{"id":43309,"date":"2015-12-27T22:12:48","date_gmt":"2015-12-27T20:12:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=43309"},"modified":"2015-12-27T22:53:23","modified_gmt":"2015-12-27T20:53:23","slug":"2016da-dunya-ekonomisini-ne-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/2016da-dunya-ekonomisini-ne-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; 2016\u2019da d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ne bekliyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n bu son g\u00fcnlerinde d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn boyunca, gelecek sene bizi bekleyen olas\u0131 geli\u015fmeleri de\u011ferlendirmekte fayda g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. \u00a0\u2018Ne bekliyor\u2019 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda s\u0131ras\u0131yla d\u00fcnyan\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn ve vatanda\u015f\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcndeki olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ele alaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1660334270\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki sene d\u00fcnya a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en \u00f6nemli ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 resesyon, varl\u0131k balonu tehlikesi bankac\u0131l\u0131kla ilgili a\u00e7mazlar, jeopolitik riskler ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler olu\u015fturacak gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce gelecek seneden ba\u015flayarak d\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2 binli y\u0131llarda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan kumar ekonomisinin faturas\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacak. Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla y\u0131prand\u0131\u011f\u0131, olaylar\u0131 kontrol etmekte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fck \u00e7ekti\u011fi ve parada yarat\u0131lan sanal de\u011ferin, ederiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcreci ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>29 krizine neden olan 1920\u2019leri an\u0131msatan bir yap\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde gerilimlerin artmas\u0131 \u00e7ok olas\u0131. Bundan da \u00f6nemlisi d\u00fcnyada t\u00fcketim ekonomisine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckselen ve at\u0131l hale gelen kapasiteler, pazar bulmakta hem s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fayacaklar hem de var olandan daha \u00e7ok pay kapabilmek i\u00e7in m\u00fccadeleyi keskinle\u015ftirecekler.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ile ilgili ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo her ne kadar olay\u0131n siyasal boyutu olsa da, d\u00fcnyay\u0131 bekleyen daralman\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir habercisi niteli\u011finde. Hen\u00fcz sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 hale gelmeyen ABD ekonomisinin hamleleri ile paran\u0131n daha da k\u0131tla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve di\u011fer cephenin de gelece\u011fin ekonomisinde s\u00f6z sahibi olabilmek ad\u0131na bu s\u00fcreci lehine kullanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir foto\u011fraf ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde kontrol\u00fc elinden ka\u00e7\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, di\u011ferlerinde de olaylar\u0131 y\u00f6netmekte zorluk \u00e7ekmesi ve k\u00e2r\u0131n bitti\u011finin kumarhane taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilmekte zorlanmas\u0131 nedeniyle varl\u0131k balonlar\u0131n\u0131n patlama ihtimali en \u00e7ok \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan ba\u015fl\u0131klardan biri.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum, d\u00fcnya bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc de derinden sarsacak olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 beraberinde getiriyor. FED\u2019in tavr\u0131 zaten ortada\u2026 Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Draghi ile yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018biz var\u0131z\u2019 mesaj\u0131 ise s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in Almanya\u2019ya tak\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim AMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n t\u00fcm \u00e7abas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen bankalar\u0131n\u0131n personel ve operasyonel k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmelerde \u0131srar etmesi bunun en a\u00e7\u0131k kan\u0131t\u0131. Yani i\u015fin profesyonelleri, d\u00fcnyada daha az insan geli\u015fmelerden haberd\u00e2r iken risklerini azaltman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131 arad\u0131lar; ar\u0131yorlar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3463963928\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan parasal ve pazar anlam\u0131ndaki bu daralman\u0131n faturas\u0131n\u0131 ise, y\u0131llarca \u00fcretimi yok sayarak ve hatta yok ederek, finans piyasalar\u0131na ak\u0131betini ba\u011flam\u0131\u015f geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler \u00f6deyecek.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6nersek 2008 krizinden sonra Londra\u2019da yap\u0131lan G20 Zirvesi\u2019ne, \u0130ngiliz D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha sonra yalanlanan \u2018faturay\u0131 geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler \u00f6deyecek\u2019 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinin ad\u0131m ad\u0131m \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze geldi\u011fine \u015fahit olaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum ihtiyac\u0131n keskinle\u015fmesiyle birlikte kara para trafi\u011finin artmas\u0131na, ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerinin buradan nemalanmas\u0131na ve s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fck\u00e7e ter\u00f6r ile ili\u015fki kuranlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131n belaya girmesine neden olacak bir s\u00fcreci de beraberinde getirecek. Jeopolitik riskler artarken, d\u00fcnyada belki bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 de\u011fil ama, b\u00f6lgesel anlamda d\u00fcnya m\u00fccadelelerinin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Nitekim Ukrayna, Suriye gibi meseleler bunun \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeleridir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc birileri bug\u00fcn\u00fcn derdine d\u00fc\u015ferken, birileri de gelecekte d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde, ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak siyasetinde etkin olman\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 verecekler. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te belki en \u00e7ok konu\u015ftu\u011fumuz sekt\u00f6r enerji ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131 olsa da, \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan alan tar\u0131m ve su kaynaklar\u0131 olarak kendisini g\u00f6sterecektir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3828581259\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Netice itibariyle 2016, d\u00fcnya ekopoliti\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yepyeni bir s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131d\u0131r. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kazanc\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu bile olmayaca\u011f\u0131 bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ise ev \u00f6devini zaman\u0131nda yapanlar, gelece\u011fini kurtar\u0131p, en az zararla bu i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131kman\u0131n yolunu arayacak.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ne demi\u015f Atalar\u0131m\u0131z? Haz\u0131ra da\u011f dayanmaz. Dayanmad\u0131 ve insanlar, \u00fclkeler faturas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6dememek i\u00e7in \u015fimdi birbirine giriyor. \u00dcstelik \u00f6n alanlar gelecek sava\u015f\u0131ndayken\u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n bu son g\u00fcnlerinde d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn boyunca, gelecek sene bizi bekleyen olas\u0131 geli\u015fmeleri de\u011ferlendirmekte fayda g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. \u00a0\u2018Ne bekliyor\u2019 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda s\u0131ras\u0131yla d\u00fcnyan\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, reel&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-43309","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43309","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43309"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43309\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43309"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43309"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43309"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}