{"id":4447,"date":"2011-08-25T09:32:38","date_gmt":"2011-08-25T06:32:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=4447"},"modified":"2011-08-25T09:32:57","modified_gmt":"2011-08-25T06:32:57","slug":"altin-2-400-dolar-hayali-kurarken-parasutsuz-dustu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/altin-2-400-dolar-hayali-kurarken-parasutsuz-dustu\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n 2.400 dolar hayali kurarken para\u015f\u00fcts\u00fcz d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n onsuyla ilgili 2.400 dolar seviyeleri konu\u015fulurken d\u00fcn fiyatlar h\u0131zla geriledi\u00a0<span><strong>ve<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu 1.761 dolara kadar indi. \u015eimdi s\u0131rada 1.745 seviyesi ve ard\u0131ndan da 1.700 seviyeleri \u00f6nemli olacak! Daha alt\u0131na iki g\u00fcn gibi k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcrede inilmesi zor. Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Jackson Hole toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6nemli. Karara g\u00f6re yeniden 2 bin dolarlar konu\u015fulabilir<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2724702691\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc\u00a0<span><strong>alt\u0131n<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0fiyatlar\u0131 rekor k\u0131rd\u0131! Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131da 1.912 dolara \u00e7\u0131karken, i\u00e7eride gram\u0131 da 108 liran\u0131n \u00fczerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc! Bu hareketin ard\u0131nda da ba\u015fta Amerika olmak \u00fczere geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke piyasalar\u0131ndaki \u201cs\u0131k\u0131\u015fmalar\u201d vard\u0131. Onca \u00e7abaya ve verilen likiditeye ra\u011fmen ekonomiler bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc toparlanam \u0131yor, bunun yans\u0131mas\u0131 olarak da borsalar y\u00fckselemiyordu. Finansal piyasalardaki gerginlik de alt\u0131na yarad\u0131! Tarihi rekorlar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda ABD ekonomisine dair a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler de k\u00f6t\u00fc geldik\u00e7e, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD\u2019de yap\u0131lacak Jackson Hole toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed\u2019den\u00a0<span><strong>yeni<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0bir \u201cBedava Para Paketi (BPP)\u201d beklentisi art\u0131yor, bu beklentiyle de Amerikan borsalar\u0131 ralli yap\u0131yor. Yeni paket gelirse \u015fimdilik 3. olacak bu! 1. i\u015fe yaramad\u0131, 2. geldi. \u0130lk ikisi i\u015fe yarasayd\u0131 3.\u2019ye gerek olur muydu? Kimse bu soruyu sormuyor!<\/p>\n<p>Herkes Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bernanke\u2019nin \u201cyine helikopterden\u00a0<span><strong>para<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0atarak kendilerini kurtarmas\u0131n\u0131\u201d bekliyor. Her ne kadar bence Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131dan ciddi bir \u00f6nlem ya da 3. BPP\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olsa da Cuma\u2019ya kadar daha \u00e7ok var. \u201cBiz de bu beklentiyi \u00fc\u00e7-be\u015f defa al\u0131r-satar\u0131z\u201d diyen piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 piyasalardaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 iyiden iyiye artt\u0131r\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<p>Bu oynakl\u0131k bir yandan; g\u00fcvenli liman\u201d alg\u0131lamas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde; alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltirken di\u011fer yandan da alt\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da y\u00fckseltiyor. Haftan\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinde y\u00fckselen alt\u0131n, d\u00fcn ciddi bir k\u00e2r realizasyonu ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131. \u2019Sert y\u00fckseli\u015flerin, sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri oldu\u011fu\u2019 tezini bir kez daha ispatlarcas\u0131na. D\u00fcn 1.854 ons\/<span><strong>dolar<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0seviyesini g\u00f6ren alt\u0131n 1.761\u2019e kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u201cbahaneleri\u201d muhtelif idi: Hedge fonlar sat\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7ti, \u0130talya\u2019ya alt\u0131n rezervlerini satmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neren Alman politikac\u0131n\u0131n fikrinin kabul g\u00f6rebilece\u011fi, hatta baz\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin alt\u0131n satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi \u00e7ok da ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmayan bahaneler. Bence \u201ck\u00e2r cebe yak\u0131\u015f\u0131r!\u201d diyenler h\u0131zl\u0131 davrand\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda, bu hafta i\u00e7in yeni hedefin 1920-45 band\u0131 oldu\u011funa de\u011finmi\u015ftim. