{"id":43491,"date":"2016-01-04T22:35:37","date_gmt":"2016-01-04T20:35:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=43491"},"modified":"2016-01-04T23:22:19","modified_gmt":"2016-01-04T21:22:19","slug":"dort-tekerlekli-garabet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dort-tekerlekli-garabet\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; D\u00f6rt tekerlekli garabet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u00f6netim ve embedded gazetecilik iyice \u00e7ocukla\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Rusya merkezli geli\u015fmelerde bir kere daha ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ki; mahallede \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n \u00e7eki\u015fece\u011fi d\u00fczeye getirilen ekopolitik meseleleri analiz etme yetisini, ak\u0131l noksan\u0131 bir \u00e7er\u00e7eveye indirdik.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3077983645\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>En ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorum; kavgan\u0131n kazanan\u0131 olmaz; ama d\u00fczeyi ilkokul seviyesine \u00e7ekmenin komik taraf\u0131 olur. Rusya ile u\u00e7ak meselesinden beri tats\u0131z bir ili\u015fki i\u00e7indeyiz. O g\u00fcnden bu yana da \u2018kim daha k\u00f6t\u00fc\u2019 oyunu oynuyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Yeni ba\u015fl\u0131k otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fc\u2026 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 1 milyon adedi a\u015farak rekor d\u00fczeyde kapatmaya haz\u0131rlanan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Rusya pazar\u0131 2014 y\u0131l\u0131yla mukayese edildi\u011finde y\u00fczde 45\u2019lik daralma ile \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberi geldi. Peki, g\u00f6\u00e7en Rusya\u2019da durum ne? Sadece otomobil adedi; 1 milyon 28 bin adet. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc 1,1 milyon adet.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>PwC\u2019ye \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc uyar\u0131nca 4 milyonluk Rus otomotiv pazar\u0131n\u0131n 2020 pazar tahminleri de 2,6 milyon adede \u00e7ekildi. Yani halen bizim iki kat\u0131m\u0131zdan fazla. \u015eimdi g\u00fcler misin a\u011flar m\u0131s\u0131n?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu meselenin birka\u00e7 boyutu var. \u00d6ncelikle yerli \u00fcretim yapabilen, bunda da i\u00e7te pazar yaratan bir \u00fclke ile, yerli pay\u0131 katk\u0131 oran\u0131 yerlerde s\u00fcr\u00fcnen ve ithal edilen otomotiv \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini katt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 veren otomotiv \u00fcss\u00fc (!) T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi k\u0131yasl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bir tarafta bor\u00e7la ya\u015fayan ve kendi \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011finde sat\u0131\u015f rekoru k\u0131ran T\u00fcrkiye, \u00f6te tarafta d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 veren Rusya\u2026 Her iki \u00fclkenin merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz rezervlerine bir bakal\u0131m. T\u00fcrkiye 95,7 milyar dolar; Rusya 364 milyar dolar.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle birlikte k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015fsa da halen durumu, gelece\u011fin ekonomisinde s\u00f6z sahibi olmakta \u0131srar edecek kadar iyi bir Rusya,\u00a0 \u00f6te tarafta 379 milyar dolar pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan \u00fclke T\u00fcrkiye\u2026 Yani biri d\u0131\u015ftan bor\u00e7 al\u0131p, ara\u00e7 sahibi oldu\u011funu zannetmi\u015f; di\u011feri paras\u0131n\u0131 harcam\u0131\u015f. Bu ak\u0131l tutulmas\u0131 de\u011fil de nedir? \u00d6v\u00fcn\u00fclecek ne var bunda?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fin bir ba\u015fka boyutu daha var. Birileri Rusya otomotiv pazar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle prim yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ya ak\u0131l al\u0131r gibi de\u011fil. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ana sanayi kadar ihracat yapan otomotiv yan sanayimiz bu pazara 450 milyon dolarl\u0131k ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiriyor. M\u00fc\u015fterimizin durumunun k\u00f6t\u00fc olmas\u0131 bize nas\u0131l bir fayda sa\u011flayacak; biri bunu a\u00e7\u0131klas\u0131n.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1768669935\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc; b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ba\u015far\u0131 palavras\u0131 g\u00f6lgesinde ekonomiyi konu\u015fan ve ger\u00e7eklerle y\u00fczle\u015fme a\u015famas\u0131na gelen T\u00fcrkiye, \u015fimdi de b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden pazar de\u011ferlendirmelerine kadar \u2018o bizden k\u00f6t\u00fc\u2019 yorumlar\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131na s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat bu analizlerin hi\u00e7 biri T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik a\u00e7mazlar\u0131n\u0131, yanl\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 ve vizyonsuzlu\u011funu ortadan kald\u0131rmaya yetmiyor. Bu yalan r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 b\u00f6yle gitmez. D\u00fcn tarlada, bug\u00fcn d\u00f6rt tekerlekteki olan garabet h\u0131z kesmeden devam ediyor. Bir an \u00f6nce elalemi b\u0131rak\u0131p kendi derdimize d\u00fc\u015fmemiz gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc hi\u00e7bir tutarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmayan yakla\u015f\u0131m bir yana, s\u00f6ylenen her \u015fey do\u011fru bile olsa, bu durum i\u015fsizlikten finansman ihtiyac\u0131na, ihracat pazarlar\u0131ndaki daralmadan \u015fi\u015fkin kapasiteye kadar sorunlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1391544106\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u00f6netim ve embedded gazetecilik iyice \u00e7ocukla\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Rusya merkezli geli\u015fmelerde bir kere daha ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ki; mahallede \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n \u00e7eki\u015fece\u011fi d\u00fczeye getirilen ekopolitik meseleleri analiz&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-43491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43491"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43491\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}