{"id":41631,"date":"2015-09-29T12:46:35","date_gmt":"2015-09-29T09:46:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=41631"},"modified":"2015-09-29T12:44:24","modified_gmt":"2015-09-29T09:44:24","slug":"kuresel-piyasalardaki-dususler-ve-bist-100","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kuresel-piyasalardaki-dususler-ve-bist-100\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel Piyasalardaki D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ve BIST-100"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>D\u00fcn borsam\u0131z g\u00fcne olumlu ba\u015flad\u0131 ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 500 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla 75 binin \u00fczerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc fakat \u00f6zellikle Avrupa&#8217;da hisse senetleri piyasas\u0131ndaki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareket ve ABD borsa endekslerinin future&#8217;lar\u0131nda ba\u015flayan h\u0131zl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeyle birlikte biz de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ayak uydurduk.<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-554351729\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.72 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 73.315 seviyesinden kapatt\u0131k. Normalde endeksin genel durumu d\u0131\u015f borsalara g\u00f6re d\u00fcne kadar daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcyd\u00fc. Hatta d\u00fcn bile,\u00a0Avrupa&#8217;da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin y\u00fczde 2&#8217;lerin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen endeks daha az de\u011fer kaybetti. \u00a0\u0130ngiltere y\u00fczde 2.46, ALmanya y\u00fczde 2.12 ve Fransa y\u00fczde 2.76 de\u011fer kaybetti. \u00a0Asya borsalar\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle Japonya (y\u00fczde 4.07) ve Hong Kong&#8217;da (y\u00fczde 3.87) sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler var. Bu yaz\u0131n\u0131n yaz\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 saat itibariyle \u00c7in borsas\u0131 da y\u00fczde 1.88 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da bulunuyor. \u00a0ABD borsa endekslerinin future de\u011ferleri ise d\u00fcne g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.20 civar\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da bulunuyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bug\u00fcn BIST-100 endeksi de y\u00fczde 1-2 aras\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131larak 72.500 seviyelerini g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bu a\u015famada normalde sadece BIST&#8217;in analizi yeterli olmuyor. Ayn\u0131 anda ABD, Avrupa ve Asya borsalar\u0131n\u0131n da ne yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kestirmeniz gerekiyor. Yoksa, BIST-100 endeksini tek ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011ferlendirdi\u011finizde en \u00f6nemli deste\u011fi olan 70 bin civar\u0131na yak\u0131n olmas\u0131 satmadan beklemeyi gerektiriyor. Fakat bilmedi\u011fimiz \u015fey \u015fudur; acaba ABD ve AVrupa borsalar\u0131 daha da d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam edecek mi? Teknik analiz neler s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor? Grafiklerini burada veremiyorum, fakat Dow endeksi 16.000 seviyesinden kapatt\u0131 ve 15.500&#8217;e kadar geri \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek. \u00d6te yanbdan DAX endeksi daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 9.300 seviyelerindeki dibine \u00e7ok yak\u0131n bir yerden kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Muhtemelen bu seviyelerde destek olu\u015fturmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>BIST-100 endeksi bug\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r ama a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta satmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n pek fazla anlam\u0131 yok. D\u00dcn 74 bin seviyesi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ildi ve yeni diren\u00e7 oldu. 73.750 civar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda stop yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ge\u00e7en haftaki yaz\u0131lar\u0131mda ve bulten de vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Fakat ka\u011f\u0131t baz\u0131nda ayn\u0131 \u015feyi s\u00f6yleyemiyorum. Endekse yak\u0131n hareket eden ka\u011f\u0131tlar daha fazla d\u00fc\u015fer ama finansal yap\u0131s\u0131 \u00a0sa\u011flam, karlar\u0131 artan \u015firketler d\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ciddi diren\u00e7 g\u00f6sterdiler. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u015fu an \u00a0endeks daha da d\u00fc\u015fecek sat\u0131n demek yanl\u0131\u015f olur. \u00a0E\u011fer 73.750 deste\u011fi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda satm\u0131\u015fsan\u0131z, al\u0131m i\u00e7in 70-71 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklenmemeli, satmam\u0131\u015fsan\u0131z, bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te 70-71 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak ve bunun stres yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek, beklemede kalabilirsiniz. D\u0131\u015f borsalar\u0131n olumluya d\u00f6nmesi durumunda bizim borsam\u0131z\u0131n da h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nebilece\u011fini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurmal\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z. Soru \u015fu; D\u0131\u015f borsalar ne zaman yukar\u0131 d\u00f6ner? Bunu bilmiyorum ama ABD verileri bu ba\u011flamda \u00e7ok daha \u00f6nemli hale geldi. \u00d6zellikle de yar\u0131nki ADP istihdam verisi ve Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\/TL kuru 3.0670 seviyelerinde bulunuyor ve yukar\u0131lar\u0131 zorluyor, dolar\u0131 olanlar beklemede kalabilirler, 3.0750 ge\u00e7ilirse 3.111-3.13 aral\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131 dile\u011fiyle&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn borsam\u0131z g\u00fcne olumlu ba\u015flad\u0131 ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 500 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla 75 binin \u00fczerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc fakat \u00f6zellikle Avrupa&#8217;da hisse senetleri piyasas\u0131ndaki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareket ve ABD borsa&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41631","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41631\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}