{"id":37331,"date":"2014-12-11T22:55:49","date_gmt":"2014-12-11T20:55:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=37331"},"modified":"2014-12-11T23:26:31","modified_gmt":"2014-12-11T21:26:31","slug":"istikrarli-yalpalama","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/istikrarli-yalpalama\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u0130stikrarl\u0131 yalpalama"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Te\u015fbihte hata olmazm\u0131\u015f, bir s\u00f6z vard\u0131r ya; hem kekeme hem geveze diye; i\u015fte bizim ekonominin verdi\u011fi foto\u011fraf da bu. Ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar birbiriyle \u00f6yle bir \u00e7eli\u015fiyor ki, vatanda\u015f\u0131n akl\u0131 iyice kar\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1759753598\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Mesela T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin OECD \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda vergi gelirini en \u00e7ok art\u0131ran \u00fclke oldu\u011fu duyuruluyor; ama ayn\u0131 zamanda tahakkuk eden vergiyi tahsil edemedi\u011fi i\u00e7in yap\u0131land\u0131rmaya giden ve umdu\u011funu bulamayan iktidar, \u00f6nce 31 Aral\u0131k\u2019a \u00f6teledi\u011fi ba\u015fvuru s\u00fcresini, ikinci kez uzat\u0131yor. Yeni tarih; 2 \u015eubat 2015\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Peki sizce nas\u0131l oluyor? Verginin tamam\u0131na yak\u0131n\u0131n\u0131, gelir fark\u0131 g\u00f6zetmeksizin dolayl\u0131 yoldan hortumlayan Maliye, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc finans\u00e7\u0131lara kurban etti\u011fi i\u00e7in hem vergi gelirini art\u0131r\u0131p, hem de tahsil\u00e2t yapam\u0131yor da ondan.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bu arada gelir diye g\u00f6sterdiklerinin \u00e7o\u011funun da tahsil edilmedi\u011fini, k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde durdu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemekte fayda var. Bu yolla b\u00fct\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinden sonraya b\u0131rak\u0131lan bir \u015f\u00fcpheli alacak kaleminden s\u00f6z edebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z dolayl\u0131 soygundan a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015fken, gelir adaletsizli\u011finden rekorumuz tescilleniyor. Ayn\u0131 OECD i\u00e7inde Meksika\u2019dan sonra en adaletsiz ikinci \u00fclke oluyoruz. Finansman s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz i\u00e7in tabiri yerindeyse le\u015f fiyat\u0131na bedelli askerlik \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yoruz, bakanlar da, uzmanlar da en b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131n\u0131n tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat sonra bir bak\u0131yoruz tasarruflar\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 5,5 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde olarak a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131yor. \u00dcstelik piyasalar tahsil\u00e2t s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131ndan kavrulurken\u2026 Peki, madem bu kadar y\u00fcksek tasarrufumuz var; neden birileri sa\u011fda solda para dileniyor?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n rezervleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor; ama dolara yenilmemekten bahsediliyor. Borsa y\u00fckseliyor; sonra IMF raporu borsada en \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren hisseler bankalar\u0131n olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, finansal \u0131s\u0131nmaya dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Enflasyon iki haneye dayan\u0131yor (resmi olarak, ger\u00e7ekte zaten \u00f6yle); iktidar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p 2015\u2019te enflasyonun yerlerde s\u00fcr\u00fcnece\u011fini iddia ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclkede b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden bahsediliyor; b\u00fct\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde bunu \u00f6v\u00fcn\u00e7 kayna\u011f\u0131 yapanlar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; ama T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 17. b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomide s\u0131ra kaybetme riski beliriyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u00f6ylenenin tersine rakiplerin durumunun bizden iyi oldu\u011fu ya da bizim s\u00f6ylendi\u011fi gibi iyi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-546672293\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Cari a\u00e7\u0131kta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6v\u00fcn\u00e7 kayna\u011f\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor; ama ayn\u0131 zamanda sanayinin \u00fcretiminin de gerilemesi a\u00e7\u0131klanam\u0131yor. Oysa yan\u0131t basit. Bug\u00fcne kadar ithalat ve s\u0131cak parayla b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcz ve bu nedenle cari a\u00e7\u0131k verdi\u011finiz ve d\u0131\u015f ticarette de ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 \u00fcretim modeline sahip oldu\u011funuzdan, ekonomi k\u00f6t\u00fcye gittik\u00e7e cari a\u00e7\u0131k da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ama nas\u0131l finanse edilece\u011fini kimse konu\u015fmuyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6rnekler \u00e7o\u011falt\u0131labilir. \u00c7eli\u015fkiler yuma\u011f\u0131nda bir hayat s\u00fcr\u00fcyoruz. \u015e\u00fcphesiz ak\u015fam evine \u00e7orba g\u00f6t\u00fcremeyen i\u015fsiz adam\u0131n, israfta tepe noktas\u0131na varan ka\u00e7ak bir saray\u0131, yolsuzluk iddialar\u0131n\u0131 savunmas\u0131ndan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7eli\u015fki var m\u0131d\u0131r; bilemiyorum.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ama i\u015fin \u00f6z\u00fc \u015fu: Ekonomi gittik\u00e7e \u0131s\u0131n\u0131yor ve art\u0131k \u00e7arp\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015f veriler de bunu gizleyemiyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1998371906\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Te\u015fbihte hata olmazm\u0131\u015f, bir s\u00f6z vard\u0131r ya; hem kekeme hem geveze diye; i\u015fte bizim ekonominin verdi\u011fi foto\u011fraf da bu. Ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar birbiriyle&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-37331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37331\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}