{"id":4373,"date":"2011-08-23T09:45:39","date_gmt":"2011-08-23T06:45:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=4373"},"modified":"2011-08-23T09:45:57","modified_gmt":"2011-08-23T06:45:57","slug":"kuresel-krizin-ikinci-asamasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kuresel-krizin-ikinci-asamasi\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel Krizin \u0130kinci A\u015famas\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Krizin \u015fimdiki ikinci a\u015famas\u0131nda AB de s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girdi\u011fi i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 sorunlu duruma d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f bulunuyor.<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-337513376\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>Kapitalizmin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00f6nemli krizinin ikinci a\u015famas\u0131na girmi\u015f bulunuyoruz. \u0130lk \u00f6nemli kriz 1873\u20131896 aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ve Viyana Borsas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle ba\u015flay\u0131p b\u00fct\u00fcn kapitalist sistemi saran \u2018Uzun Depresyon\u2019du. \u0130kinci \u00f6nemli kriz 1929 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD Borsas\u0131\u2019ndan ba\u015flay\u0131p yine sistemi b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle saran \u2018B\u00fcy\u00fck Depresyon\u2019du. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 1936\u2019ya kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck kriz ise 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD\u2019de kredi piyasalar\u0131nda ba\u015flay\u0131p k\u00fcresel sistemi etkisi alt\u0131na alan k\u00fcresel krizdir. Tam k\u00fcresel sistemin toparlanmaya ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 tahminleri yap\u0131l\u0131rken yeni bir a\u015famas\u0131na gelinmi\u015f bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Krizlerin farkl\u0131 yanlar\u0131<\/strong><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7inde ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z krize bilerek veya bilmeyerek k\u00fcresel kriz ad\u0131n\u0131n verilmi\u015f olmas\u0131 son derece do\u011frudur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ilk kez bir k\u00fcresel kriz ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Kapitalizmin \u00f6nceki krizlerinde d\u00fcnyada ba\u015fka sistemler de vard\u0131. Uzun depresyon s\u0131ras\u0131nda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en az d\u00f6rtte biri hen\u00fcz parasal ekonomiye bile girmemi\u015fti. Baz\u0131 ekonomiler \u2018Sanayi Devrimi\u2019ni yapamam\u0131\u015f h\u00e2l\u00e2 tar\u0131msal kapitalizmle merkantilizm aras\u0131nda bir yerde duruyordu. \u20181929 B\u00fcy\u00fck Depresyonu\u2019nda ise d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te biri sosyalist sisteme dahildi ve krizden kapitalist ekonomiler kadar etkilenmemi\u015fti. Oysa bu krizde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n neredeyse tamam\u0131 kapitalist sistemin ya i\u00e7inde ya da ona entegre durumda. O nedenle bu kriz d\u00fcnyan\u0131n g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ilk k\u00fcresel kriz olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel sistemin oyuncular\u0131n\u0131 kabaca d\u00f6rt kategoriye ay\u0131rmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn: (1) ABD, (2) AB, (3) \u00c7in ve di\u011fer y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomileri, (4) Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler. Bu gruplar\u0131n her biri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 d\u00fcnya GSYH\u2019sinin d\u00f6rtte birini temsil ediyor. Tek ba\u015f\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu sistemin en \u00f6nemli oyuncusu konumunda ABD yer al\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD tek ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6rtte birlik bir a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa sahip bulunuyor. ABD ekonomisinde sorunlar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geride kalan d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fcn onu dengelemesi g\u00f6reli olarak kolay oluyordu. ABD ekonomisiyle birlikte AB ekonomisinde de sorunlar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nca \u00f6tekilerin dengelemesi gereken pay d\u00fcnyan\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 oluyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sorun yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><\/strong>Ekonomik krizler ilk ba\u015flarda hep finansal sorunlarla \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ortaya. Uzun depresyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fck depresyon borsa kaynakl\u0131 olarak \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel kriz de krediler ve t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnler k\u00f6kenli olarak \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Hepsi ger\u00e7ek d\u00fcnyayla sanal d\u00fcnya aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine dayan\u0131yor. Bu farka biz k\u00f6p\u00fck diyoruz. 2008\u2019den bu yana k\u00f6p\u00fcklerin biraz al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k halen bu \u015fi\u015fkinlikler tam olarak giderilebilmi\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel krizin ilk a\u015famas\u0131nda sorun ABD ekonomisindeydi ve \u00f6teki ekonomiler onu dengelemeyi ba\u015fard\u0131lar. Hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz bunda ABD\u2019nin mali geni\u015fleme paketlerinin ve di\u011fer \u00f6nlemlerinin de etkisi oldu. Krizin \u015fimdiki ikinci a\u015famas\u0131nda AB de s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girdi\u011fi i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 sorunlu duruma d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f bulunuyor. \u00d6teki ekonomilerin bu iki g\u00fcc\u00fc dengelemesi kolay de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00f6teki ekonomilerin \u00e7o\u011fu, bir\u00e7ok ekonomik ili\u015fkide, ABD ile AB\u2019nin eline bak\u0131yor. ABD ile AB ithalat\u0131 durdursa ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrse \u00c7in\u2019in ve bir\u00e7ok yeni y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomisinin k\u0131p\u0131rdayacak yeri kalmaz. \u00dcrettikleri mallar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun kendi \u00fclkelerinde yeterince talep g\u00f6rmesi s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil. ABD ve AB yeniden resesyona girse veya daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fc baz\u0131 yorumcular\u0131n iddia etti\u011fi gibi deflasyonla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fsa petrol ve do\u011falgaz t\u00fcketimlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015flar. Bu kez Rusya ve \u00f6teki petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girer.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3735622451\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>K\u00fcresel krizin ikinci a\u015famas\u0131 bence ilk a\u015famas\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck sars\u0131nt\u0131lar yaratacak<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Krizin \u015fimdiki ikinci a\u015famas\u0131nda AB de s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girdi\u011fi i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 sorunlu duruma d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f bulunuyor. \u00a0Kapitalizmin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00f6nemli krizinin ikinci a\u015famas\u0131na girmi\u015f bulunuyoruz. \u0130lk \u00f6nemli&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4373"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4373\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}