{"id":45059,"date":"2016-04-19T11:39:25","date_gmt":"2016-04-19T08:39:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=45059"},"modified":"2016-04-19T11:40:04","modified_gmt":"2016-04-19T08:40:04","slug":"borsa-dolar-ve-ppk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsa-dolar-ve-ppk\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsa, Dolar ve PPK"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n son g\u00fcn\u00fcnde hafif bir k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fan borsa d\u00fcn haftaya sert bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/strong> <\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3786186768\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilince, d\u0131\u015f\u00a0borsalar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dan oldu, fakat petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki yeniden toparlanma ile birlikte d\u00fcn ABD endeksleri ve Avrupa borsalar\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketler yapt\u0131lar. Borsan\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafi\u011fi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da veriliyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-19-nisan-2016.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-45060\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-19-nisan-2016.png\" alt=\"BIST-19 nisan 2016\" width=\"548\" height=\"441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-19-nisan-2016.png 548w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-19-nisan-2016-300x241.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 548px) 100vw, 548px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere, 84 bin seviyesinde \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 vard\u0131 ve bu diren\u00e7 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada (84.400 civar\u0131na) al\u0131m yap\u0131labilece\u011fini belirtmi\u015f, 86-87 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hedef olarak vermi\u015ftim. Endeks d\u00fcn en y\u00fcksek 86.350 seviyelerini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra bu sabah a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta 86.650 seviyeleri g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ama \u015fu s\u0131ralar 86.100 civar\u0131na kadar gev\u015femi\u015f bulunuyor. Yukar\u0131daki grafikte TKE g\u00f6stergesi hafif bir olumsuz ayk\u0131r\u0131l\u0131k olu\u015fturmu\u015f olsa da, bu g\u00f6sterge 40 seviyesinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmeden, net bir sat\u0131\u015f sinyali gelmeyecektir. \u015eu an bu g\u00f6sterge 73 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor ve 60 ile 90 aras\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, endeks g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam eder. Fakat 40&#8217;\u0131n alt\u0131na bir gerileme durumunda,\u00a0talebin g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybetti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebilece\u011fiz. \u015eu an i\u00e7in 84 bin seviyesi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek konumundad\u0131r. \u00a0A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik ise 5 dakikal\u0131k hareketleri g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-5-dk-19-nisan-2016.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-45061\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-5-dk-19-nisan-2016.png\" alt=\"BIST-5 dk-19 nisan 2016\" width=\"548\" height=\"441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-5-dk-19-nisan-2016.png 548w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/BIST-5-dk-19-nisan-2016-300x241.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 548px) 100vw, 548px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Endeksin a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta y\u00fcksek i\u015flem miktar\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bunun ard\u0131ndan bir miktar K\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 geldi. Seans i\u00e7i destek ise 85.500 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Tahminen bug\u00fcn endeks 85.500 deste\u011finde tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Olas\u0131 hareket band\u0131 olarak 85.500-86.500 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 verebiliriz. Bu a\u015famada, Avrupa borsalar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise genelde %0.30 ile 0.80 aras\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi var. Yani o cephede hava olumlu. Asya cephesinde de y\u00fckseli\u015fler vard\u0131. D\u0131\u015f borsalarda olumlu hava bozulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece bizim borsada \u00e7ok sert geri \u00e7ekilmeler beklememek laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn FED ba\u015fkanlar\u0131ndan Dudley&#8217;in konu\u015fmalar\u0131, ABD&#8217;de faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n kademeli ve temkinli olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini yarat\u0131nca Dolar endeksi (DXY) gerilemeye ba\u015flad\u0131 ve bu durum dolar\/TL kurunu da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte pembe \u00e7izgi DXY endeksini g\u00f6sterirken di\u011fer barlar Dolar\/TL kurunu g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/dolar-5-dk-19-nisan-2016.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-45063\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/dolar-5-dk-19-nisan-2016.png\" alt=\"dolar-5 dk-19 nisan 2016\" width=\"453\" height=\"268\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/dolar-5-dk-19-nisan-2016.png 453w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/dolar-5-dk-19-nisan-2016-300x177.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 453px) 100vw, 453px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Dolar\/TL kuru \u015eu an 2.83 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Yar\u0131nki PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde dolardaki bu hareketler PPK&#8217;dan 50 baz puanl\u0131k indirimden daha fazla bir indirim beklenmedi\u011fini fiyatl\u0131yor. E\u011fer beklendi\u011fi \u015fekilde sadece 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir indirim olursa, dolar\/TL kuru yeniden 2.80 seviyelerine do\u011fru yeniden gev\u015feyerek ikinci bir dip yapabilir. \u00a0Tersine 100 baz puan bir indirim dolar\/TL kurunu yeniden 2.85-2.87 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Yeni Ba\u015fkan&#8217;\u0131n alaca\u011f\u0131 faiz karar\u0131ndan daha \u00f6nemlisi bu faiz karar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak a\u00e7\u0131klamalar olacakt\u0131r. Gelecekte bir seri faiz indirimi sinyali verilirse, 50 baz puanl\u0131k indirim olsa bile dolar yukar\u0131 hareket yapabilir. Yani sadece 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir indirim olur da, gelece\u011fe ili\u015fkin bir indirim beklentisi olu\u015fturulmazsa, dolar gerilemeye devam edebilir ama, gelecek toplant\u0131larda da faiz indiriminin devam edece\u011fine dair beklenti olu\u015fturulursa, dolar yeniden yukar\u0131 d\u00f6necektir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD faiz indirmese bile, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de faiz indiriminin devam edece\u011fi beklentisi olu\u015fursa, bu durum, adeta ABD faiz art\u0131r\u0131yormu\u015f gibi etki yapar. Bekleyip sonucu birlikte g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak hissede olanlar iyi ka\u011f\u0131tlarda olduklar\u0131 s\u00fcrece beklemeye devam edebilirler. 84 bin alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f olmadan, endeksin trendinin de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fine dair net bir \u015fey s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. Bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir hafta sonu olmas\u0131 dile\u011fiyle&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>NOT<\/strong>: Bu hafta sonu (23-24 Nisan ) \u0130stanbul&#8217;da yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z e\u011fitime kat\u0131lacak olanlar bu ak\u015fama kadar kesin kay\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olsunlar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu ak\u015fam kay\u0131tlar\u0131 kapataca\u011f\u0131m. Daha \u00f6nce \u00f6n kay\u0131t yapt\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olsan\u0131z dahi, Bu ak\u015fam saat 17:00&#8217;de kay\u0131tlar kapat\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra yeni kay\u0131t al\u0131nmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-182743786\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n son g\u00fcn\u00fcnde hafif bir k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fan borsa d\u00fcn haftaya sert bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilince, d\u0131\u015f\u00a0borsalar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dan&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-45059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45059","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45059"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45059\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45059"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45059"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45059"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}