{"id":42632,"date":"2015-11-24T09:07:22","date_gmt":"2015-11-24T07:07:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=42632"},"modified":"2015-11-24T22:40:06","modified_gmt":"2015-11-24T20:40:06","slug":"ogretmenler-gunu-ve-dananin-kuyrugu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ogretmenler-gunu-ve-dananin-kuyrugu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6\u011fretmenler G\u00fcn\u00fc ve Danan\u0131n Kuyru\u011fu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Bug\u00fcn \u00f6\u011fretmenler g\u00fcn\u00fc. Herhalde hepinizin akl\u0131n\u0131zda ge\u00e7mi\u015fte \u00fczerinizde \u00f6nemli etkiler b\u0131rakan \u00f6\u011fretmenler g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcne gelmi\u015ftir. <\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3408244986\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Benim \u0130lk \u00f6\u011fretmenim Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;in Kepsut il\u00e7esinde ilkokula ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131mda s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131m\u0131za giren 50-55 ya\u015flar\u0131nda, adeta bir babaanneye benzeyen Zekiye K\u00fclahl\u0131o\u011flu idi. Cumhuriyetin yeti\u015ftirdi\u011fi ilk \u00f6\u011fretmenlerdendi.\u00a0Her anne ve baba \u00e7ocu\u011funu ona vermek isterdi ama kura ile belirlenirdi. Ben \u00e7ok \u015fanl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131m ki okula ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131m y\u0131l O birinci s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131 okutacakt\u0131 ve O&#8217;nun \u00f6\u011frencisi oldum.Bir g\u00fcn elinde yanan bir \u00e7\u0131rayla s\u0131n\u0131fa girdi. \u00c7\u0131ray\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131f kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst k\u0131sm\u0131na do\u011fru y\u00fckseltti. Biz konu\u015fmay\u0131 kesmi\u015f merakla ne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorduk. Sonra yanan \u00e7\u0131ray\u0131 kap\u0131n\u0131n alt k\u0131sm\u0131na getirdi. Sonra birka\u00e7 defa daha bir \u00fcste y\u00fckseltti bir alta indirdi. Ben merakla izlerken s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n en \u00e7al\u0131\u015fkanlar\u0131ndan Birg\u00fcl kafamdaki soruyu Zekiye \u00f6\u011fretmenimize sordu; &#8220;\u00d6\u011fretmenim \u00e7\u0131ray\u0131 kap\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne tutunca duman d\u0131\u015far\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor, kap\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na tutunca duman i\u00e7eri giriyor, Neden?&#8221; Zekiye \u00f6\u011fretmen sert bir \u015fekilde d\u00f6nd\u00fc ve &#8220;Nas\u0131l bilmezsiniz d\u00fcn \u00f6\u011frendiniz ya&#8221; dedi. Hi\u00e7 birimiz d\u00fcn \u00e7\u0131ra ile ilgili bir\u015fey \u00f6\u011frenmemi\u015ftik. Kimse anlamad\u0131. Sonra o \u00e7izgili\u00a0y\u00fcz\u00fcyle g\u00fclerek, tekrar \u00e7\u0131ray\u0131 kap\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine do\u011fru tuttu ve &#8220;bak\u0131n \u0131s\u0131nan hava y\u00fckseliyor ve \u00fcst taraftan d\u0131\u015far\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ve \u00e7\u0131ran\u0131n duman\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131 gidiyor. \u015eimdi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya tutuyorum ve bak\u0131n alttan so\u011fuk hava i\u00e7eri giriyor ve \u00e7\u0131ran\u0131n duman\u0131 i\u00e7eri geliyor, demek ki s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n i\u00e7inde hava ak\u0131m\u0131 olu\u015fuyor. \u0130\u015fte d\u00fcnya da b\u00f6yledir. \u0131s\u0131nan hava y\u00fckselir, so\u011fuyan hava a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 iner ve r\u00fczgarlar olu\u015fur&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Biz sadece \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131ftayd\u0131k. Fakat bu dersi hala hat\u0131rl\u0131yorum. Hayata dair o kadar \u00e7ok \u015fey \u00f6\u011fretti ki; yan\u0131mda de\u011fildi ama hayat\u0131m\u0131 kurtaran oydu. \u00c7orum&#8217;un Karg\u0131 il\u00e7esinde ortaokul birinci s\u0131n\u0131ftayd\u0131m. Karanl\u0131k bir havada ya\u011fmur ya\u011farken annem beni s\u00fct almaya g\u00f6ndermi\u015fti. Ya\u011fmur oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ko\u015farak gidiyordum. Birden a\u011f\u0131l gibi bir yerden 5-6 tane k\u00f6pek bana sald\u0131rd\u0131 ve kovalamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Son h\u0131zla ka\u00e7\u0131yordum. \u00a0Zekiye \u00f6\u011fretmenimizin dersi beynimde yank\u0131land\u0131. \u00a0&#8220;e\u011fer k\u00f6pek kovalarsa oldu\u011funuz yere oturun&#8221; demi\u015fti. \u00a0O&#8217;nun bilgisine o kadar \u00e7ok g\u00fcveniyordum ki, k\u00f6peklerle aramda 4-5 metre kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada oldu\u011fum yere \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fcm. K\u00f6pekler aniden durdu ve fazla yakla\u015fmad\u0131lar ve sonra geri d\u00f6n\u00fcp gittiler.