{"id":41197,"date":"2015-09-10T23:10:33","date_gmt":"2015-09-10T20:10:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=41197"},"modified":"2015-09-11T10:10:01","modified_gmt":"2015-09-11T07:10:01","slug":"dolar-daha-yukselir-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dolar-daha-yukselir-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Dolar daha y\u00fckselir mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Bug\u00fcnlerde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de herkesin dilindeki soru bu: Dolar daha y\u00fckselir mi? Yanl\u0131\u015f anlamay\u0131n; sadece i\u015fadamlar\u0131 ya da finans\u00e7\u0131lar de\u011fil; apartman temizlik g\u00f6revlisinden lisedeki \u00e7ocu\u011fa, bakkaldan ev han\u0131m\u0131na kadar herkesin g\u00fcndeminde bu var.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-721669581\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00e7ok net biliyoruz ki, y\u00fckselen dolar, sahte bir mutluluk tablosunun boyalar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00f6kecek ve bizi y\u0131llard\u0131r g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etti\u011fimiz ger\u00e7e\u011fimizle y\u00fcz y\u00fcze b\u0131rakacak bir fakt\u00f6r. Lise \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndaki \u00e7ocuk bile bunun fark\u0131nda. Umar\u0131m bir g\u00fcn ekonomiyi y\u00f6netti\u011fini iddia edenler de i\u015fin ciddiyetiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131karlar.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Peki, dolar daha y\u00fckselir mi? \u015eu an 3 TL seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f dolar\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda 2,14 oldu\u011funu dikkate al\u0131rsan\u0131z, ben size soray\u0131m? Dolar y\u00fckselmi\u015f mi? Bence hay\u0131r&#8230; \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu bir y\u00fckseli\u015f de\u011fil, tam anlam\u0131yla a\u011f\u0131r bir deval\u00fcasyondur.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u2018Gev\u015fedi\u2019 haberlerinin 2,90 \u2013 3 TL aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda gidip geliyor olmas\u0131, zaten dolar\u0131n bundan sonraki performans\u0131 hakk\u0131nda da bize bir fikir veriyor. Peki ya sonras\u0131? Ben size birka\u00e7 ayr\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 hat\u0131rlatay\u0131m, karar\u0131 siz verin.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer bir \u00fclkede yetersiz bile olsa ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimle, i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim de ithalatla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyorsa, dolar ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z y\u00fckseliyor demektir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer bir \u00fclkede, d\u00f6viz getirebilmek i\u00e7in yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z ihracat\u0131n temelini te\u015fkil eden sanayi, \u00fcretim yapmak i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 70\u2019lerde ara mal\u0131 ithal etmek zorundaysa, dolar ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z y\u00fckseliyor demektir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer bir \u00fclkede, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcz sendikasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ya da d\u0131\u015f finansman kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 geri \u00f6demek i\u00e7in d\u00f6vize ihtiya\u00e7 duyuyor, ama \u00f6te tarafta vatanda\u015f ve firmalar bankaya olan borcunu \u00f6derken i\u015fi aksatmaya ba\u015fl\u0131yorsa, d\u00f6vize ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z var demektir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer bir \u00fclkede ekonominizin pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 380 milyar dolar\u0131 bulmu\u015fsa, Merkez Bankas\u0131, t\u00fcm bankalardaki d\u00f6viz rezervini de hesaplar\u0131na kat\u0131p, kullan\u0131labilir 30 ila 40 milyar dolar aras\u0131nda bir parayla m\u00fccadele yetisine sahipse, dolara olan ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z y\u00fckseliyor demektir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3454583881\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sa vadeli bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z ve cari a\u00e7\u0131k finansman\u0131n\u0131z i\u00e7in her y\u0131l nakit 200 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n bir paraya ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z bulunuyorsa ve art\u0131k d\u00fcnya ekonomisi \u00fczerinden size para gelmiyor, gelenin maliyeti y\u00fckseliyor ve mevcut para da ka\u00e7maya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorsa, dolar ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z art\u0131yor demektir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer bir \u00fclkede g\u0131dadan enerjiye t\u00fcm ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 dolarla temin ediyorsan\u0131z, \u00fcretim baca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen yok sayan politikalar uyguluyorsan\u0131z, rakam olmaktan ba\u015fka bir i\u015fe yaramayan b\u00fcy\u00fcmede de ithalat odakl\u0131 t\u00fcketimden medet umuyorsan\u0131z, dolar ve hatta d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z art\u0131yor demektir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Velhas\u0131l turizmden ihracata gelirleriniz d\u00fc\u015ferken, bulman\u0131z gereken nakit para dolar baz\u0131nda ortada duruyor ve acil ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z i\u00e7in yeni paraya ihtiya\u00e7 duyarken, kayna\u011f\u0131 belirsiz paraya bile muhta\u00e7 hale geliyorsan\u0131z, dolar ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z art\u0131yor demektir. Bu kadar zorunlulu\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131, ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z kadar dolar\u0131n\u0131z var m\u0131 cebinizde? Peki, tekrar soral\u0131m: Dolar daha y\u00fckselir mi? Bence yan\u0131t\u0131 kendiniz verdiniz bile.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1087553565\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bug\u00fcnlerde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de herkesin dilindeki soru bu: Dolar daha y\u00fckselir mi? Yanl\u0131\u015f anlamay\u0131n; sadece i\u015fadamlar\u0131 ya da finans\u00e7\u0131lar de\u011fil; apartman temizlik g\u00f6revlisinden lisedeki \u00e7ocu\u011fa, bakkaldan ev&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-41197","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41197","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41197"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41197\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41197"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41197"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41197"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}