{"id":39591,"date":"2015-05-13T22:30:41","date_gmt":"2015-05-13T19:30:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=39591"},"modified":"2015-05-13T23:39:29","modified_gmt":"2015-05-13T20:39:29","slug":"biri-bakani-aydinlatsin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/biri-bakani-aydinlatsin\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Biri Bakan&#8217;\u0131 ayd\u0131nlats\u0131n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Her kriz d\u00f6neminde kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131kan \u2018petrol bulduk\u2019 palavras\u0131n\u0131n yeni versiyonu, G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi\u2019ndeki yap\u0131lanma ile patlayaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenen \u2018ihracat\u2019 olarak g\u00fcndeme oturdu. Ho\u015f, asl\u0131nda g\u00fcmr\u00fck birli\u011fi s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinin \u2018AB\u2019ye girdik\u2019, \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakerelerinin ba\u015flanmas\u0131n\u0131n da g\u00fcnd\u00fcz vakti havai fi\u015fekle kutland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu \u00fclke i\u00e7in durum normal.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2655194364\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi ile ilgili yeni anla\u015fmayla birlikte T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB ile olan ticaret hacminin 300 milyar dolar\u0131 bulmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu iddiay\u0131 ortaya atan, yoldan ge\u00e7en ve kulaktan dolma bilgilerle sarf eden bir vatanda\u015f de\u011fil. S\u00f6yleyen ki\u015fi, Avrupa Birli\u011fi Bakan\u0131 ve Ba\u015f M\u00fczakereci Volkan Bozk\u0131r\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, son derece \u00e7aresiz bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc i\u00e7inde, ne s\u00f6ylediklerini bilmeden y\u00fcksek perdeden konu\u015fuyorlar. Ve yine anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde bu tip sa\u00e7malamalar\u0131 daha \u00e7ok duyaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, kendi yanl\u0131\u015flar\u0131, dahli ya da o pazarlardaki kaos nedenleriyle alternatif pazarlarda g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybetmesinin ard\u0131ndan AB pazar\u0131, yine ihracat\u0131n i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti. Bu nedenle AB\u2019ye taraftar olunsa da, olunmasa da bu yap\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok iyi okunmas\u0131 ve takip edilmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclkede y\u0131llarca dolar\u0131n bask\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan gelir \/ gider dengesini farkl\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ran ve giderini dolara, gelirini avroya ba\u011flayan ihracat\u00e7\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan avro \/ dolar paritesinin \u00f6nemini artt\u0131rmas\u0131 da, toplam ihracat i\u00e7inde AB\u2019nin pay\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat Bakan Bozk\u0131r\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6yledikleri her taraf\u0131ndan tel tel d\u00f6k\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Rakamlar ile oranlar birbirine kar\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f. Kar\u015f\u0131 taraftan da herhangi bir soru gelmeyince Avrupa Birli\u011fi Bakan\u0131 \u00dclke TV\u2019de yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 r\u00f6portajda s\u00fcrekli bo\u015f kaleye penalt\u0131 kullanm\u0131\u015f. Peki, s\u00f6ylemlerdeki a\u00e7maz nerede?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bakan Bozk\u0131r\u2019a, G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye nas\u0131l bir fayda sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 soruluyor. M\u00fczakere sonunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB ile ticaret hacminin iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Rakam, bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in 150 milyar dolar ve imi\u015f ve 300 milyar dolara ula\u015facakm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>150 milyar dolar\u0131n y\u00fczde 45\u2019i de bizim ihracat\u0131m\u0131zdan olu\u015fuyormu\u015f. Ne eder? 67,5 milyar dolar\u2026 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 genelinde (T\u0130M) T\u00fcrkiye \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar Meclisi\u2019nin verilerine g\u00f6re AB\u2019ye ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n bu oldu\u011funu do\u011fruluyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3159351204\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat yine T\u0130M verileri g\u00f6steriyor ki, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6rt ay\u0131nda AB \u00fclkelerine ihracat\u0131m\u0131z, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 11,8 azalarak 19,9 milyar dolara geriledi. S\u0131f\u0131r g\u00fcmr\u00fckle bu iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kacakm\u0131\u015f. Diyelim ki bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yok. Bir bu kadar daha ihracat yapmak i\u00e7in ne icat edece\u011fiz? Yani ne sataca\u011f\u0131z?