"modified":"2011-08-27T04:43:05","modified_gmt":"2011-08-27T01:43:05","slug":"durmus-yilmazdan-tedbirli-olalim-uyarisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/durmus-yilmazdan-tedbirli-olalim-uyarisi\/","title":{"rendered":"Durmu\u015f Y\u0131lmaz&#8217;dan &#8216;Tedbirli Olal\u0131m&#8217; Uyar\u0131s\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 eski Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Durmu\u015f Y\u0131lmaz,&#8221;Krizin \u015fiddetine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 2009&#8217;da oldu\u011fu gibi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli de olsa tekrar ya\u015fayabiliriz. Tedbiri ve ihtiyat\u0131 elden b\u0131rakmayal\u0131m&#8221; dedi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3432952299\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Ba\u015fdan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 ve Merkez Bankas\u0131 eski Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u00a0Durmu\u015f Y\u0131lmaz, &#8221;Korkuyla umut aras\u0131nda bir yerde olal\u0131m. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomik hadiseler \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fiyor ve \u015fartlar \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiyor. E\u011fer herg\u00fcn kriz kriz derseniz olmayan krizi yaratabilirsiniz&#8221; dedi.Kocaeli Sanayi Odas\u0131 A\u011fustos ay\u0131 Meclis Toplant\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015fan Y\u0131lmaz, bug\u00fcn itibariyle bir durum tespiti yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 taktirde b\u00fcy\u00fcme, istihdam, enflasyon ve finansal istikrar gibi makro de\u011fi\u015fkenlerde, giderek artan olumsuz geli\u015fmelere tan\u0131k olunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu&#8217;nun 17 Haziran 2011 tarihli d\u00fcnya ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcncellemesine g\u00f6re global ekonominin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 4,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulayan Y\u0131lmaz, ancak Japonya depreminin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlar, ABD&#8217;de ve\u00a0Euro b\u00f6lgesindeki kamu maliyesiyle ilgili sorunlar\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskleri artt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemli dalgalanmalar olacak. G\u00fcn gelecek piyasalar y\u00fckselecek, g\u00fcn gelecek piyasalar daralacak&#8221; diyen Y\u0131lmaz, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;Ge\u00e7mi\u015f 3 haftada oldu\u011fu gibi. Ancak nereden bakarsak bakal\u0131m \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki orta vade a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 6 ayl\u0131k ve 1 y\u0131ll\u0131k vade olarak s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorum, sanayi \u00fcretim endeksleri, kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131 gibi \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeler \u00f6zellikle b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa bug\u00fcn itibariyle dikkati \u00e7ekmektedir ve \u00e7ekmeye devam edecektir. D\u00fcnya ekonomisi bug\u00fcnden itibaren daralmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ama hen\u00fcz \u00e7ok ciddi bir eksi bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye gelmi\u015f de\u011filiz. B\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki yava\u015flaman\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de enflasyona olumlu katk\u0131 yapmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkileyen fakt\u00f6rlerin emek piyasalar\u0131nda da etkili olmaya ba\u015flayan ve 2010 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren toparlanmaya ba\u015flayan istihdam 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n may\u0131s ay\u0131ndan itibaren duraksamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yava\u015flayan ekonomik faaliyetlerin ABD&#8217;nin ve\u00a0Euro b\u00f6lgesinin kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kamu maliyesi sorunlar\u0131, not d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve bu sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesine y\u00f6nelik belirsizlikler, artan risk primlerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra geni\u015fleyen sipretler ile Ortado\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika&#8217;da meydana gelen jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler risk i\u015ftah\u0131nda bozulmalara neden olmu\u015ftur. Finansal istikrarla ilgili kayg\u0131lar\u0131 artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck belirsizlikler oldu\u011funu unutmayal\u0131m ve durumun ciddi oldu\u011funu hi\u00e7 bir zaman akl\u0131m\u0131zdan \u00e7\u0131karmayal\u0131m.