{"id":44210,"date":"2016-02-23T11:21:39","date_gmt":"2016-02-23T09:21:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=44210"},"modified":"2016-02-23T11:21:41","modified_gmt":"2016-02-23T09:21:41","slug":"borsada-kritik-direnc-kirildiktan-sonra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsada-kritik-direnc-kirildiktan-sonra\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsada Kritik Diren\u00e7 K\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131ktan Sonra"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Bu hafta sonu yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m e\u011fitici b\u00fclteni okumu\u015fsan\u0131z, Dow ve S&amp;P500 endekslerinin kritik seviyeleri (Dow i\u00e7in 16.500, S&amp;P i\u00e7\u00f6in 1950) ge\u00e7mesi durumunda BIST-100 endeksinin de 75 bini yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7erek 76.500-77.000 seviyesine do\u011fru hareket edebilece\u011fini belirtmi\u015ftim.<\/strong> <\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1363377802\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00fcn olumlu geli\u015fmeler oldu. ABD ile Rusya anla\u015fmas\u0131 k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131 da olumlu etkiledi. ABD endeksleri tehlikeli b\u00f6lgeden uzakla\u015ft\u0131lar ve bu sabah, BIST100 endeksi 75 bini ge\u00e7erek 75.400 seviyelerine geldi. Bug\u00fcn 75 bin \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f yaparsa \u00e7ok olumlu olacak. D\u0131\u015far\u0131ya bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda Dow ve S&amp;P future endeksleri %0.25-0.30 aras\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da bulunuyorlar. Bu sebeple a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta endeks\u00a0\u00a0biraz geriledi fakat daha sonra gelen al\u0131mlarla 75 bin ge\u00e7ildi. Bug\u00fcn TCMB&#8217;nin PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131 var ve faizde de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklenmiyor ama MB faizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrse \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmam. \u00c7ok rahatl\u0131kla Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n yapaca\u011f\u0131 parasal geni\u015flemeyi ve FED&#8217;in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131n\u0131 sebep olarak g\u00f6sterebilir. Bu a\u015famada endeks i\u00e7in en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek 73.500 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 seviyesi 76.250-76.500 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn boyunca 75 bin \u00fczerinde tutunursak 78-80 bin seviyesi hedef olabilir. Bu y\u00fczden hisselerde pozisyon tutulmal\u0131. Ama ters bir geli\u015fme veya haberle e\u011fer 73.500 alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa, 72 bine kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fi i\u00e7in, 73.500 seviyesi stop seviyesi olarak belirlenebilir. Endeksin bug\u00fcn 74.400 ile 76.250 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etmesini bekliyorum.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\/TL kuru \u015fu an 2.94 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Borsadaki y\u00fckseli\u015f pek yans\u0131mam\u0131\u015f durumda. Dolar\/TL kurunda 2.9250-2.9550 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 dalgalanma band\u0131 olarak al\u0131nabilir. Yaln\u0131z \u015funu tekrar belirtmemde fayda var. K\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Fakat bu hava her an, gelen bir veriyle bile de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fi i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 yine de dikkatli olmal\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u00fcresel sorunlar, \u00c7in&#8217;in b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi endi\u015feleri ve yine \u00c7in&#8217;in yeni deval\u00fcasyonlar ya\u015fama ihtimali bulunuyor. Ayr\u0131ca Avrupa&#8217;da bankac\u0131l\u0131k sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n sadece \u00fczeri \u00f6rt\u00fcld\u00fc. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla art\u0131k b\u00fct\u00fcn sorunlar bitti \u015feklinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek yanl\u0131\u015f. Fakat \u015funu da vurgulamakta fayda var. FED&#8217;in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 FED tutanaklar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan beri k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artt\u0131. Firmalar\u0131n karl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve temett\u00fc verimleri ABD&#8217;Nin 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k ve 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvili faizleri ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda temett\u00fc verimi y\u00fcksek kalan \u00e7ok firma var. Bu y\u00fczden firmalar kendi hisselerini sat\u0131n al\u0131yorlar ve bu da ABD hisselerini y\u00fckseltiyor. Nisan ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anda yine piyasalar tersine d\u00f6necektir. Mart ortalar\u0131na kadar sorun g\u00f6rm\u00fcyorum ama sonras\u0131 bana g\u00f6re hala karnl\u0131k. Bunu da ak\u0131lda tutmak laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir hafta olmas\u0131n\u0131 diliyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bu hafta sonu yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m e\u011fitici b\u00fclteni okumu\u015fsan\u0131z, Dow ve S&amp;P500 endekslerinin kritik seviyeleri (Dow i\u00e7in 16.500, S&amp;P i\u00e7\u00f6in 1950) ge\u00e7mesi durumunda BIST-100 endeksinin de 75&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-44210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44210\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}