{"id":40038,"date":"2015-06-15T21:18:22","date_gmt":"2015-06-15T18:18:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=40038"},"modified":"2015-06-16T08:55:40","modified_gmt":"2015-06-16T05:55:40","slug":"issiz-genclere-ne-oldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/issiz-genclere-ne-oldu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u0130\u015fsiz gen\u00e7lere ne oldu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>\u00dclkede T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019e ait rakamlar\u0131n hi\u00e7bir inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda vatanda\u015f da, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda i\u015fadamlar\u0131 da hemen hemen bu konuda hemfikir\u2026 Kurum ne derse desin; art\u0131k inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 kalmad\u0131.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-378036653\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat yine de her \u015feye ra\u011fmen belli bir orant\u0131y\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in bu istatistikleri takip etmek gerekiyor. \u00d6zellikle gelecek d\u00f6nemin en \u00f6nemli sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda gelen i\u015fsizlik mercek alt\u0131nda tutulmal\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Her ne kadar ger\u00e7e\u011fi yans\u0131tm\u0131yorsa da, insanlar\u0131 i\u015fsiz saymamak i\u00e7in elinden gelini yap\u0131yorsa da, tan\u0131msal hatalarla dolu da olsa, en az\u0131ndan art\u0131\u015flar \u00fczerinden bir fikir sahibi olabilmek ad\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131klamalara bak\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Lakin kurum o kadar kendinden ge\u00e7mi\u015f olmal\u0131 ki, mant\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 zorluyor. 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n mart ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin i\u015fsizlik rakamlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Genel orandaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klamak zor. Hatta imk\u00e2ns\u0131z \u00f6tesi\u2026 Yine de daha kritik bir veri olan gen\u00e7 i\u015fsizli\u011fe \u00f6zellikle mercek tutmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Mart 2015 itibariyle 15-24 ya\u015f grubunu kapsayan gen\u00e7 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 18,6 oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Fakat a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 \u015fu ifadeyle birlikte yapt\u0131lar: \u201cGen\u00e7 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 1,9 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 18,6 oldu.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>O zaman bir ay \u00f6ncesine d\u00f6nelim. Yani \u015eubat 2015 i\u015fsizli\u011fine\u2026 Neydi oran? \u201c15-24 ya\u015f grubu i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 3 art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 20 oldu.\u201d D\u00f6nelim mart ay\u0131na\u2026 Bu grupta oran hem 1,9 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterip, hem de nas\u0131l y\u00fczde 20\u2019den y\u00fczde 18,6\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc? Cevab\u0131 yok\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Diyelim ki al\u0131\u015fageldi\u011fimiz \u00fczere hata yapt\u0131lar. Y\u00fczde 20\u2019den, y\u00fczde 18,6\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc nas\u0131l elde ettiniz? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc TOBB\u2019un da, ekonomi kurmaylar\u0131n\u0131n da zaman zaman dile getirdi\u011fi bir T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ger\u00e7e\u011fi var.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye y\u0131lda 800 bin \u00fcniversite mezunu genci istihdam piyasas\u0131na kat\u0131yor. \u00dclke y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek, bu n\u00fcfusun sadece 500 bin ki\u015fisine i\u015f bulabiliyor ve 300 bin ki\u015fi i\u015fsizler ordusuna kat\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2752875410\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>2014 y\u0131l\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczdesi ne? Y\u0131l\u0131n tamam\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,9. Peki i\u015fsizli\u011fin a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fubat ve mart aylar\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan 2015 ilk \u00e7eyrekte ne? \u0130nand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131yorum ve rakama bak\u0131yorum; y\u00fczde 2,3\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Peki y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek, mevcut i\u015fsizlerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 300 bin yeni n\u00fcfusa i\u015f bulamazken, y\u00fczde 2,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek gen\u00e7 i\u015fsizli\u011fi, hatta toplamdaki i\u015fsizli\u011fi nas\u0131l d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcn\u00fcz? Zira \u015fubat itibariyle y\u00fczde 11,2 olan i\u015fsizlik, mart ay\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 10,6 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131? Sorar\u0131m size bu hesab\u0131n neresinden tutacaks\u0131n\u0131z?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Rakamlar\u0131n ve oranlar\u0131n do\u011frulu\u011funu bir kenara b\u0131raksak bile, T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in kendi verileri i\u00e7indeki oranlar bile a\u00e7\u0131klanmaya muhta\u00e7. Bir de bunlara Haziran 2015 itibariyle kat\u0131lacak \u00fcniversiteden mezun olanlar\u0131 ekleyin. Onlar\u0131 nereye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131racaks\u0131n\u0131z? Hadi ge\u00e7tim hepsini; T\u00dc\u0130K, kendi istatistiklerine bak\u0131p \u015fu sorusunun yan\u0131t\u0131 versin: \u0130\u015fsiz gen\u00e7lere ne oldu?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4293220123\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00dclkede T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019e ait rakamlar\u0131n hi\u00e7bir inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda vatanda\u015f da, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda i\u015fadamlar\u0131 da hemen hemen bu konuda hemfikir\u2026 Kurum ne derse&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-40038","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40038","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40038"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40038\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40038"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40038"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40038"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}