\u00a0Y\u0131llar y\u0131llar sonra kendisini (2004 y\u0131l\u0131nda) ziyarete gitti\u011fimde 90 ya\u015f\u0131na gelmi\u015fti ama dima\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Beni hemen tan\u0131d\u0131. Evinde oturduk, foto\u011fraflar \u00e7ektik. O kadar mutlu olmu\u015ftu ki anlatamam.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42635\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/zekiye-hocam.png\" alt=\"zekiye hocam\" width=\"436\" height=\"653\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/zekiye-hocam.png 436w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/zekiye-hocam-200x300.png 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 436px) 100vw, 436px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Daha sonra vefat etti\u011fini \u00f6\u011frendim. Haberim olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in cenazesine kat\u0131lamad\u0131m. Ad\u0131 Kepsut il\u00e7esinde bir caddeye verildi. Zekiye \u00f6\u011fretmenim\u00a0mekan\u0131n cennet olsun ben sana \u00e7ok \u015fey bor\u00e7luyum. Ba\u015fta ilk \u00f6\u011fretmenim annemin, sonra da \u00a0Zekiye \u00f6\u011fretmenimin \u015fahs\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00f6\u011fretmenlerin \u00f6\u011fretmenler g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc kutluyor ve ne zorluklar i\u00e7inde e\u011fitim-\u00f6\u011fretim vermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 bilerek ellerinden \u00f6p\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<p>***<\/p>\n<p>Gelelim piyasalara,<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn yap\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen Ba\u015fbakan Davuto\u011flu ve Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi yap\u0131lamad\u0131 ve bug\u00fcn saat 11:00&#8217;de bulu\u015facaklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. D\u00fcn ak\u015fam yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmenin ertelendi\u011fi haberi borsada sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n gelmesine neden oldu ve endeks se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi seviyeye yakla\u015ft\u0131 ve bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurmaya yakla\u015f\u0131k 300 puan kald\u0131. Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde endeks 79.409 seviyesinden kapanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f seviyesi ise g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden oldu ve 79.745 seviyesinden kapan\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42633\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/BIST-100-24-11-2015.png\" alt=\"BIST-100-24-11-2015\" width=\"540\" height=\"370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/BIST-100-24-11-2015.png 540w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/BIST-100-24-11-2015-300x206.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131daki grafikte \u00f6zellikle seans sonuna do\u011fru artan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. D\u00fcnk\u00fc bulu\u015fman\u0131n ertelenmesi, uzun s\u00fcredir konu\u015fulan kabine krizi konusunda piyasalara hi\u00e7 de iyi sinyal vermedi. Bir\u00e7ok ki\u015fiden \u00e7e\u015fitli mailler ald\u0131m ve d\u00fcn tam anlam\u0131yla bir bilgi kirlili\u011fi vard\u0131. Kabine \u00fczerine o kadar \u00e7ok spek\u00fclasyon var ki; insanlar bunlara g\u00f6re karar vermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar fakat danan\u0131n kuyru\u011funun bug\u00fcn kopmas\u0131 bekleniyor. D\u00fcn de yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m \u00fczere, kabine sonras\u0131nda \u00e7ok sert hareketler olacakt\u0131r. \u0130lk hareketin etkisi ge\u00e7tikten sonra, tepki olu\u015fur ama o ilk tepki genellikle \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmayabilir. \u00dc\u00e7\u00a0senaryo var; Birincisi piyasan\u0131n sevece\u011fi sonu\u00e7 (Babacan\u0131n yeniden ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin ba\u015f\u0131nda olmas\u0131, bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum). \u0130kincisi sevmeyece\u011fi sonu\u00e7 (Babacan&#8217;\u0131n ekonomi y\u00f6netiminde olmamas\u0131, %50&#8217;den fazla\u00a0olas\u0131l\u0131k). \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc de piyasan\u0131n \u00a0kafas\u0131n\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131racak sonu\u00e7 (Babacan&#8217;\u0131n kabinede olmas\u0131 ama hazine ve Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;ndan sorumlu olmamas\u0131, fakat ekonomi konusunda olu\u015fturulabilecek mini bir koordinasyon kurulu t\u00fcr\u00fcnden bir yap\u0131 olu\u015fturularak Babacan&#8217;\u0131n da karar mekanizmas\u0131 i\u00e7inde olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n belirtildi\u011fi ama yetki ve sorumlulu\u011fu pek de anla\u015f\u0131lamayacak oldu\u011fu durum s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Bu t\u00fcr bir durum olu\u015fursa piyasa herhalde k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli sevin\u00e7 ya\u015far ama daha sonra al\u0131nacak bir\u00e7ok kararda Babacan&#8217;\u0131n pek de etkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-70740016\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Piyasan\u0131n sevece\u011fi sonu\u00e7 olursa endekste be\u015f dakika i\u00e7inde en az 500-1000 puan aras\u0131 artar. Al\u0131m yapmamak gerekir. Haber sonras\u0131 yar\u0131m saat i\u00e7inde g\u00f6r\u00fclen zirve seviye tekrar yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa\u00a0o zaman al\u0131m yap\u0131labilir. \u00a0E\u011fer haber olumsuz ise, borsa en az 500 puan d\u00fc\u015fer. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131m saati i\u00e7inde g\u00f6r\u00fclen dip seviyeden sonra\u00a0tepki gelir ama tepki sonras\u0131nda ilk g\u00f6r\u00fclen dip seviye a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir miktar daha devam etmesi beklenir. Bu t\u00fcr durumlarda dip olu\u015fumu beklenmeli ve dip formasyonlar\u0131 olu\u015ftuktan sonra al\u0131ma karar verilmelidir. E\u011fer piyasan\u0131n kafas\u0131n\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131racak sonu\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131karsa piyasan\u0131n ne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na fazla bakmay\u0131n. En az 1 saat ge\u00e7sin. Bu durumda ani a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 hareketler olabilir ama belirli bir y\u00f6n olu\u015fana kadar beklemek laz\u0131m. Bu t\u00fcr bir durumda d\u0131\u015f fakt\u00f6rler daha fazla \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eu an ABD&#8217;de Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 Bloomberg anketine g\u00f6re %74&#8217;e \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f. Ayr\u0131ca d\u00fcn JP Morgan T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in tavsiyesini N\u00f6tr&#8217;de azalt&#8217;a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. ABD&#8217;deki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in iyi olmayaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek bu karar al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn kabine belli olursa uygun olmam durumunda ara yorum ge\u00e7ebilirim..<\/p>\n<p>Herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131 dile\u011fiyle&#8230;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3988473312\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bug\u00fcn \u00f6\u011fretmenler g\u00fcn\u00fc. Herhalde hepinizin akl\u0131n\u0131zda ge\u00e7mi\u015fte \u00fczerinizde \u00f6nemli etkiler b\u0131rakan \u00f6\u011fretmenler g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcne gelmi\u015ftir. Benim \u0130lk \u00f6\u011fretmenim Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;in Kepsut il\u00e7esinde ilkokula ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131mda s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131m\u0131za giren&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-42632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42632"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42632\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}