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>AB \u2013 ABD aras\u0131ndaki Transatlantik Ticaret Anla\u015fmas\u0131 bizi hi\u00e7 etkilemeyecek ve biz bu i\u015ften k\u00e2rl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131z \u00f6yle mi? \u015eartlar de\u011fi\u015fmese bile ayn\u0131 tempoda ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n da 82,5 milyar dolardan 165 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 ne yapaca\u011f\u0131z?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu ithalat\u0131 d\u00fcnyada finansman\u0131n kesildi\u011fi ortamda hangi parayla yapaca\u011f\u0131z? Bu sorular\u0131n yan\u0131t\u0131 yok; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda oturan\u0131n sordu\u011fu yok. Peki diyelim ki Bakan hakl\u0131. G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi ile ilgili ne de\u011fi\u015fecek?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>AB maceram\u0131zda 1987 y\u0131l\u0131, \u00fcyelik ba\u015fvurumuz nedeniyle mihenk ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131r. S\u00fcre\u00e7 kendi i\u00e7ine G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinin y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe giri\u015fini de al\u0131yor. Gelelim bug\u00fcne ve sonuca bakal\u0131m. IMF\u2019nin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen gelirde sat\u0131n alma paritesini esas alarak haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir rapor var. \u00dclkelerin milli gelirlerinin d\u00fcnyadaki milli gelir i\u00e7indeki de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4168208072\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye 1987 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,41 ile d\u00fcnya milli gelirini kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 ad\u0131na pay al\u0131yormu\u015f.. 2014 sonundaki oran ne? Y\u00fczde 1,41\u2026 Yani de\u011fi\u015fim y\u00fczde 0&#8230; Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem i\u00e7inde Endonezya, Tayvan y\u00fczde 33, G\u00fcney Kore y\u00fczde 53, Hindistan y\u00fczde 93, \u00c7in y\u00fczde 330 de\u011fi\u015fim yakalam\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bizim AB\u2019ye resmi \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecimizden bug\u00fcne elde etti\u011fimiz ilerleme ve ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z pay ise koskocaman bir s\u0131f\u0131r. Bu ger\u00e7ekler ortada dururken, bir anda ne yapaca\u011f\u0131z da d\u00fcnya bizden mal sat\u0131n alacak. Ge\u00e7tim d\u00fcnyay\u0131 Bakan Bozk\u0131r\u2019\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 i\u00e7inde kalal\u0131m. Ya\u015flanan, resesyona giren, yani daralan AB\u2019ye, rakiplerimizi geride b\u0131rak\u0131p, bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden iki kat\u0131 oranda ne sataca\u011f\u0131z?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Daha kilit soru ise \u015fu: Enflasyon i\u00e7inde g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in \u00e7areyi g\u0131da ithalat\u0131nda bulan bir zihniyetle hangi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konu\u015faca\u011f\u0131z? \u00dcstelik en b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u00e7\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerinden biri olan haz\u0131r giyimde, marka olan firmalar\u0131n\u0131n mahkemelerde iflas\u0131n\u0131n kabul edildi\u011fi, ayakta kalanlar\u0131n da hisselerini yabanc\u0131 fonlara sat\u0131p nakde d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir e\u011filim i\u00e7inde\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ne diyor Bakan Bozk\u0131r? Bu anla\u015fma T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi \u015faha kald\u0131racakm\u0131\u015f. Ben de soruyorum: Bu kafayla m\u0131? Hadi can\u0131m sen de\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Her kriz d\u00f6neminde kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131kan \u2018petrol bulduk\u2019 palavras\u0131n\u0131n yeni versiyonu, G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi\u2019ndeki yap\u0131lanma ile patlayaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenen \u2018ihracat\u2019 olarak g\u00fcndeme oturdu. Ho\u015f, asl\u0131nda g\u00fcmr\u00fck birli\u011fi s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-39591","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39591","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39591"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39591\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39591"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39591"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39591"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}