{"id":40161,"date":"2015-06-25T08:40:47","date_gmt":"2015-06-25T05:40:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=40161"},"modified":"2015-06-25T08:48:59","modified_gmt":"2015-06-25T05:48:59","slug":"borsa-dinamiklerinin-siyaset-yuzu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsa-dinamiklerinin-siyaset-yuzu\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsa Dinamiklerinin Siyaset Y\u00fcz\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcn borsada bir gerileme olabilece\u011fine dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi sunmu\u015ftum. <\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1327931718\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ya da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n i\u00e7erisinde, \u00a0yukar\u0131 \u00a0y\u00f6nl\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n yani 84 binin yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7me olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu belirtmi\u015ftim. Fakat bildi\u011finiz \u00fczere, bir haber ya da geli\u015fmenin, rahatl\u0131kla\u00a084 binin yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilece\u011fini de vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. \u00a0D\u00fcn \u00f6zellikle Baykal&#8217;dan gelen mesajlar, \u0130nternette yer alan AKP-CHP koalisyonu haberleri ve Baykal&#8217;\u0131n Meclis Ba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ilmesi durumunda bunun AKP-CHP koalisyonuna kap\u0131 aralayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmesi piyasalar\u0131 d\u00fcn co\u015fturdu. Cumhuriyet gazetesinde yer alan bir habere g\u00f6re CHP&#8217;de sadece 17 milletvekili koalisyona kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karken, di\u011ferleri koalisyonu desteklemi\u015fler. \u00a0Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ibre daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131 beklenen AKP-CHP koalisyonuna d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Cumhuriyet gazetesinin bug\u00fcnk\u00fc haberi de \u00e7ok ilgin\u00e7. Haber ne kadar do\u011frudur bilemiyorum ama \u015f\u00f6yle;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><em>&#8220;MHP ile koalisyon ihtimalinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi, erken se\u00e7imde K\u00fcrt oylar\u0131n\u0131 daha da kaybedece\u011fi endi\u015fesi nedeniyle Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n da AKP-CHP koalisyonuna s\u0131cak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenildi. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n arac\u0131larla CHP lideri K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019na \u201cAnayasal \u00e7izgilerimde kalaca\u011f\u0131m. Koalisyon h\u00fckumetine zorluk \u00e7\u0131karmayaca\u011f\u0131m\u201d mesaj\u0131 g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi \u00f6\u011frenildi.&#8221;<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Sonu\u00e7 olarak d\u00fcn borsan\u0131n sevinci bu habere ili\u015fkindi. Zannedersem bu olas\u0131l\u0131k bir s\u00fcre daha piyasalar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak. Fakat \u00a0bir noktay\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemle vurgulamak istiyorum. Piyasan\u0131n d\u00fcnk\u00fc reaksiyonu anla\u015f\u0131labilir bir durumdur. Fakat, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc reaksiyon daha \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r. Teknik olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda resmin nas\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc Bug\u00fcn gazetesindeki k\u00f6\u015femde aktard\u0131m (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bugun.com.tr\/borsanin-son-dinamikleri-yazisi-1708684\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">okumak i\u00e7in buray\u0131 t\u0131klay\u0131n\u0131z<\/a>). Bu yaz\u0131da siyasi geli\u015fmeler veya temel analiz yerine sadece teknik dinamiklere bakt\u0131m. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla fiyatlar zaten gelen haberleri i\u00e7erdi\u011fi durumda, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc vurgulamak istedim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer AKP-CHP koalisyonu beklentisi fiyatlara tam olarak hala girmediyse, normal \u015fartlarda bug\u00fcn borsan\u0131n 85 bini a\u015farak 87 bine do\u011fru yol almas\u0131 laz\u0131m. Aksi halde bug\u00fcn borsa endeksi hala 84 bin civar\u0131nda hareket ediyorsa, o zaman gazetedeki k\u00f6\u015femde yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m d\u00f6nemi ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f demektir. Bu da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m s\u00fcrecinin\u00a083.000 ile 85.500 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckselir.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer \u00f6nemli bir konu daha var. Borsa artmas\u0131na, dolar d\u00fc\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen faizler bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fcyor. G\u00f6sterge faiz y\u00fczde 10&#8217;a dayanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Normalde faizlerde de gerileme olmas\u0131 beklenirdi, fakat bu cephede gerileme olmamas\u0131 borsay\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n<p>DOlar\/TL kuru bu sabah 2.6765 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Siyasi geli\u015fmelere d\u00fcn borsa kadar sevinmedi. Daha \u00f6nce de vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131m \u00fczere 2.60&#8217;lara do\u011fru hareket olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in dolar\u0131n 2.65 deste\u011fini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bug\u00fcn b\u00f6yle bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131rma i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a uygun bir g\u00fcn. Fakat izleyip g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. \u015eu an i\u00e7in sadece 2.66-2.6850 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki yatay hareketin devam etmesini bekleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>Herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131n\u0131 diliyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2363047496\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn borsada bir gerileme olabilece\u011fine dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi sunmu\u015ftum. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ya da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n i\u00e7erisinde, \u00a0yukar\u0131 \u00a0y\u00f6nl\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n yani 84 binin yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1084,769,715],"class_list":["post-40161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-egitimleri","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40161"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40161\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}