{"id":37617,"date":"2014-12-31T10:04:08","date_gmt":"2014-12-31T08:04:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=37617"},"modified":"2014-12-31T10:04:08","modified_gmt":"2014-12-31T08:04:08","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-2015-tahminleri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-2015-tahminleri\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; 2015 Tahminleri"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>2015\u2019de \u0130zlenecek Ekonomi Politikas\u0131na \u0130li\u015fkin Tahminlerim<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2195470278\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmetin ve Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda nas\u0131l bir ekonomi politikas\u0131 izleyece\u011fine ili\u015fkin tahminlerimi sizlerle payla\u015fmak istiyorum. \u00d6nceki yaz\u0131mda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131 4 ana ba\u015fl\u0131kta toplayarak konuya yakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131m\u0131 belirteyim: Maliye politikas\u0131, para ve kur politikas\u0131, makro ihtiyati politikalar, yap\u0131sal reform politikalar\u0131. Eldeki verilere g\u00f6re yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m bu tahminlerimin dayana\u011f\u0131 olan varsay\u0131mlar\u0131m\u0131 s\u0131ralayay\u0131m: Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyredece\u011fini, Fed\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131ya kadar faiz art\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131 gibi art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesaj da vermeyece\u011fini, genel se\u00e7imlerin ekonomi politikas\u0131 uygulamas\u0131n\u0131 hareketsizlik bi\u00e7iminde etkileyece\u011fini, jeopolitik sorunlar\u0131n mevcut durumdan daha k\u00f6t\u00fcye gitmeyece\u011fini varsay\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Maliye politikas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda uygulanan n\u00f6tr maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda yeterli olmayaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor. Bunun nedeni 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 3\u2019ler d\u00fczeyinde kalmaya devam edece\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentimizdir. Bu durumda vergi gelirlerinde, kendili\u011finden, 2014\u2019e g\u00f6re \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f olmayacak, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k faiz d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e giderleri artmaya devam edecek. Bir seferlik gelirlerin art\u0131k limitine yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131n\u0131rsa 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda n\u00f6tr maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n yeterli olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Ne var ki bu konuda se\u00e7imden \u00f6nce \u00f6nlem al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek hayalperestlik olur. Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde her y\u0131l yap\u0131lan emlak vergisi oran art\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi d\u00fczenlemelerle yetinilece\u011fini, se\u00e7imden sonra sa\u011fl\u0131k giderleri ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere kamu harcamalar\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131ya gidilmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ba\u015fta \u00d6TV olmak \u00fczere vergilerde art\u0131\u015f\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelece\u011fini tahmin ediyorum.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2014\/12\/2015-tahminleri.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>. (Mahfiegilmez.Com)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2015\u2019de \u0130zlenecek Ekonomi Politikas\u0131na \u0130li\u015fkin Tahminlerim H\u00fck\u00fcmetin ve Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda nas\u0131l bir ekonomi politikas\u0131 izleyece\u011fine ili\u015fkin tahminlerimi sizlerle payla\u015fmak istiyorum. \u00d6nceki yaz\u0131mda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-37617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37617","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37617"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37617\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37617"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}