{"id":40838,"date":"2015-08-27T08:59:44","date_gmt":"2015-08-27T05:59:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=40838"},"modified":"2015-08-27T08:59:44","modified_gmt":"2015-08-27T05:59:44","slug":"konut-sektoru-ve-balonlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/konut-sektoru-ve-balonlar\/","title":{"rendered":"Konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve balonlar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Uzun zamand\u0131r T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de konutta bir balon olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorgulan\u0131yordu. <\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2316741606\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu t\u00fcr bir soruyu sordu\u011funuzda balonun ne oldu\u011funu tan\u0131mlaman\u0131z gerekiyor. \u201cKonut fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ok pahal\u0131\u201d demek \u201cKonutta balon var\u201d anlam\u0131na m\u0131 geliyor? Bu konuyu a\u00e7mam\u0131z laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Bir sekt\u00f6rde fiyat pahal\u0131 olabilir ama balon olu\u015fmayabilir. Balon dedi\u011finizde asl\u0131nda \u00e7ok \u015fi\u015fmi\u015f ve patlamaya yak\u0131n durumlar kastedilir. Balonlar\u0131n en \u00f6nemli \u00f6zelliklerinden biri, fiyatlar y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e talebin daha da artmas\u0131d\u0131r. Ekonomi ilminde talep kanunu ad\u0131nda bir kanun vard\u0131r. E\u011fer bir mal\u0131n fiyat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferse, di\u011fer ko\u015fullar\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmemesi \u015fart\u0131yla o mala olan talep d\u00fc\u015fer. Halbuki balon gibi durumlarda, fiyat artt\u0131k\u00e7a talep artmakta ve \u015fuursuz bir al\u0131c\u0131 kitlesi olu\u015fmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Hyman Minsky bir balonun olu\u015fma ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00f6rt ana kurala ba\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Birincisi; bol ve ucuz paran\u0131n (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli) kolayca bulunabilmesidir. \u0130kincisi; bir varl\u0131\u011fa de\u011fer bi\u00e7me y\u00f6ntemleriyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan de\u011ferin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde bir fiyat\u0131 \u00f6demeye al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n raz\u0131 olmalar\u0131d\u0131r. Bir bak\u0131ma, \u201cfiyatlar \u00e7ok art\u0131yor bir daha alamam\u201d korkusuyla talebin artmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc; bir sekt\u00f6rde balon olu\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bir \u00f6nceki sekt\u00f6r krizinin unutulmas\u0131 gerekir. Sonuncusu da; ihtiyac\u0131 i\u00e7in de\u011fil de yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda getirisi y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fuursuz bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 kitlesinin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Yeni hava pompalam\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bu ko\u015fullar\u0131n hepsi yerine gelse bile balon patlamadan uzun s\u00fcre dayanabilir ama k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekteki konut balonlar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u00e7ok fazla patlama \u00f6rne\u011fi vard\u0131r. 2008\u2019de ABD\u2019de, 1990\u2019larda Japonya\u2019da, 2010\u2019da \u0130spanya\u2019da ve \u0130rlanda\u2019da, 1988-1989 y\u0131llar\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere\u2019de ve 1970\u2019li y\u0131llarda Kanada\u2019da konut balonlar\u0131 patlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bu d\u00f6rt ko\u015fulun yerine gelip gelmedi\u011fine bakal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn Gazetesi&#8217;ndeki k\u00f6\u015fe yaz\u0131m\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bugun.com.tr\/konut-sektoru-ve-balonlar-yazisi-1802870\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2425800751\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uzun zamand\u0131r T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de konutta bir balon olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorgulan\u0131yordu. Bu t\u00fcr bir soruyu sordu\u011funuzda balonun ne oldu\u011funu tan\u0131mlaman\u0131z gerekiyor. \u201cKonut fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ok pahal\u0131\u201d demek \u201cKonutta&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,1465,769,715],"class_list":["post-40838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-tuyolari","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40838\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}