{"id":39530,"date":"2015-05-11T10:44:58","date_gmt":"2015-05-11T07:44:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=39530"},"modified":"2015-05-11T11:31:58","modified_gmt":"2015-05-11T08:31:58","slug":"erol-gurcan-haftalik-ekonomik-gorunum-ve-bist-100-teknik-analizi-11-05-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/erol-gurcan-haftalik-ekonomik-gorunum-ve-bist-100-teknik-analizi-11-05-2015\/","title":{"rendered":"Erol G\u00fcrcan &#8211; Haftal\u0131k Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve B\u0130ST 100 Teknik Analizi &#8211; (11.05.2015)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00dcFE\u2019yle bozulan moralleri Sanayi \u00dcretimi toparlad\u0131\u2026<\/strong> <\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan Nisan ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE verileri beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi piyasalar\u0131n haftaya moralsiz ba\u015flamas\u0131na neden oldu. T\u00dcFE Nisan ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k bazda % 1.63 oran\u0131nda artarken y\u0131ll\u0131k bazdaki art\u0131\u015f % 7.91 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/strong> Enflasyonun beklentileri \u00fczerinde seyrediyor olmas\u0131nda TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmas\u0131na ek olarak g\u0131da enflasyonun da \u00f6nemli bir etken olmaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Nisan ay\u0131nda G\u0131da enflasyonu % 14.7\u2019ye y\u00fckselerek son 12 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. May\u0131s ay\u0131ndan itibaren mevsimsel etkilerin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla birlikte enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Ancak, g\u0131da enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi konusunda merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n yapabilecekleri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen y\u0131l\u0131n 2. Enflasyon raporunun yay\u0131nland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi gibi G\u0131da Komitesi taraf\u0131ndan al\u0131nacak ekstra \u00f6nlemlere ihtiya\u00e7 duyuldu\u011funu belirtmekte fayda var.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2631935419\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-1.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-39533 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-1.png\" alt=\"11.05.2015 - 1\" width=\"651\" height=\"346\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-1.png 651w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-1-300x159.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-2.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-39534 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-2.png\" alt=\"11.05.2015 - 2\" width=\"651\" height=\"346\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-2.png 651w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-2-300x159.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>T\u00dcFE verisinin etkisiyle moralsiz ba\u015flayan hafta, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan Mart ay\u0131 Sanayi \u00dcretimi verisinin piyasa beklentilerinin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde bir art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesiyle olumlu sonu\u00e7land\u0131. Ayl\u0131k bazda % 2.2 artan Sanayi \u00dcretimi, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda % 4.7 ile \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu veriyle birlikte, Sanayi \u00dcretimi 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 1. \u00c7eyre\u011finde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re % 1.3 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015f oldu. Bu veri \u00f6ncesinde a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine ait \u00f6nc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerinin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye yetecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fildi. Ancak, a\u00e7\u0131klanan verinin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan son derece olumlu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Di\u011fer taraftan, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131lamaz seviyede olan yabanc\u0131 para cinsinden BB+ notunu ve negatif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc teyit ederken; yerli para cinsinden notunu ise BBB&#8217;den BBB- d\u00fczeyine indirdi. Not d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn TCMB&#8217;nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin zorluklar\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-3.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-39535 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-3.png\" alt=\"11.05.2015 - 3\" width=\"547\" height=\"362\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-3.png 547w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-3-300x199.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 547px) 100vw, 547px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-4.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-39536 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-4.png\" alt=\"11.05.2015 - 4\" width=\"547\" height=\"363\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-4.png 547w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-4-300x199.