{"id":43965,"date":"2016-02-04T11:47:16","date_gmt":"2016-02-04T09:47:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=43965"},"modified":"2016-02-04T11:47:47","modified_gmt":"2016-02-04T09:47:47","slug":"borsalar-yeniden-olumluya-donerken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsalar-yeniden-olumluya-donerken\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsalar Yeniden Olumluya D\u00f6nerken"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcn g\u00fcn boyunca \u00e7ok dalgal\u0131 bir seans izledik. Borsada 72 bin seviyesi iki defa test edildi ve \u00f6zellikle ikinci seansta FED \u00fcyesi Dudley&#8217;in konu\u015fmalar\u0131 piyasalara yeniden al\u0131m getirdi.<\/strong> <\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2868551648\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Dudley, \u015fu an i\u00e7inde bulunulan k\u00fcrsel piyasa \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6yle devam etmesi durumunda Mart ay\u0131nda da bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapman\u0131n zor olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapman\u0131n dolar\u0131n de\u011ferini di\u011fer paralara kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fckselterek, ABD ekonomisine zarar verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu arada ADP istihdam verisi 195 bin civar\u0131nda beklenirken, 205 bin gelmesine ra\u011fmen, borsalar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131 enformasyon-formasyon uyumsuzlu\u011funa g\u00fczel bir \u00f6rnekti.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-43966\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/BIST-4-subat-2016.png\" alt=\"BIST-4 subat 2016\" width=\"562\" height=\"350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/BIST-4-subat-2016.png 562w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/BIST-4-subat-2016-300x187.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 562px) 100vw, 562px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131daki grafikte endeksin 5 dakikal\u0131k hareketleri bulunuyor. D\u00fcn asl\u0131nda ABD borsalar\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerle a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. Fakat, g\u00fcn sonuna do\u011fru ciddi bi\u00e7imde toparlad\u0131lar ve bu sabah ABD borsa endekslerinin future&#8217;lar\u0131 (dow future ve S&amp;P future) y\u00fczde 0.40 civar\u0131nda yukar\u0131dayd\u0131lar. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla BIST-100 endeksi de yakla\u015f\u0131k bin puan y\u00fckseli\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131 ve \u015fu an 74.100 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. D\u00fcn endeksin 73 bin \u00fczerinde kapatmas\u0131 \u00e7ok olumlu oldu. Teknik g\u00f6stergeler talebin fena durumda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sinyalini veriyor. Fakat vurgulayal\u0131m ki; d\u0131\u015f piyasalarla aram\u0131zdaki korelasyon \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek. Yani endeksin belirli bir direnci k\u0131rmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda normal \u015fartlarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket yapmas\u0131 ve trendin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi beklenir. Fakat d\u0131\u015f piyasalardaki en ufak bir gerileme veya sert bir art\u0131\u015f an\u0131nda bize de yans\u0131yor. Bu y\u00fczden &#8220;Endeks 74.000&#8217;i yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7erse 79 bine gider&#8221; t\u00fcr\u00fcnden birazc\u0131k orta vadeli yorumlar\u0131n pek anlam\u0131 yok. Endeks hangi deste\u011fi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rarsa k\u0131rs\u0131n veya hangi direnci yukar\u0131 k\u0131rarsa k\u0131rs\u0131n ertesi g\u00fcn, d\u0131\u015f borsalarda olu\u015facak ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket, bizim borsay\u0131 da terste b\u0131rak\u0131r. \u0130\u015fte bu y\u00fczden, bu s\u0131ralar &#8220;d\u0131\u015far\u0131s\u0131 iyiyse biz de iyiyiz, k\u00f6t\u00fcyse biz de k\u00f6t\u00fcy\u00fcz, ama daha az k\u00f6t\u00fcy\u00fcz&#8221; t\u00fcr\u00fcnden bir yorum daha anlaml\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Madem \u015fu an bizim borsam\u0131z\u0131n d\u0131\u015far\u0131 ile korelasyonu artt\u0131. Bu durumda bizim borsan\u0131n hareketlerini tahmin etmek i\u00e7in, d\u0131\u015f borsalar\u0131n hareketlerini tahmin etmek gerekecektir. \u00d6zellikle de ABD endekslerinin y\u00f6n\u00fc \u00f6nemli olmaktad\u0131r. D\u00fcn verdi\u011fim yorumda bu y\u00fczden, Dow 1600&#8217;\u00fcn alt\u0131nda veya S&amp;P500 1900&#8217;\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kapatmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece sorun yok mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. \u015eu an dow ve S&amp;p500 endeksleri A\u011fustos ay\u0131ndaki\u00a0\u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015ften sonraki hareketlerine\u00a0\u00a0benzer hareketler yap\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu grafi\u011fi incelemekte fayda var. \u00a0Normal \u015fartlar devam ederse BIST-100 endeksinin \u00a072.750 seviyesini destek yaparak 75-76 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar y\u00fckselmesi beklenebilir (tabi ki d\u0131\u015far\u0131s\u0131 aniden bozulmazsa). Yar\u0131n Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesinde piyasa biraz stresli olabilir. Genel olarak hisselerdeki pozisyonlar\u0131n korunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-43969\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/DOW-4-subat-2016.png\" alt=\"DOW-4 subat 2016\" width=\"562\" height=\"350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/DOW-4-subat-2016.png 562w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/DOW-4-subat-2016-300x187.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 562px) 100vw, 562px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Dolara gelecek olursak, 2.95 seviyesindeki destek k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve dolar 2.91 seviyelerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte dolar\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketleri g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-43970\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/DOLAR-4-subat-2016.png\" alt=\"DOLAR-4 subat 2016\" width=\"562\" height=\"350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/DOLAR-4-subat-2016.png 562w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/DOLAR-4-subat-2016-300x187.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 562px) 100vw, 562px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Dolar \u015fu an 2.9157 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Tahminen 2.90 \u00fczerinde tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Art\u0131k 2.95-2.97 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00a0yeni diren\u00e7 haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu a\u015famada, d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda yeni s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 1-2 hafta i\u00e7inde 2.96 civar\u0131n\u0131n diren\u00e7 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dolar\u0131n 2.87 seviyelerine do\u011fru gerileme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Burada tabi ki d\u0131\u015far\u0131daki olacak geli\u015fmeleri bilmiyoruz. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ani bir haber veya beklentileri bir anda de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek ba\u015fka olaylar\u0131n olmas\u0131 durumunda de\u011fi\u015fecektir. Yani 2.87 seviyesini garanti gibi alg\u0131lamak yanl\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Fakat \u015fu anki trend ve ortam devam ederse 2.90-2.95 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir s\u00fcre dalgalanma olduktan sonra, 2.90 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilebilir ve 2.87 civarlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131 dile\u011fiyle&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>NOT<\/strong>: Bug\u00fcn Osmanl\u0131 Menkul sponsorlu\u011funda saat 21:00&#8217;de yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yay\u0131n linki \u015f\u00f6yledir:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/plus.google.com\/events\/cftukv3i56oulof3v71223t1nm0\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">https:\/\/plus.google.com\/events\/cftukv3i56oulof3v71223t1nm0<\/a><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1376033880\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn g\u00fcn boyunca \u00e7ok dalgal\u0131 bir seans izledik. Borsada 72 bin seviyesi iki defa test edildi ve \u00f6zellikle ikinci seansta FED \u00fcyesi Dudley&#8217;in konu\u015fmalar\u0131 piyasalara&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-43965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43965"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43965\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}