{"id":39373,"date":"2015-05-03T13:38:39","date_gmt":"2015-05-03T10:38:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=39373"},"modified":"2015-05-04T11:39:46","modified_gmt":"2015-05-04T08:39:46","slug":"kalici-hasar-birakmiyor-rahat-olalim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kalici-hasar-birakmiyor-rahat-olalim\/","title":{"rendered":"Kaz\u0131m \u00c7ilo\u011flu &#8211; Kal\u0131c\u0131 hasar b\u0131rakm\u0131yor, rahat olal\u0131m!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>\u2018\u2019D\u00f6viz kuru oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman, zaman olabilir. Rahat olmak gerekiyor, d\u00f6viz hareketi olabilir. Kal\u0131c\u0131 hasar b\u0131rakm\u0131yor bunlar.\u2019\u2019<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3124155920\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Kim diyor?<\/p>\n<p>TCMB ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Bu durumda ge\u00e7ici hasar iyi demek oluyor!<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi \u00f6demeleriniz aksad\u0131, maliyetleriniz dolara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde otuz art\u0131, bu ba\u011flamda piyasalar\u0131n dengesi bozulunca, sizinde gelirleriniz giderlerinizi kar\u015f\u0131lam\u0131yor ve alacaklar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 tahsilde de s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k ya\u015f\u0131yorsan\u0131z?<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcz\u00fclmeyin!<\/p>\n<p>Nas\u0131l olsa kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hasar\u0131n\u0131z olmayacak\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Mesela bu \u00f6deme \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131na girince, tek \u00e7are, i\u015f yerini \u00f6ld\u00fcm e\u015fek fiyat\u0131na sat\u0131p, bu hasar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 olmaktan kurtarm\u0131\u015f olursunuz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3252916147\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ne deniyordu?<\/p>\n<p>Krizler bir f\u0131rsatt\u0131r. Hah i\u015fte mutlaka o f\u0131rsat\u0131 bekleyenler de(!) sizin satt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ucuza kapatarak, yeni bir ba\u015flang\u0131ca yelken a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f oluyorlar. \u0130\u015fte bu durumda ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan ne oluyor?<\/p>\n<p>Hasars\u0131zl\u0131k!<\/p>\n<p>Ama ger\u00e7ek ekonomik de\u011ferlere g\u00f6re asl\u0131nda buna, sermayenin haks\u0131z ve e\u015fit olmayan bir ekonomik rekabet ortam\u0131nda el de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi deniyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2201943832\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yani?<\/p>\n<p>Kazan\u0131n bir taraf\u0131nda s\u0131f\u0131r hasar, kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ki hurdaha\u015f!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan ise enflasyon tahminlerinde ki rakamsal oranlar ile s\u0131k ve farkl\u0131 d\u00fczeltmeler\u2026<\/p>\n<p>2015 sonunda, enflasyon aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 hem de y\u00fczde yetmi\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131kla(!)\u00a0 y\u00fczde 5,6 ile 8,0 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olacakm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>Haliyle bu durumda tam orta noktas\u0131 da 6,8 oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 3,7 ile 7,3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ve orta noktas\u0131 da tam tam\u0131na y\u00fczde 5,5 olacakm\u0131\u015f!<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca bahse konu sekiz kutu(!) da ekonominin gelece\u011fine \u00f6nemli \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutacakm\u0131\u015f\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi bu t\u00fcm a\u00e7\u0131klananlar ve y\u00fczde 1,3\u2019l\u00fck enflasyonun d\u00fczeltmesi de dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, biz ne yapabiliriz dersek?<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nce alt ve \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n orta noktas\u0131ndan, bir dik \u00e7izelim.<\/p>\n<p>Sonra pergelimizi ortalama de\u011fer kadar a\u00e7\u0131p, bu dik \u00fczerinde orta noktay\u0131 merkez olarak al\u0131p bir daire \u00e7izelim.<\/p>\n<p>Bu dairenin tam ortas\u0131na otural\u0131m ve y\u0131lsonunu bekleyelim.<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer enflasyon bu dairenin i\u00e7inde kal\u0131rsa ekonomik hasar bize te\u011fet ge\u00e7ti demektir.<\/p>\n<p>Yok, e\u011fer daha y\u00fcksek seyrederse, i\u015fte o zaman geometriye g\u00f6re buna kiri\u015f deniyor ki genelde dairenin bir taraf\u0131ndan girip di\u011fer taraf\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Hasar ise kiri\u015fin boyu ile m\u00fcsemma oluyor ki bu da kiri\u015fin merkezden uzakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re bir paralellik arz ediyor!<\/p>\n<p>Elbette 2015 \u00e7ap\u0131 ile 2016 \u00e7ap\u0131n\u0131z de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fi i\u00e7in ekonomik k\u0131smetinizde ona g\u00f6re olacakt\u0131r!<\/p>\n<p>Tam anlam\u0131 ile bu rakamsal de\u011ferleri ve gelecek ekonomik durumu \u2018\u2019eko-geometrik\u2019\u2019 bir kuram olarak ifade etmek istersek;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018\u2019D\u00f6rt k\u00f6\u015fe, e\u015fkenar ya da kare, silindirin alt\u0131nda ki yamu\u011fun halinden anlayamaz\u2019\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Biyoloji ilmi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ise;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018\u2019Kabak, patates ve t\u00fcm g\u0131da sekt\u00f6r\u00fc; \u00a0insanlar\u0131n dolarla kar\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131 doyuramayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlam\u0131\u015f durumdalar!\u2019\u2019 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130\u015fte \u015fimdi de nisan enflasyonu a\u00e7\u0131klanacak eminin en b\u00fcy\u00fck su\u00e7lu lahana ilan edilecektir!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\u2019D\u00f6viz kuru oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman, zaman olabilir. Rahat olmak gerekiyor, d\u00f6viz hareketi olabilir. Kal\u0131c\u0131 hasar b\u0131rakm\u0131yor bunlar.\u2019\u2019 Kim diyor? TCMB ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2026 Bu durumda ge\u00e7ici hasar iyi&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,912],"class_list":["post-39373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-kazim-ciloglu-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39373"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39373\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}