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>2001 krizinde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin likidite vermeyerek 30&#8217;dan fazla bankan\u0131n sistemden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirenlerin oldu\u011funu vurgulayan Y\u0131lmaz, \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;Bu kesimler, &#8216;Elin devleti ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l koruyor, hi\u00e7bir bankas\u0131n\u0131n batmas\u0131na izin vermedi. Biz ise 30&#8217;dan fazla bankam\u0131z\u0131 kapatarak \u00fclkemize yaz\u0131k ettik&#8217; diyor. E\u011fer ABD&#8217;nin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi a\u00e7\u0131ktan para bas\u0131p b\u00fct\u00fcn bankalar\u0131 kurtarsayd\u0131k, ekonomimiz \u015fimdi oldu\u011fu gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc m\u00fc olurduk yoksa o g\u00fcnk\u00fc hastal\u0131klar\u0131 bug\u00fcne ta\u015f\u0131y\u0131p kamu maliyesini daha da bozar m\u0131yd\u0131k? Bu hususu takdirlerinize sunuyorum.&#8221;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1754271054\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>D\u00dcNYADAK\u0130 EKONOM\u0130K KR\u0130Z<\/strong><br \/>\n2009 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ekonomik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmenin, ABD&#8217;nin ve \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 problemlerin sonucu ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Y\u0131lmaz, konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;O d\u00f6nemde hen\u00fcz Avrupa ekonomisinin, ABD ekonomisi gibi derin sorunlar\u0131 su y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Avrupa&#8217;da sorunlar 2010 y\u0131l\u0131 May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ortaya bankac\u0131l\u0131k sorunuyla belirginle\u015fti. Bug\u00fcn hem ABD, hem de Avrupa bankalar\u0131n\u0131n bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 tamir edilmi\u015f de\u011fil. Bu bankalar\u0131n yeterli sermaye seviyesine ula\u015fmas\u0131 y\u0131llar alacak. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ikinci dalga ekonomik daralaman\u0131n birincisine g\u00f6re daha derin olaca\u011f\u0131 beklenebilir. Ancak ortada edinilmi\u015f bir tecr\u00fcbe birikiminin de oldu\u011funu unutmayal\u0131m. Zaman\u0131nda al\u0131nacak etkin kararla krizin \u015fiddetini azaltabilir. Krizler genellikle 4 evreden ge\u00e7er. \u0130nkar etme, hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131, panik ve umut evresidir. Avrupa b\u00f6lgesindeki bor\u00e7 krizi bence ilk \u00fc\u00e7 evreyi geride b\u0131rakarak son evre olan umut evresine girmi\u015ftir. Umut tatminkar \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmle sonu\u00e7lan\u0131r m\u0131 pek belli de\u011fil. Ama son zamanlarda konuya daha ciddi yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Ancak unutmayal\u0131m bor\u00e7 sorunu ABD ve Avrupa&#8217;da ekonomik oldu\u011fu kadar siyasidir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u00dcRK\u0130YE EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NE YANSIMASI<\/strong><br \/>\nGeli\u015fmeleri T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da de\u011ferlendiren Y\u0131lmaz, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce 2008 ve 2009 krizi ve e\u011fer olur ise son kriz bizim krizimiz de\u011fildir. Yani biz bunu kendi i\u00e7 dinamiklerimizle yaratmad\u0131k. Kriz ekonomimizin kendi i\u00e7 dinamikleri sonucu olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve olmayacakt\u0131r. Bilinen otoritelerce yak\u0131ndan takip edilen cari a\u00e7\u0131kla ilgili k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z hari\u00e7 T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de krizin maddi ko\u015fullar\u0131 yoktur. Ekonomimizin sa\u011flam makro temeller \u00fczerine oturdu\u011funu biliyoruz. Kamu maliyesi g\u00f6receli olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. Bor\u00e7 dinamikleri s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemi sa\u011flam, kredi piyasas\u0131 i\u015flevsel ve aktar\u0131m mekanizmalar\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir sitemimiz var.