{"id":45056,"date":"2016-04-18T22:07:31","date_gmt":"2016-04-18T19:07:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=45056"},"modified":"2016-04-19T08:47:40","modified_gmt":"2016-04-19T05:47:40","slug":"cetinkaya-kimi-ikna-edecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetinkaya-kimi-ikna-edecek\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u00c7etinkaya kimi ikna edecek?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Murat \u00c7etinkaya, 19 Nisan Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc itibariyle g\u00f6revinin ba\u015f\u0131na ge\u00e7iyor. \u00d6ncelikle daha ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 noktas\u0131nda yap\u0131lan tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bir kenara koyal\u0131m. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunlar meseleyi magazinle\u015ftirmekten \u00f6teye ge\u00e7mez.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3029313983\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Durum tespitini net yapmak gerekiyor. Ba\u015fkan \u00c7etinkaya, d\u00fcnyada merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n inisiyatifi ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve etkisizle\u015fti\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6rev ba\u015f\u0131na geliyor. Bunda uygulanan ekonomik politikalar\u0131n ve ya\u015fanan kumar ekonomisinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck pay\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat durum \u00c7etinkaya i\u00e7in biraz farkl\u0131\u2026 K\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde kimi kand\u0131r\u0131rsan\u0131z kand\u0131r\u0131r, i\u015fin profesyonellerinin \u00e7ok net bildi\u011fi bir ger\u00e7ek var ki; T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi iflas\u0131n e\u015fi\u011finde, finansmandan, ekonomik g\u00f6stergeleri kontrol alt\u0131nda tutmaya kadar bir \u00e7ok a\u00e7maz\u0131 bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Yeter mi? Elbette i\u015f bununla da bitmiyor. \u00c7ok ciddi bir siyasi bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u2026 \u00dclkede hi\u00e7bir ekonomik ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi de\u011fi\u015ftirmeden, model tart\u0131\u015fmadan, iktidarlar\u0131n belirledi\u011fi ve son derece hatal\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n hayali hedeflerini tutturmak zorunda.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu manzara i\u00e7erisinde tutulamayan t\u00fcm hedeflerde ilk oklar\u0131n \u00e7evrilece\u011fi, Be\u015ftepe ve onun bakanlar\u0131, Davuto\u011flu ve onun bakanlar\u0131 ile k\u00fcresel finans oyuncular\u0131n\u0131n aras\u0131nda i\u015fkence aletine tabi tutulmu\u015f gibi bir g\u00f6reve geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi soru \u015fu: Merkez Bankas\u0131 kimin taraf\u0131nda yer alacak? Esasen bu sorunun g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015f olmas\u0131 bile, oyunun ba\u015ftan bitti\u011finin g\u00f6stergesidir. E\u011fer \u015fu veya bu taraftan bir a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k konulacaksa, ekonomik ger\u00e7eklerinden \u00e7ok bir dayanak aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 esas olacakt\u0131r. Bu da mutlaka di\u011fer iki taraf\u0131n h\u0131\u015fm\u0131n\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n dolay\u0131s\u0131yla kurumun politikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine salacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Diyelim ki \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fc de memnun etti. Bu ekonomik iklim i\u00e7erisinde bunun m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Yani birden \u00fclkeye para ya\u011f\u0131p Be\u015ftepe\u2019nin memnuniyeti, Davuto\u011flu\u2019nun ne oldu\u011fu belli olmayan reformlar\u0131 ve finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7ti diyelim. \u00d6ncelikle bu m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin tutturulmas\u0131, enflasyonun y\u00fckselmemesi, faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi, dolar\u0131n TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetmesi gibi bir dizi ak\u0131l almaz ve hep birlikte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme ihtimali olmayan a\u00e7mazla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacak.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2950289827\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Rezervlerin h\u0131zla azald\u0131\u011f\u0131, bankalardaki d\u00f6viz mevduatlar\u0131n\u0131n bile h\u00fclle yap\u0131larak Merkez Bankas\u0131 rezervi g\u00f6sterildi\u011fi, s\u0131k\u0131\u015fan d\u00fcnyada cephanesi bitmi\u015f bir sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131 edas\u0131yla 207 milyar dolarl\u0131k k\u0131sa vadeli nakti bulmas\u0131 gereken bir ekonomiden bahsediyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Peki bu ekonomi nas\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek? Muhtemelen darphaneyi \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yorlar. Bu ortamda da faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcp insanlar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmas\u0131n\u0131, t\u00fcketicinin de kredi kullanarak biraz da bor\u00e7lan\u0131p i\u00e7 piyasay\u0131 hareketlendirerek b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin elde edilmesi gibi bir hedef var.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>O zaman Merkez Bankas\u0131 mal\u00fbm \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcy\u00fc de\u011fil, halk\u0131 ikna edecek bir politika uygulamak durumunda. Bunu da ekonomi y\u00f6netiminden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z yapmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc her ne kadar g\u00fcnah ke\u00e7isi Merkez g\u00f6sterilse de, \u00fclkedeki ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 siyaset belirler, merkez bankalar\u0131 ona uymaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Paray\u0131 bast\u0131n\u0131z; siyaset de bask\u0131 yapt\u0131 ve kredilerin \u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndan kimse yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmaz, t\u00fcketici de daha fazla bor\u00e7lanmay\u0131 tercih etmez; zira bunu alabilecek kredibilitesi de yok. Yap\u0131lacak ilk eylem d\u00f6viz risklerinin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r ki, bu yabanc\u0131y\u0131 da hareketlendirir. Dolar\u0131 da tutmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmaz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2232094212\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi \u00c7etinkaya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde tarihi bir f\u0131rsat var. Ya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p a\u00e7\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131k t\u00fcm ger\u00e7ekleri s\u00f6yler ve yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekenlerin ne oldu\u011funu anlat\u0131r ya da bu \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sac aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131n aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131p, tarihteki yerini al\u0131r. Bu film bitti; o y\u00fczden insanlar \u00fczerinden yorumlarla \u00e7are aramay\u0131n. Tek \u00e7are ger\u00e7ekle y\u00fczle\u015fip, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konu\u015fmaya ge\u00e7mekte. O faturay\u0131 da anlatacak bir siyaset ne iktidarda ne de muhalefette g\u00f6remiyorum.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Murat \u00c7etinkaya, 19 Nisan Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc itibariyle g\u00f6revinin ba\u015f\u0131na ge\u00e7iyor. \u00d6ncelikle daha ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 noktas\u0131nda yap\u0131lan tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bir kenara koyal\u0131m. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunlar meseleyi&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-45056","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45056","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45056"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45056\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45056"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45056"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45056"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}