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 547px) 100vw, 547px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<em><strong>Yeni haftada \u0130\u015fsizlik, Cari Denge ve B\u00fct\u00e7e verilerini kar\u015f\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131z\u2026<\/strong> <\/em><br \/>\nYeni haftada yurti\u00e7i ekonomik veri takviminde Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan Mart ay\u0131 Cari \u0130\u015flemler Dengesi ile Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan \u015eubat ay\u0131 \u0130\u015fsizlik verileri ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Dengesi verileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oranlar\u0131 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile ve mevsimsel etkilerle do\u011frudan ili\u015fkili bir yap\u0131ya sahip. Y\u0131l i\u00e7inde Mart ay\u0131 ile birlikte mevsimsel etkiler olumluya d\u00f6n\u00fcyor, bu durum genelde Temmuz-A\u011fustos aylar\u0131na kadar devam ediyor. A\u011fustos-\u015eubat aras\u0131 d\u00f6nem ise i\u015fsizlik oranlar\u0131n\u0131n kademeli olarak art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimine girdi\u011fi d\u00f6nem oluyor. \u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin, \u015eubat ay\u0131nda zirve yaparak %11.5 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ediyoruz. Y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazdaki cari a\u00e7\u0131k verisinde 2011 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, son d\u00f6nemlerde kur ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelerin de etkisiyle s\u00fcrmeye devam ediyor. Bu noktada cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki toparlanmaya 2011 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme taraf\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filiminin katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurmakta fayda var. Cari Denge\u2019nin Mart ay\u0131nda 4.76 milyar dolar a\u00e7\u0131k vermesini ve y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n ise 44.2 milyar dolar toparlanma e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz. Ayr\u0131ca, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanacak olan TCMB May\u0131s ay\u0131 Beklenti Anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentilerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimi takip etmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan takip edilmeli. Mart anketinde % 6.98 seviyesinde olan beklentiler Nisan ay\u0131nda % 7.29\u2019a y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. \u00d6nceki hafta yay\u0131nlanan 2. Enflasyon raporu raporuyla birlikte TCMB\u2019nin de y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini % 5.5\u2019ten % 6.8\u2019e revize etmi\u015fti. Ayr\u0131ca, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc itibariyle Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019da i\u015flem g\u00f6ren (banka hari\u00e7) \u015firketlerin 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 1. \u00c7eyrek finansal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6ndermeleri i\u00e7in son g\u00fcn oldu\u011funu da hat\u0131rlatal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-6.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-39537 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-6.png\" alt=\"11.05.2015 - 6\" width=\"545\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-6.png 545w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-6-300x159.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 545px) 100vw, 545px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-7.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-39538 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-7.png\" alt=\"11.05.2015 - 7\" width=\"620\" height=\"273\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-7.png 620w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-7-300x132.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 620px) 100vw, 620px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>ABD \u0130stihdam Piyasas\u0131ndaki Zay\u0131f G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm S\u00fcr\u00fcyor\u2026<\/strong> <\/em><br \/>\nHafta boyunca a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerdeki kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm k\u00fcresel piyasalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan haftay\u0131 volatil bir h\u00e2le getirdi. ABD istihdam verileri ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019deki se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ABD ve Avrupa piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n haftay\u0131 pozitif bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle kapatmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flasa da Asya piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funda \u00c7in ekonomisindeki zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn etkisiyle kay\u0131plar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Hafta sonu \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamayla bir y\u0131l vadeli g\u00f6sterge bor\u00e7 verme faizini 25 baz puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclerek % 5.1\u2019e \u00e7ekildi. B\u00f6ylelikle, ekonomide g\u00f6r\u00fclen beklentilerin \u00fczerindeki yava\u015flama \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n son 6 ayda 3. kez faiz indirimine gitmi\u015f oldu.<br \/>\nGe\u00e7en hafta k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda ABD\u2019den gelecek \u0130stihdam raporu ve Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Yellen\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fma vard\u0131. Yellen, konu\u015fmas\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m s\u00fcrecine ili\u015fkin herhangi bir sinyal vermezken; Nisan ay\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131 223.000 art\u0131\u015fla beklentilere paralel olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ancak, 126.000 ile hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratan Mart ay\u0131 tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam rakam\u0131n\u0131n 85.000\u2019e revize edilmesi ve saatlik \u00fccretlerdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n % 0.1 ile beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 konusunda aceleci olmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentileri kuvvetlendirdi. \u00d6zetle, Nisan ay\u0131 istihdam verileri 1. \u00c7eyrekteki zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn pek fazla bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermedi\u011fini i\u015faret etti denilebilir. Ancak, gelecek ay ba\u015f\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak May\u0131s ay\u0131 istihdam verilerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi durumunda Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u015fahin beklentilerin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazanmas\u0131na neden olabilir.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Yeni haftada ne konu\u015faca\u011f\u0131z?..