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc 1.912 seviyesi ile bu hedef tutmu\u015f say\u0131labilir mi? Bu seviyenin tuttu\u011funu ve g\u00f6r\u00fclen tarihi y\u00fckse\u011fi zirve kabul edecek olursak en az\u0131ndan hafta sonu yap\u0131lacak toplant\u0131ya kadar bir ka\u00e7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir \u201cd\u00fczeltme\u201d s\u00fcreci ya\u015fanacak gibi.<\/p>\n<p>Peki nereye kadar iner alt\u0131n derseniz d\u00fcn h\u0131zl\u0131bir \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilen 1.810 seviyesi ilk destekti, k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131! \u015eimdi s\u0131rada 1.745.seviyesi ve ard\u0131ndan da 1.700 seviyeleri \u00f6nemli olacak! Daha alt\u0131na iki g\u00fcn gibi k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcrede inilmesi zor. Ola ki inildi, 1.650 seviyesi hem d\u00fczeltme seviyesi, hem de 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya inilmesi sebebiyle \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir destek seviyesi olacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4059484887\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Asl\u0131na bakarsan\u0131z hafta sonu \u00e7\u0131kacak karar her ne olursa olsun alt\u0131na yarayacak! Neden mi? piyasalara destek paketi \u00e7\u0131kmazsa i\u015fler kar\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in alt\u0131n yukar\u0131 gidecek. Yok e\u011fer piyasalara yeni likidite pompalayacak 3.BPP gelecek olursa da bu sefer paray\u0131 bol bulan alt\u0131na h\u00fccum edecek, yine alt\u0131n artacak!<\/p>\n<p>Yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ebilmesi i\u00e7in tek sorun alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.650 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inmemesi! Aksi takdirde yeniden 1.900\u2019lerin \u00fczerine, hatta son ralli s\u0131ras\u0131nda konu\u015fuldu\u011fu gibi 2.400 dolarlara (1980\u2019deki 850 dolardaki zirvenin enflasyonla bug\u00fcne getirilmi\u015f fiyat\u0131) \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 hayli zor olacak!<\/p>\n<p>Bu nedenle de \u00e7ok fazla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 gidilmeden, Jackson Hole toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131nda yeniden 2.000 dolarlar (her ne kadar ben bu seviyelerin makul olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnsem de) konu\u015fulmaya ba\u015flayabilir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cumhuriyet Alt\u0131n\u0131 35 TL d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2835569943\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n ulusluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda \u00e7ak\u0131lmas\u0131 Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131\u2019da da etkili oldu. Hafta i\u00e7inde 737 TL\u2019ye kadar t\u0131rmanan Cumhuriyet Alt\u0131n\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fiyat\u0131 700 TL\u2019nin alt\u0131na gerileyerek 696 TL\u2019den g\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlad\u0131. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 180 TL\u2019den sat\u0131lan \u00c7eyrek alt\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131 da 168 TL\u2019ye indi. Cumhuriyet Alt\u0131n\u0131\u2019nda 1 g\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f 35 lira, \u00e7eyrek alt\u0131nda ise 10 TL oldu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dr. K\u0131yamet: G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm iyi de\u011fil, alt\u0131n al\u0131n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1987 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan \u2018kara pazartesi\u2019yi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmesi nedeniyle \u2018Dr. K\u0131yamet\u2019 olarak an\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131m gurusu Marc Faber, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n yapt\u0131klar\u0131 acemilikler nedeniyle ABD ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemi ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n fiziki olarak alt\u0131n alarak ve bu alt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvenli bir yere, tercihen ABD d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, kendilerini korumalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen Faber, \u201cE\u011fer Avrupa ve ABD \u2019deki politikac\u0131lar\u0131n tutumlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirirsek, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn \u00e7ok iyi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bu ortamda alt\u0131n en cazip yat\u0131r\u0131m araca\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n onsuyla ilgili 2.400 dolar seviyeleri konu\u015fulurken d\u00fcn fiyatlar h\u0131zla geriledi\u00a0ve\u00a0alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu 1.761 dolara kadar indi. \u015eimdi s\u0131rada 1.745 seviyesi ve ard\u0131ndan da 1.700 seviyeleri&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4447","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4447"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4447\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}