{"id":41629,"date":"2015-09-28T22:46:55","date_gmt":"2015-09-28T19:46:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=41629"},"modified":"2015-09-29T08:45:34","modified_gmt":"2015-09-29T05:45:34","slug":"rakamlar-ve-gercekler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/rakamlar-ve-gercekler\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Rakamlar ve ger\u00e7ekler"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin tamamen sanal ger\u00e7ekler \u00fczerine kurulu bir tahakkuk ve k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczeri oyun oldu\u011fu \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k. Her ne kadar ekonomiyi y\u00f6netti\u011fini iddia edenler, bu rakamlarla halk\u0131n bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc boyamay\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131yorsa da, finans ya da reel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 neyin ne oldu\u011funu biliyor. Korkudan y\u00fcksek sesle telaffuz edemeseler bile&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2596366194\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bunu anlatacak o kadar \u00e7ok \u00f6rnek var ki hayat\u0131m\u0131zda&#8230; \u0130\u015fsizlikten enflasyona kadar her t\u00fcrl\u00fc istatistikte bu yalan dolan\u0131 iliklerimize kadar hissediyoruz. Fakat bu sefer iki \u00f6rnek verece\u011fim. Bunlardan birincisi Genel Sa\u011fl\u0131k Sigortas\u0131 bor\u00e7lar\u0131yla ilgili af meselesi&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi bang\u0131r bang\u0131r diyorlar ki; \u201c30 Eyl\u00fcl 2015 tarihine kadar ba\u015fvurun ve bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 sildirin.\u201d Sildirmek ise o kadar kolay de\u011fil. Zira gelirinizin 424,5 TL\u2019nin alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlaman\u0131z gerekiyor. 18 ya\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bitirdiyseniz ve \u00f6\u011frenci de\u011filseniz, hatta i\u015fsiz kald\u0131ysan\u0131z yani i\u015finiz olmasa bile bu primi \u00f6demekle m\u00fckellef k\u0131l\u0131nd\u0131n\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ama ailenizin yan\u0131nda oturuyorsan\u0131z, onlar\u0131n babadan kalma bir evi, anne baban\u0131z\u0131n geliri, televizyonu, buzdolab\u0131 varsa fakirli\u011finizi kan\u0131tlaman\u0131z g\u00fc\u00e7. Sizden bu paray\u0131 istiyorlar. \u00dcstelik bunu \u00f6\u011frenmeniz i\u00e7in size bir de e-devlet \u015fifresi sat\u0131l\u0131yor. Tahsil edebilecek mi? Geliri olmayan adamdan tahsil\u00e2t yapamazs\u0131n\u0131z ki\u2026 Peki, niye bu \u0131srar?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bor\u00e7lu 7 milyon ki\u015fi yarat\u0131l\u0131rken, tahakkuk ettirilen 9 milyar TL alacak var. Burada iki boyut s\u00f6z konusu\u2026 Geliriniz 424 TL\u2019nin alt\u0131nda olacak. Yani 425 TL\u2019niz varsa \u00f6deyeceksiniz. Ama \u00fclkede 4 ki\u015filik bir aile i\u00e7in a\u00e7l\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 bin 361 TL, yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 4 bin 434 TL. T\u00dc\u0130K verilerine g\u00f6re de n\u00fcfusun y\u00fczde 15\u2019i kal\u0131c\u0131 yoksul.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat bu paran\u0131n tahsil edilemeyece\u011fi biliniyor. Dert ne? 9 milyar TL bor\u00e7 yarat, sonra onu b\u00fct\u00e7ede gelir hanesine yaz. \u0130\u015fte size b\u00fct\u00e7eyi art\u0131da g\u00f6stermenin yolu. Bu, sadece bir kalem\u2026 B\u00f6ylesine tahsil edilemeyen, ama k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde gelir g\u00f6sterilip, sonra aflarla silinen o kadar \u00e7ok vergi ve prim var ki&#8230; Soru \u015fu: 9 milyar TL\u2019yi affedecekseniz, gelirlerden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp, a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f b\u00fct\u00e7e ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmelerini \u00f6z\u00fcr dileyerek, revize edecek misiniz? Elbette hay\u0131r&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu kafa ancak sigaraya SGK primi koyar. Ama kimse de \u2018fiyat\u0131n i\u00e7inde zaten y\u00fczde 70 vergi var. Bu paralar\u0131 ne yapt\u0131n da; yeni fon yarat\u0131yorsun\u2019 diye sormaz. Bir de bu sorgu eksikli\u011finin m\u00fcte\u015febbis boyutu var.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 1,1 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu&#8230; Ula\u015f\u0131lan kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 75,9&#8230; Nas\u0131l hesaplan\u0131yor? Tek vardiya \u00fczerinden. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar nas\u0131l yap\u0131l\u0131yor; \u00fc\u00e7 vardiya \u00fczerinden&#8230; Ama tek vardiyal\u0131k hesab\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te ikilik kapasite bo\u015flu\u011fu yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kimse konu\u015fmuyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4234845185\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Hadi bunu ge\u00e7tim&#8230; \u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131nda ve i\u00e7 pazarda \u00fcretici \u00e7ok ciddi bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 i\u00e7inde.\u00a0 Bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir pazar daralmas\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131rken, imalat sanayi nas\u0131l kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131racak? Diyelim ki artt\u0131rd\u0131. Madem i\u015fler iyi, o zaman Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n beklenti anketinde reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi, yine bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re niye 4,6 puan azal\u0131yor? Hangisi do\u011fru?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Do\u011fru olan ne biliyor musunuz? Standard and Poor\u2019s\u2019un T\u00fcrkiye \u2013 Endonezya kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131. \u0130ki \u00fclkenin de notu BB +&#8230; Fakat g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 2014 ba\u015f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in negatife, Endonezya i\u00e7in pozitife revize edildi. Neden?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bize d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131k olsun diye mi? Bak\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 kurulu\u015f nas\u0131l yap\u0131yor? \u201c Her iki \u00fclke de k\u00fcresel likidite ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcvenindeki k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klara kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lgan. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fcksek d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lulu\u011fu ve b\u00fcy\u00fck finansman ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerden, geli\u015fmi\u015f olanlara do\u011fru sermaye ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimlerinin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 daha hassas.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zet \u015fu: Gelen paray\u0131 yemi\u015fsiniz; \u00e7akma rakamlar bir anlam ifade etmiyor; s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fayacaks\u0131n\u0131z. Rakamlar m\u0131? Onlarla ancak i\u00e7eride insanlar\u0131 kand\u0131r\u0131r; baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 da inand\u0131r\u0131p oy toplars\u0131n\u0131z. Ekonomide ise ger\u00e7ek; her zaman gelip y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fcze tokad\u0131 vurur.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1175394546\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin tamamen sanal ger\u00e7ekler \u00fczerine kurulu bir tahakkuk ve k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczeri oyun oldu\u011fu \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k. Her ne kadar ekonomiyi y\u00f6netti\u011fini iddia edenler, bu rakamlarla&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-41629","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41629","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41629"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41629\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41629"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41629"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41629"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}