{"id":43099,"date":"2015-12-16T10:28:01","date_gmt":"2015-12-16T08:28:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=43099"},"modified":"2015-12-16T21:06:46","modified_gmt":"2015-12-16T19:06:46","slug":"fed-beklenirken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/fed-beklenirken\/","title":{"rendered":"FED Beklenirken&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Haftaya\u00a0y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flayan BIST-100 endeksi pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir atak yapsa da g\u00fcn sonunda 70 binin alt\u0131na gitti.\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><em style=\"line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>Beni arayarak, &#8220;hocam a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta y\u00fckselttiler sonra da \u00e7ok yo\u011fun mal verdiler&#8221; deyince &#8220;Bizim borsay\u0131 y\u00fckseltip satanlar t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 da y\u00fckseltip satt\u0131lar m\u0131?&#8221; diye sordum.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1560163014\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc asl\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda belirgin bir bozulma olmasayd\u0131, belki de d\u00fcnk\u00fc hareketi pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6recektik. D\u0130kkat ederseniz borsa d\u0131\u015f piyasalara endeksli gidiyor. D\u00fcn (sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc) a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015ftan itibaren y\u00fckseli\u015f ba\u015flad\u0131 ve g\u00fcn sonunda kadar devam etti. Endeks 72156 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. BU sabah Asya cephesi d\u00fcn ABD ve Avrupa borsalar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f nedeniyle y\u00fckseli\u015fte bulunuyor. Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler endeksi de y\u00fczde 1&#8217;e yak\u0131n y\u00fckseldi. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik k\u00fcresel borsalar\u0131n hafta ba\u015f\u0131ndan \u015fu ana kadar y\u00fczde ka\u00e7 getiri sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-43100\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/dunya-borsalari-16-12-2015.png\" alt=\"dunya borsalari-16-12-2015\" width=\"518\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/dunya-borsalari-16-12-2015.png 740w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/dunya-borsalari-16-12-2015-300x195.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 518px) 100vw, 518px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Bu grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok endeks y\u00fckseli\u015fteydi ve en \u00e7ok y\u00fckselenlerden biri BIST-100 endeksiydi. Az \u00f6nce i\u015flemler ba\u015flad\u0131 ve yatay bir hareket var. D\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131nda yeni al\u0131m konusunda elbette ki d\u00fcnk\u00fc kadar i\u015ftah g\u00f6rmeyiz. Bug\u00fcn FED toplant\u0131s\u0131 var. Ak\u015fam saat 20:55&#8217;de youtube \u00fczerinden canl\u0131 yay\u0131n\u0131m olacak (<strong>izlemek i\u00e7in:<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=H1wH0lCNKVY\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=H1wH0lCNKVY<\/a> ) Bu canl\u0131 yay\u0131nda FED karar\u0131n\u0131 ve FED a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 yorumlayaca\u011f\u0131m ama zaten karar a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131r a\u00e7\u0131klanmaz t\u00fcm k\u00fcresel piyasalarda ciddi bir volatilite olu\u015facakt\u0131r. \u0130lk andaki hareketlere bakarak o s\u0131rada a\u00e7\u0131k olan foreks piyasalar\u0131nda hemen al\u0131m-sat\u0131ma girmek do\u011fru olmaz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00f6n her an de\u011fi\u015febiliyor. A\u00e7\u0131klamadan sonraki 15 dakika \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r ve biz o s\u0131rada yay\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi orada daha ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 verece\u011fim. \u00a0FED toplant\u0131s\u0131 nedeniyle bug\u00fcn piyasalar\u0131n d\u00fcne g\u00f6re daha temkinli olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz. \u015eu ana kadar olu\u015fan volatilite bug\u00fcn azalabilir ve bekleme modu hakim olabilir. Yine de beklenmedik bir haberle ani hareketler olabilir ama bug\u00fcnk\u00fc hareketlere fazla anlam y\u00fcklememek laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Rusya konusunda ve olas\u0131 bir sava\u015f konusunda beklentilerin olumluya d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz ama yine de ne olaca\u011f\u0131 belli olmaz. Bu y\u00fczden B plan\u0131n\u0131z her zaman olmal\u0131. Endeksin bug\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli deste\u011fi 71.250 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor ve normal \u015fartlarda (cetris paribus) bu seviyenin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyorum. \u015eartlar anormal olursa her \u015fey her an de\u011fi\u015febilir. Hissesi olanlar bence beklemeye devam etmeli. \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1-2 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcrede borsalar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki kara bulutlar\u0131n da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Ekonomi y\u00f6netimi harcamalar\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nlemler almaya niyetli. Bu da hem bankalara hem de genel piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131na olumlu yans\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n<p>FED a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda Yellen saat 21:30&#8217;da konu\u015fmaya ba\u015flayacak. Faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n ve yapaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fman\u0131n piyasa dostu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zannediyorum. Piyasalar\u0131 rahats\u0131z etmek istemeyecektir. Bug\u00fcn \u00e7ok yorum yap\u0131lacak ba\u015fka bir konu yok. Olursa twitter&#8217;dan yorum ge\u00e7erim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Haftaya\u00a0y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flayan BIST-100 endeksi pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir atak yapsa da g\u00fcn sonunda 70 binin alt\u0131na gitti.\u00a0Beni arayarak, &#8220;hocam a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta y\u00fckselttiler sonra da \u00e7ok&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-43099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43099","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43099"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43099\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}