<\/strong><\/em><br \/>\nYurti\u00e7inde, Pazartesi itibariyle Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019da i\u015flem g\u00f6ren \u015firketlerin (banka hari\u00e7) 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek finansal sonu\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131klama d\u00f6nemi sona eriyor. Haftan\u0131n \u00f6nce \u00e7\u0131kan ekonomik verileri ise Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Mart ay\u0131 Cari \u0130\u015flemler Dengesi ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u015eubat ay\u0131 \u0130\u015fsizlik ile B\u00fct\u00e7e Dengesi olacak.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel piyasalardaki yeni hafta ekonomik veri takvimine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ABD taraf\u0131nda \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar ile Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan Sanayi \u00dcretimi verisinin; Avrupa taraf\u0131nda \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00d6nc\u00fc B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve Sanayi \u00dcretimi ile Almanya ve \u0130talya\u2019dan gelecek olan T\u00dcFE verilerinin; Asya taraf\u0131nda ise Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00c7in\u2019den gelecek Sanayi \u00dcretimi ile hafta sonuna do\u011fru Japonya\u2019dan gelecek \u00dcFE ve Tertiary Hizmet Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00dcretim Endeksi verilerinin \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kuroda\u2019n\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 da takip edilmeli. Merkez bankalar\u0131ndan herhangi bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklenmiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>BIST \u2013 100<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-8.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-39539 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-8.png\" alt=\"11.05.2015 - 8\" width=\"697\" height=\"466\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-8.png 697w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/11.05.2015-8-300x201.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 697px) 100vw, 697px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nSanayi \u00dcretimi verilerinin beklentilerin \u00fczerinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermesi sonras\u0131nda ABD istihdam verilerinde de \u00f6nemli bir toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fclmemesi sonras\u0131nda 84 bin puan\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde kapanan BIST-100 endeksi haftaya % 0.12\u2019lik art\u0131\u015fla 84.161 puandan a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4235735438\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc piyasalar kapand\u0131ktan sonra, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131lamaz seviyede olan yabanc\u0131 para cinsinden BB+ notunu ve negatif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc teyit ederken; yerli para cinsinden notunu ise BBB&#8217;den BBB- d\u00fczeyine indirdi. Not d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn TCMB&#8217;nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin zorluklar\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Yerel para cinsinden notun indirilmi\u015f olmas\u0131ndan ziyade TCMB ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesaj\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmek l\u00e2z\u0131m. Bu sabahki a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fa bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, hafta sonu \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan gelen faiz indiriminin S&amp;P kaynakl\u0131 az da olsa g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek olumsuzlu\u011fu bertaraf etti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131nda 84.250 direncini a\u015fan BIST-100 endeksi 85.000 seviyesine do\u011fru hareketlendi. Endeks, 84.500 \u2013 84.800 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin \u00fczerinde tutunabilirse s\u0131ras\u0131yla 86.000 ve bir \u00f6nceki zirve olan 86.800 seviyesine kadar y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde ise g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla 83.800 ve 83.300 destekleri takip edilmeli. Hafta boyunca izlenilmesi gereken en \u00f6nemli destek ise 82.400 seviyesinde. Yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak yurti\u00e7i Cari Denge verileri ile \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden gelecek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 bu hafta endeksin y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli. Ayr\u0131ca, ABD\u2019den \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc gelecek Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar ile Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc gelecek olan Sanayi \u00dcretimi verileri de piyasalardaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Di\u011fer taraftan, se\u00e7ime \u00e7ok az bir zaman kalm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle bu haftadan itibaren yay\u0131nlanacak anketler ile siyasi geli\u015fmelerin de piyasadaki oynakl\u0131k \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli belirleyicilerden olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmekte de yarar var.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Erol G\u00fcrcan<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Uzman\u0131<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00dcFE\u2019yle bozulan moralleri Sanayi \u00dcretimi toparlad\u0131\u2026 Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan Nisan ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE verileri beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi piyasalar\u0131n haftaya moralsiz ba\u015flamas\u0131na neden oldu. T\u00dcFE Nisan ay\u0131nda&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2885,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[769],"class_list":["post-39530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2885"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39530\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}