{"id":4159,"date":"2011-08-17T09:17:43","date_gmt":"2011-08-17T06:17:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=4159"},"modified":"2011-08-17T09:23:56","modified_gmt":"2011-08-17T06:23:56","slug":"durgunluga-giden-dunya-ve-bu-dunya-icindeki-turkiye","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/durgunluga-giden-dunya-ve-bu-dunya-icindeki-turkiye\/","title":{"rendered":"Durgunlu\u011fa Giden D\u00fcnya ve Bu D\u00fcnya \u0130\u00e7indeki T\u00fcrkiye"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u0131\u015f Haberler servisimizin derledi\u011fi haberde son d\u00f6nemde d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ivmelendiren \u00c7in&#8217;in frene bast\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Avrupa ekonomisinden olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fan Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n durgunlu\u011fa girdi\u011fini, Amerika&#8217;da resesyon korkusunun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Bu durgunluk i\u00e7indeki d\u00fcnyada bizim kendimizi olumlu ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131rabilmemiz \u00e7ok zor. Ancak, d\u00fcnyay\u0131 do\u011fru izleyerek,\u00a0 do\u011fru ad\u0131mlarla do\u011fru geli\u015fmeler sa\u011flayarak ve projeci -reformist politikalar \u00fcreterek ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olabiliriz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2129271995\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f Haberler servisimizin i\u00e7ersine Amerika, Euro b\u00f6lgesi ve \u00c7in&#8217;deki geli\u015fmeleri ele alan haber derlemesi iki tan\u0131mdan birini se\u00e7memiz gerekti\u011fini ortaya koyuyor. Bunlardan biri &#8220;D\u00fcnya ekonomisi ate\u015f i\u00e7inde&#8221;\u00a0 di\u011feri ise &#8220;Durgunlu\u011fa giden d\u00fcnya ekonomisi&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Ben,\u00a0 son kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ivmelendiren \u00c7in ekonomisinde de &#8220;durgunluktan s\u00f6z eden haberleri, Amerika&#8217; da &#8220;Resesyon&#8221; tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelmesini, Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l ikinci \u00e7eyrekte sadece binde 1&#8217;lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesini nas\u0131l tan\u0131mlamam gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm de &#8220;Durgunlu\u011fa giden d\u00fcnya ekonomisi&#8221; tan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 uygun buldum.<\/p>\n<p>Peki ya bu tan\u0131m i\u00e7indeki y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 11 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steren, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in ne demeli?<\/p>\n<p>Her halde bu noktada s\u00f6ylenecek en yanl\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z, d\u00fcnyadaki bu geli\u015fmelere paralel olarak, al\u0131nmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen \u00f6nlemlerden s\u00f6z etmeyip\u00a0 &#8221; Bizim ekonomimiz \u00e7ok sa\u011flam. Bize bir \u015fey olmaz&#8221; s\u00f6ylemiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi haberde yer alan d\u00fcnya ekonomisi ile ilgili bilgilere bir g\u00f6z atal\u0131m:<\/p>\n<p>-K\u00fcresel ekonominin yeniden resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fcklendi\u011fi yolundaki korkular, Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyrekte frene basmas\u0131yla artt\u0131. Avrupa ekonomisinin lokomotifi\u00a0 Almanya y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re\u00a0 sadece binde 1 bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Bunda a\u011f\u0131r bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fc i\u00e7indeki Euro b\u00f6lgesindeki olumsuzluklar nedeniyle k\u00f6t\u00fc ticari denge ,\u00a0 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ve zay\u0131f in\u015faat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n etkili oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>-Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde Euro b\u00f6lgesindeki GSY\u0130H art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da binde 2 seviyesinde. Fransa&#8217;da ikinci \u00e7eyrekte hi\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme olmaz s\u0131f\u0131rda kal\u0131rken, \u0130talya&#8217;da binde 3, \u0130spanya&#8217;da binde 2, Bel\u00e7ika&#8217;da binde 7, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de de binde 2 art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar bir s\u00fcredir di\u011fer Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden ayr\u0131\u015fan Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n da\u00a0 ekonomisinin yava\u015flamas\u0131yla, b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrupa&#8217;da durgunlu\u011fun\u00a0 s\u00fcrece\u011fini\u00a0 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-13790073\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>-Amerika&#8217;daki olumsuzlu\u011fu D\u00fcnya bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131 Robert Zoellik, &#8220;K\u00fcresel ekonomi yeni bir tehlike b\u00f6lgesine girdi&#8221;\u00a0 de\u011ferlendirmesini yap\u0131yor. Moody&#8217;s\u00a0 analisti Mark Zandi de Amerika&#8217;n\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131yla \u00e7ekip resesyon ihtimaline dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.\u00a0 Amerika i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde resesyon riskinin bulundu\u011funu\u00a0 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>-\u00c7inle ilgili geli\u015fmelerde yava\u015flama s\u00f6z konusu. \u00c7in y\u00f6netiminin\u00a0 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi frenledi\u011fi\u00a0 ve \u00fclke ekonomisinde &#8220;yumu\u015fak ini\u015f&#8221;i sa\u011flamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Son aylarda \u00c7in &#8216;de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin binli rakamlara indi\u011fi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin de y\u00fczde 9.5&#8217;tan 9.2&#8217;ye revize edildi\u011fi belirtiliyor. Parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n s\u0131cak paray\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0 yorumu da yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn bu geli\u015fmeler d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin yeni bir kriz e\u015fi\u011finde ve durgunluk i\u00e7inde olmas\u0131 yorumlar\u0131na neden oluyor. B\u00f6yle bir ortam da do\u011fald\u0131r ki, baz\u0131 \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat pencereleri a\u00e7\u0131labilir. Bu bizim gibi \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in de s\u00f6z konusudur. Ancak,\u00a0 &#8220;durgunluk i\u00e7inde f\u0131rsat yaramak \u00e7ok zordur.&#8221; F\u0131rsat ancak,\u00a0 geli\u015fmeleri \u00e7ok iyi okuyan, olumsuzluklar\u0131 \u00f6nleme yolunda kararlar al\u0131rken, f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in proje geli\u015ftirenlere k\u0131smet olur. Bu da reformlar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme, projeleri geli\u015ftirme ile yoluna devam edeceklere imkan tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u0131\u015f Haberler servisimizin derledi\u011fi haberde son d\u00f6nemde d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ivmelendiren \u00c7in&#8217;in frene bast\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Avrupa ekonomisinden olumlu ayr\u0131\u015fan Almanya&#8217;n\u0131n durgunlu\u011fa girdi\u011fini, Amerika&#8217;da resesyon korkusunun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":903,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4159"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4159\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/903"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}