{"id":38010,"date":"2015-01-26T09:30:28","date_gmt":"2015-01-26T07:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=38010"},"modified":"2015-01-26T09:37:01","modified_gmt":"2015-01-26T07:37:01","slug":"erol-gurcan-bist-100-ve-usdtl-teknik-analizi-26-01-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/erol-gurcan-bist-100-ve-usdtl-teknik-analizi-26-01-2015\/","title":{"rendered":"Erol G\u00fcrcan &#8211; B\u0130ST 100 ve USD\/TL Teknik Analizi &#8211; (26.01.2015)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>G\u00fcndemin Merkez Bankalar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan belirlendi\u011fi bir haftay\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. <\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2770526920\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>TCMB ve ECB\u2019den gelen ad\u0131mlar piyasalardaki olumlu havay\u0131 destekledi. Hafta sonunda Yunanistan\u2019da yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerin galibi olarak kemer s\u0131kma politikalar\u0131na muhalifli\u011fi ile tan\u0131nan solcu Syriza partisinin \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve olas\u0131 kar sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle, BIST-100 endekse haftaya bir miktar sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015flayabilir. Ancak, endeksteki y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli halen s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Yeni haftada yurti\u00e7inde Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 1. Enflasyon Raporu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klanaca\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131da TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131; yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ise Fed\u2019in Ocak ay\u0131 FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 takip edilecek.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Endeksteki y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; ancak yeni al\u0131mlar i\u00e7in temkinli olunmal\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-38011 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/endeks-26.01.2015.png\" alt=\"endeks-26.01.2015\" width=\"542\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/endeks-26.01.2015.png 542w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/endeks-26.01.2015-300x208.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 542px) 100vw, 542px\" \/><br \/>\nBIST-100 endeksi, TCMB\u2019nin politika faizinde 50 baz puan indirime gitmesi ve ECB\u2019nin beklentilerin \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda bir geni\u015fleme program\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131yla ge\u00e7en haftay\u0131 % 3.8 oran\u0131nda de\u011fer kazanarak 90.736 puandan tamamlad\u0131. Yeni haftaya, Yunanistan se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri tetiklemesi ve olas\u0131 kar sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle bir miktar geri \u00e7ekilmeyle ba\u015flayabiliriz. Ancak, TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n gelecek d\u00f6nemlerde hem enflasyon hem de reel faizlerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fini; faizlerin seyriyle ilgili detaylar\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyon raporunda a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin kal\u0131c\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131da faiz indirimlerinin devam\u0131na y\u00f6nelik i\u015faretler vermesi ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sona erecek olan FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan bir s\u00fcrpriz \u00e7\u0131kmamas\u0131 durumunda endeksin y\u00fckselen kanal i\u00e7erisindeki seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Teknik indikat\u00f6rlerin de a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n halen y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Endeks 88.700 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece mevcut pozisyonlar korunabilir ve trade ama\u00e7l\u0131 yeni pozisyonlar al\u0131nabilir. Ancak, yeni al\u0131mlar i\u00e7in ihtiyatl\u0131 olmak da fayda var. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde ise 93.500 \u2013 94.000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi olarak takip edilmeli.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Diren\u00e7ler:<\/strong> 91.600 \u2013 92.700 \u2013 93.500 <strong>Destekler:<\/strong> 89.500 \u2013 88.700 \u2013 87.000<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" size-full wp-image-38012 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/dolartl-26.01.2015.png\" alt=\"dolartl-26.01.2015\" width=\"542\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/dolartl-26.01.2015.png 542w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/dolartl-26.01.2015-300x208.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 542px) 100vw, 542px\" \/><br \/>\n<strong>Dolar\/TL, 2.30 deste\u011fine do\u011fru gev\u015feyebilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Kur taraf\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, dolar\/TL\u2019nin uzun s\u00fcredir a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak 2.30 \u2013 2.36 band\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yunanistan se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131nda 2.36 direncini test eden kurdaki bu hareketin kal\u0131c\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyoruz. Merkez bankalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizliklerin sona ermi\u015f olmas\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in bu haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ba\u015flama konusunda \u201csab\u0131rl\u0131\u201d olunaca\u011f\u0131 ifadesini koruyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek dolar\/TL\u2019nin 2.30\u2019daki deste\u011fine do\u011fru gev\u015feyebilece\u011fini, hatta bu seviyenin bir miktar alt\u0131na da sarkabilir. Ancak, \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc faiz indirimlerinin devam\u0131 ihtimalinin TL\u2019nin de\u011ferini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc etkisi ve eurodaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n dolar endeksini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutmas\u0131n\u0131n TL\u2019deki zay\u0131f seyrin s\u00fcrmesine neden olaca\u011f\u0131ndan, kurun 2.30\u2019un alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak tutunabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyoruz. Olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmelerde 2.27 \u2013 2.30 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 ya da dolar cinsinden bor\u00e7lu olanlar\u0131n t\u00fcrev piyasalarda kur riskinden kurtulma (hedge) f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Erol G\u00fcrcan<br \/>\nAra\u015ft\u0131rma Uzman\u0131<br \/>\nGedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-570328235\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcndemin Merkez Bankalar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan belirlendi\u011fi bir haftay\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. TCMB ve ECB\u2019den gelen ad\u0131mlar piyasalardaki olumlu havay\u0131 destekledi. Hafta sonunda Yunanistan\u2019da yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerin galibi olarak&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2885,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[769,752,753],"class_list":["post-38010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-dolar-tl-yorumu","tag-dolar-yorumlari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2885"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38010"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38010\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}