{"id":39840,"date":"2015-06-01T23:14:21","date_gmt":"2015-06-01T20:14:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=39840"},"modified":"2015-06-02T09:42:56","modified_gmt":"2015-06-02T06:42:56","slug":"tehlike-canlari-ve-issizlik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/tehlike-canlari-ve-issizlik\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Tehlike \u00e7anlar\u0131 ve i\u015fsizlik"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Siyasetin se\u00e7im tela\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7inde, adeta y\u00fcksek perdeden \u00e7\u0131kan bir alarm, neredeyse g\u00f6rmezlikten geliniyor. Herkes Bursa\u2019dan i\u015f\u00e7ilerin y\u00fckselen \u00e7\u0131\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duydu ama; i\u015f pop\u00fclaritesini yitirince, birka\u00e7 siyaset\u00e7i d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda geneli kafas\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015fka tarafa \u00e7evirdi.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1721336041\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Oysa o g\u00fcn oradaki \u00e7\u0131\u011fl\u0131k bir reel sekt\u00f6r hayk\u0131r\u0131\u015f\u0131yd\u0131. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131yla i\u015fvereniyle, mevcut d\u00fczeni s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilecek takatinin kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesiydi. \u00dcretim ekonomisinin akt\u00f6rleri uzun zamand\u0131r k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fan maa\u015f\u0131n\u0131 alam\u0131yor, i\u015fveren giderlerini kar\u015f\u0131layam\u0131yor. Son d\u00f6nemde ihracat ata\u011f\u0131na kalkan reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn, finansman yap\u0131s\u0131ndaki kurgu anla\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131. Herkes a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bor\u00e7lanmadan bahsediyor ama o borcun hangi sistematik i\u00e7erisinde \u00f6denece\u011fine dair hesab\u0131 anlatm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bizzat ihracat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar\u0131n kendisinden dinledi\u011fimi aktaray\u0131m. Her \u015fey borcun bir sonraki ay elde edilecek ihracat gelirinin kasaya girmesi ve akabinde bor\u00e7 taksidinin \u00f6denebilmesi \u00fczerine kurguland\u0131. Yine \u00fclkedeki dolar bask\u0131lamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131, avroyu gelir etme manevras\u0131yla k\u00f6r topal bug\u00fcne gelindi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015finin art\u0131k fren tutmamas\u0131, avronun Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019ndeki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar nedeniyle cazip para birimi olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve tekrar hakim pazar\u0131m\u0131z haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen Avrupa ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere, ihracat pazarlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 hale gelmesi felaketin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u0130hracat geliriyle bor\u00e7 \u00f6demesini finansman kullanma bi\u00e7imi yap\u0131p bor\u00e7lanan \u00fcretici art\u0131k i\u015fi d\u00f6nd\u00fcremiyor. \u00c7ok uzun zaman \u00f6nce sermayesinden yemeye ba\u015flad\u0131 ve ne yaz\u0131k ki bunun da sonuna geliniyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fc gider kalemi olan dolar dalgalanarak darbe vururken, y\u00fckselip ayr\u0131ca h\u0131rpal\u0131yor ve ihracat gelirleri de azal\u0131yor. Son olarak May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ihracat y\u00fczde 19 geriledi. Parite ilk be\u015f ayda 5,7 milyar dolarl\u0131k olumsuz etki yapt\u0131. Yani firmalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kaybediyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer bu \u00fclkede birileri \u00fcretimden bahsedecekse, \u00f6nce firmalar\u0131n ayakta kalmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini unutmas\u0131n. A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak KOB\u0130\u2019lerimizin erimeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te yanda\u015flar\u0131n da durumu \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3456271577\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Son olarak \u0130stanbul\u2019daki yeni bo\u011faz k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc ihalesinde 3 \u015firket, kurdaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n olumsuz etkisi nedeniyle iflas mahkemesine ba\u015fvurdu. \u00dcstelik bunlar zorla kamu bankalar\u0131ndan finanse ediliyorlar. Buna ra\u011fmen i\u015f, diki\u015f tutmuyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00fcretim yapan\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na pi\u015fman eden bir sistemde bo\u011fulup gidiyoruz. Bir \u00fcreticinin anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015fay\u0131m. Normal i\u015finde kazanam\u0131yor ve daire al\u0131p sat\u0131yor. Aradaki farkla da imalathanesini ayakta tutuyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc o geliri \u00fcreterek elde edemiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Hi\u00e7 kimse o sanayiciye k\u0131zmas\u0131n. Sadece ayakta kalman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131 ar\u0131yor ve tek de\u011fil. Reel sekt\u00f6r \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehlike \u00e7an\u0131n\u0131, avaz\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar ba\u011f\u0131rarak bu \u00fclkede duyurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Fakat kulaklar t\u0131kanm\u0131\u015f, beylik laflar ediliyor. G\u00f6rmezden gelinen bu tehlike \u00e7an\u0131n\u0131n sonu, bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir i\u015fsizliktir. \u0130\u015fte o zaman seyredin g\u00fcmb\u00fcrt\u00fcy\u00fc\u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1809164501\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Siyasetin se\u00e7im tela\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7inde, adeta y\u00fcksek perdeden \u00e7\u0131kan bir alarm, neredeyse g\u00f6rmezlikten geliniyor. Herkes Bursa\u2019dan i\u015f\u00e7ilerin y\u00fckselen \u00e7\u0131\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duydu ama; i\u015f pop\u00fclaritesini yitirince, birka\u00e7 siyaset\u00e7i&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-39840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39840","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39840"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39840\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39840"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39840"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39840"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}