&#8221;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1138036556\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u00dcLKEM\u0130Z KR\u0130ZLERDEN DENEY\u0130M ALDI<\/strong><br \/>\nD\u00fcnyadaki ekonomik daralma g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ve 2009 tecr\u00fcbesi de hesaba kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de enflasyon \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok fazla bir bask\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmedi\u011fini belirten Y\u0131lmaz, &#8221;Zaten Merkez Bankas\u0131 da faiz indirimini bu bilgi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yapt\u0131. Krizin \u015fiddetine ve derinli\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 2009 y\u0131l\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli de olsa tekrar ya\u015fayabiliriz. O nedenle tedbiri ve ihtiyat\u0131 elden b\u0131rakmayal\u0131m&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Durmu\u015f Y\u0131lmaz, &#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin, 2001, 2008 ve 2009 y\u0131l\u0131 krizinden sonra kazanc\u0131 ne olmu\u015ftur ve bu kazan\u00e7lar nedir?&#8221; diye bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u015feyleri \u015f\u00f6yle s\u0131ralad\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;\u0130ki yakas\u0131 bir araya gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve sa\u011flam kamu maliyesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tek haneli enflasyon ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck nominal faiz. Son y\u0131llarda yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ekonomimizin potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme sevisiyle uyumlu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 bu \u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131m sayesinde olmu\u015ftur. Bu kazan\u0131mlardan asla taviz verilmemelidir. 12 Haziran genel se\u00e7imlerinden sonra verilen deme\u00e7lerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra s\u00f6ylenenler ortam\u0131 bozdu. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde biraz ihtiyatl\u0131 ve m\u00fctevazi olmakta fayda var. Bug\u00fcn ekonomimizin geldi\u011fi nokta itibariyle gururlanmam\u0131z, onurlanmam\u0131z do\u011fru bir \u015feydir. Biz ekonomik ba\u015far\u0131yla gururlanmay\u0131 hak ediyoruz. Korkuyla umut aras\u0131nda bir yerde olal\u0131m. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomik hadiseler \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fiyor ve \u015fartlar \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiyor. E\u011fer her g\u00fcn kriz kriz derseniz olmayan krizi yaratabilirsiniz. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olal\u0131m, do\u011frular\u0131 s\u00f6yleyelim. Ancak do\u011frular\u0131n s\u00f6ylenmesinin de bir usul\u00fc adab\u0131 var. Ayn\u0131 do\u011fruyu farkl\u0131 kelimelerle s\u00f6ylerseniz ba\u015fka etki yarat\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z. Ayn\u0131 do\u011fruyu ba\u015fka kelimeler ve c\u00fcmlelerle s\u00f6ylerseniz farkl\u0131 etki yarat\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z. Ben ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olaca\u011f\u0131m derseniz ve de kriz var geliyor haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olal\u0131m derseniz var olan veya olma ihtimali olan\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ve derinle\u015ftirebilirsiniz. Bunun i\u00e7in se\u00e7imden sonra verilen baz\u0131 deme\u00e7ler ho\u015f de\u011fildi.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>kaynak<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/ekonomi.haberturk.com\/finans-borsa\/haber\/663515-durmus-yilmazdan-tedbirli-olalim-uyarisi\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">http:\/\/ekonomi.haberturk.com\/finans-borsa\/haber\/663515-durmus-yilmazdan-tedbirli-olalim-uyarisi<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 eski Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Durmu\u015f Y\u0131lmaz,&#8221;Krizin \u015fiddetine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 2009&#8217;da oldu\u011fu gibi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli de olsa tekrar ya\u015fayabiliriz. Tedbiri ve ihtiyat\u0131 elden b\u0131rakmayal\u0131m&#8221; dedi.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4518,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4517","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4517"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4517\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4518"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4517"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4517"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4517"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}