{"id":37737,"date":"2015-01-09T17:36:19","date_gmt":"2015-01-09T15:36:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=37737"},"modified":"2015-01-09T17:36:19","modified_gmt":"2015-01-09T15:36:19","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-ekonomide-tahminler-nicin-tutmaz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-ekonomide-tahminler-nicin-tutmaz\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; Ekonomide Tahminler Ni\u00e7in Tutmaz?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Burada, daha \u00f6nceki iki yaz\u0131mda, 2014 tahminlerimi, tutmayanlar\u0131n tutmama gerek\u00e7elerini anlatt\u0131ktan sonra 2015 tahminlerimi payla\u015ft\u0131m. <\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3492844995\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Tahminlerimin tutmayanlar\u0131yla ilgili ele\u015ftiriler ald\u0131m. D\u00fczeyli ve yap\u0131c\u0131 her t\u00fcrl\u00fc ele\u015ftiriye oldu\u011fu gibi bu konudaki ele\u015ftiriye de sayg\u0131 duyar\u0131m. Ben tahmin yaparken genellikle varsay\u0131mlar\u0131m\u0131 s\u0131ralar\u0131m. O y\u00f6nde de ele\u015ftiriler oldu. Varsay\u0131mlar s\u0131ralaman\u0131n ileride tahminlerin tutmamas\u0131 durumu i\u00e7in \u00f6nceden al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemler oldu\u011fu gibi bir kanaat has\u0131l oldu. Tahminlerin tutmamas\u0131n\u0131n ele\u015ftirilmesini anlayabiliyorum ama varsay\u0131mlar s\u0131ralaman\u0131n ele\u015ftirilmesini pek do\u011fru bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak g\u00f6rm\u00fcyorum. O nedenle \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc kez benzer bir konuda yaz\u0131 yazma gere\u011fi duydum.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2015\/01\/ekonomik-tahminler-nicin-tutmaz.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>. (Mahfiegilmez.Com)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Burada, daha \u00f6nceki iki yaz\u0131mda, 2014 tahminlerimi, tutmayanlar\u0131n tutmama gerek\u00e7elerini anlatt\u0131ktan sonra 2015 tahminlerimi payla\u015ft\u0131m. Tahminlerimin tutmayanlar\u0131yla ilgili ele\u015ftiriler ald\u0131m. D\u00fczeyli ve yap\u0131c\u0131 her t\u00fcrl\u00fc&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-37737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37737\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}