{"id":43415,"date":"2015-12-29T23:00:27","date_gmt":"2015-12-29T21:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=43415"},"modified":"2015-12-30T00:12:14","modified_gmt":"2015-12-29T22:12:14","slug":"2016da-reel-sektoru-ne-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/2016da-reel-sektoru-ne-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; 2016\u2019da reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ne bekliyor?  \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ciddi a\u00e7mazlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda, \u2018ne bekliyor\u2019 temal\u0131 yaz\u0131 dizimizin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde reel sekt\u00f6re mercek tutaca\u011f\u0131z. Reel sekt\u00f6r kavram\u0131n\u0131 da \u00fcreticisi, esnaf\u0131, i\u015f\u00e7isi, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131 ile ayn\u0131 pencerede g\u00f6rmek do\u011fru olacakt\u0131r.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3759174116\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bug\u00fcn\u00fcn ekonomik ger\u00e7ekleri i\u00e7erisinde sadece iki s\u0131n\u0131f kald\u0131. \u00dcretim ekonomisine inananlar ile kumar ekonomisinden ge\u00e7inenler.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>2 binli y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana d\u00fcnyada parasal geni\u015flemenin de etkisiyle, finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, kur ve faiz politikalar\u0131yla \u00fcreten, ticaret yapan ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kesimlerin dezavantajl\u0131 hale geldi\u011fi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de fatura \u00e7ok kabar\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>2016 y\u0131l\u0131 d\u00fcnyadaki ekonomik daralmayla, zaten 2009\u2019da ba\u015flayan ama 2011 itibariyle a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fan pazar daralmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fiddetini artt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcrece giriyoruz. D\u0131\u015far\u0131da ihracat pazarlar\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131, k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azalmas\u0131 ve yeniden ayn\u0131 pazara girmenin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k emek istemesinden dolay\u0131 pazar\u0131n terk edilememesi ger\u00e7e\u011fi alt\u0131nda ihracat\u00e7\u0131 zarar\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Alternatif pazarlar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kaybeden, kom\u015fu pazarlar\u0131 tamamen elinden ka\u00e7\u0131ran, daralmaya paralel \u00c7in mallar\u0131yla daha \u00e7ok kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya gelecek ihracat\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n gelirleri d\u00fc\u015ferken, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bor\u00e7lu ve k\u0131sa vadeli bor\u00e7 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fayan yap\u0131s\u0131 2016\u2019ya damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuracakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Yurti\u00e7inde ise b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tahsil\u00e2t sorunu ya\u015fayan, ortalama 20 ay vadelerle mal satan, i\u00e7 pazar\u0131n\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ithal mallara kapt\u0131ran bir reel sekt\u00f6r foto\u011fraf\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Her ne kadar baz\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri artt\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131ysa da, olan olmu\u015f ve dezavantajl\u0131 konuma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Mal satmakla satmamak, \u00fcretmekle \u00fcretmek aras\u0131nda gidip gelen reel sekt\u00f6r ise, devlet deste\u011fi olmadan uygulanacak bin 300 TL\u2019lik asgari \u00fccretle tamamen k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. \u015eayet k\u0131dem tazminat\u0131 da iktidar\u0131n belirtti\u011fi \u00fczere fona devredilirse, iddia ediyorum \u00e7ok say\u0131da firma kepenk kapat\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bug\u00fcn iflas mahkemelerine ba\u015fvuranlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 artarken, bir yandan da sigorta primi, vergi borcu ve tazminatlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak paras\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, gizli iflas i\u00e7erisinde s\u00fcr\u00fcklenen \u00e7ok say\u0131da firma oldu\u011fu tespitini ortaya koymak gerekir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2957226670\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Reel sekt\u00f6rden, in\u015faat\u0131 anlayan bir ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, kendisiyle birlikte, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc ve bankac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da zehirlemi\u015f vaziyettedir. 2016 bu iltihab\u0131n d\u0131\u015fa akt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da firman\u0131n zor duruma d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, bunun da ekonomiyi reel kesim ad\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya sokaca\u011f\u0131 ihtimalini g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Esnaf\u0131n belinin k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, i\u015f hacminin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, ticari kredi bulamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kredi kart\u0131 ve bireysel ihtiya\u00e7 kredileri i\u00e7erisinde \u00f6nemli bir pay ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 realitesi de konu\u015fulmayan saatli bombad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde tefecilerin tekrar hortlad\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00e7ek senet mafyas\u0131 ihtimalinin de belirdi\u011fi bir manzara ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Bahsedilen yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 ise, pansuman tedavilerle hayata ge\u00e7irme imk\u00e2n\u0131 bulunmamaktad\u0131r. Ger\u00e7ek bir zihniyet, bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 ve politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu tablonun da reel sekt\u00f6r ad\u0131na en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131 i\u015fsizliktir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2016 y\u0131l\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak daha \u00e7ok g\u00fcndemine oturacak olan bu vaka, \u00fclkenin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehlikelerden de birini olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2609796570\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bunun vatanda\u015f boyutuna nas\u0131l yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ise yaz\u0131 dizisinin son basama\u011f\u0131nda, bir sonraki yaz\u0131da payla\u015faca\u011f\u0131m. T\u00fcm bu s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n fark\u0131nda olarak, geli\u015ftirilecek politikalar\u0131n daha ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i, yap\u0131sal, hayallerden uzak ve daha \u00e7ok firmay\u0131 ayakta tutabilmek ad\u0131na olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 en temel zorunluluktur. Aksi takdirde reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve bile\u015fenleri 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00f6t\u00fc s\u00fcrprizler bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ciddi a\u00e7mazlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda, \u2018ne bekliyor\u2019 temal\u0131 yaz\u0131 dizimizin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde reel sekt\u00f6re mercek tutaca\u011f\u0131z. Reel sekt\u00f6r kavram\u0131n\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-43415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43415","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43415"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43415\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}