{"id":43585,"date":"2016-01-12T13:56:47","date_gmt":"2016-01-12T11:56:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=43585"},"modified":"2016-01-12T13:56:56","modified_gmt":"2016-01-12T11:56:56","slug":"borsa-pozitif-ayrisiyor-dolar-tedirgin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsa-pozitif-ayrisiyor-dolar-tedirgin\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsa Pozitif Ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor, Dolar Tedirgin&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcn\u00a0Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda orta vadeli program\u0131 (OVP) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. 2016&#8217;da b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 4.5 olurken 2017 ve 2018&#8217;de y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflenmi\u015f durumda.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-935495308\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2016&#8217;da y\u00fczde 7.5 enflasyon bekleniyor. Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek Avrupa&#8217;da bas\u0131lan paralardan olduk\u00e7a umutlu ve ileriki zamanlarda Avrupa&#8217;daki parasal geni\u015flemenin olumlu etkilerinin g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. OVP&#8217;yi \u00e7ok iyimser buldum. Mart ve Nisan aylar\u0131nda FED&#8217;in yapaca\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131lardan \u00f6nce yeniden ciddi stresler ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi unutulmamal\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn FED \u00fcyesi Dennis Lockhart s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma taraf\u0131nda oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyince dolar di\u011fer paralara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer kazand\u0131. K\u00fcrsel piyasalardaki sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in bir risk olu\u015fturmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Yani borsalar d\u00fc\u015febilir ama s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yapman\u0131n bir sak\u0131ncas\u0131 yok demeye getirdi. Bu y\u00fczden d\u00fcn ABD borsalar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle g\u00fcne ba\u015flad\u0131 ve dow endeksi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeni dip seviyeleri g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra, y\u00fczde 0.32 yukar\u0131dan kapand\u0131. S&amp;P endeksi de g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 0.09 yukar\u0131dan kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. \u00c7in borsas\u0131 da y\u00fczde 0.20 yukar\u0131dan kapatt\u0131. Uzun bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinden sonra \u00c7in&#8217;in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn bir nebze durmas\u0131, stresi bir miktar azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\/TL kuru bu sabah 3.0465 seviyelerini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra \u015fu an geriliyor ve 3.0360 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Dolardaki hareket T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;Ye \u00f6zg\u00fc bir \u015fey de\u011fil. D\u0130\u011fer GO\u00dc para birimleri de benzer \u015fekilde de\u011fer kaybediyorlar. K\u00fcresel stresin yarat\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir sonu\u00e7 diyebiliriz. \u00a0Dolar bir s\u00fcre daha 3.00 ile 3.07 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kalmaya aday gesi\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Fakat 3.01&#8217;in alt\u0131na e\u011fer setr gerileme olursa, yeniden 3&#8217;\u00fcn alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilir. Bu a\u015famada hala dolar i\u00e7in endi\u015fe duymak gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum ama Mart ve Nisan aylar\u0131nda \u00e7ok dalgal\u0131 g\u00fcnler ya\u015fayabilece\u011fimiz gibi, 3.07&#8217;nin \u00fczerine ataklar da g\u00f6rebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>Borsaya gelince d\u00fcn genelde olumluydu fakat seans sonuna do\u011fru d\u0131\u015f borsalarda ve \u00f6zellikle de ABD endekslerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle sat\u0131\u015f gelmi\u015fti. Bu sabah a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131nda yukar\u0131 hareket g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. D\u00fcn 71.048 seviyesinden kapanan endeks, \u015fu an 71.500 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-43586\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/BIST-100-12-01-2016.png\" alt=\"BIST-100-12-01-2016\" width=\"562\" height=\"350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/BIST-100-12-01-2016.png 562w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/BIST-100-12-01-2016-300x187.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 562px) 100vw, 562px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-43588\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/borsa-karsilastirma2.png\" alt=\"borsa karsilastirma2\" width=\"573\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/borsa-karsilastirma2.png 772w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/borsa-karsilastirma2-300x188.png 300w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/borsa-karsilastirma2-768x482.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 573px) 100vw, 573px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Hacim fena de\u011fil. Borsam\u0131z\u0131n di\u011fer borsalardan bu hafta pozitif ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131daki grafikte g\u00f6steriliyor. Tahminen bug\u00fcn endeks 70.700 seviyelerini destek yaparak 72 bini yukar\u0131 zorlayabilir. Daha \u00f6nce de belirtti\u011fim \u00fczere 70 bine ile 71.500 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ve yukar\u0131 hareketlere \u00e7ok fazla anlam y\u00fcklememek gerekir. Bu aral\u0131kta \u00e7ok fazla al-sat yapmak zarar verir. Endeksin gelecek haftadan itibaren 72 bini yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131p 74 bine do\u011fru hareket etmesini bekliyorum. Bu \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmemin sebebi, ABD&#8217;de ve Avrupa&#8217;da borsalar\u0131n \u00f6nemli desteklerini k\u0131rd\u0131ktan sonra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinin sonuna yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmalar\u0131d\u0131r. Hat\u0131rlarsan\u0131z daha \u00f6nceki yorumlar\u0131mda Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00a02 haftas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeliyiz diyordum. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD ve Avrupa&#8217;da \u00f6nemli destekler k\u0131r\u0131labilirdi ve nitekim k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ama biz en az\u0131ndan 70 bin alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f yapmad\u0131k. Bu \u00f6nemlidir. Bu y\u00fczden \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 2 haftan\u0131n daha iyi bir performans sergilemesini bekliyorum. Ama yine de d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda olacak sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ve yeni stresler e\u011fer endeksin 68.800 civarnda veya alt\u0131nda kapatmas\u0131na sebep olursa 63-65 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131. \u00a0Bug\u00fcn FED Ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Fischer konu\u015facak. O&#8217;nun da faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131ndan yana oldu\u011funa dair bir konu\u015fma yapmas\u0131 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeniden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Hepinize bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131 dile\u011fiyle&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn\u00a0Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda orta vadeli program\u0131 (OVP) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. 2016&#8217;da b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 4.5 olurken 2017 ve 2018&#8217;de y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflenmi\u015f&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-43585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43585","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43585"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43585\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43585"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43585"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43585"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}