{"id":35983,"date":"2014-09-24T08:43:56","date_gmt":"2014-09-24T05:43:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=35983"},"modified":"2014-09-24T08:51:40","modified_gmt":"2014-09-24T05:51:40","slug":"borsa-ve-dolarin-zit-kardesligi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsa-ve-dolarin-zit-kardesligi\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsa ve Dolar\u0131n Z\u0131t Karde\u015fli\u011fi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcn yine y\u00fcksek dalgalar\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir g\u00fcnd\u00fc. Yukar\u0131daki grafiklerden ilki 60 dk&#8217;l\u0131k, ortadaki\u00a0de endeksin d\u00fcn g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki hareketlerini g\u00f6steren 1&#8243; dk&#8217;l\u0131k grafik. En altaki grafik ise dolar\/TL kurunun bankalar aras\u0131&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-847750463\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-35984\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014.png\" alt=\"bist-100-24-eylul 2014\" width=\"510\" height=\"317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014.png 510w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-300x186.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-35985\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-b.png\" alt=\"bist-100-24-eylul 2014-b\" width=\"510\" height=\"317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-b.png 510w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-b-300x186.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-c.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-35986\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-c.png\" alt=\"bist-100-24-eylul 2014-c\" width=\"510\" height=\"317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-c.png 510w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-c-300x186.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn yine y\u00fcksek dalgalar\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir g\u00fcnd\u00fc. Yukar\u0131daki grafiklerden ilki 60 dk&#8217;l\u0131k, ortadaki\u00a0de endeksin d\u00fcn g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki hareketlerini g\u00f6steren 1&#8243; dk&#8217;l\u0131k grafik. En altaki grafik ise dolar\/TL kurunun bankalar aras\u0131 piyasadaki de\u011ferini g\u00f6steriyor. Alttaki iki grafikte sabah saat 09:00&#8217;dan itibaren seans sonuna do\u011fru olu\u015fan hareketlere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda, BIST-100 ile $\/TL kuru aras\u0131ndaki ters ili\u015fki net bir \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Asl\u0131nda \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn bu ili\u015fki biraz zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc vermi\u015fti ama d\u00fcn Avrupa&#8217;dan gelen k\u00f6t\u00fc PMI verileri sonras\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f borsalardaki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketler de endeksin kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131nda etkili oldu. BIST-100 endeksi 76.500&#8217;\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerinde kapand\u0131. \u00a0Finans literat\u00fcr\u00fcndeki &#8220;random walk&#8221; (rasgele hareket) \u00f6rneklerini ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bu durum son bir haftad\u0131r \u00e7ok belirginle\u015fti. BIST-100&#8217;\u00fc tahmin etmek i\u00e7in $\/TL kurunu tahmin etmeniz gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-35987\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-d.png\" alt=\"bist-100-24-eylul 2014-d\" width=\"510\" height=\"317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-d.png 510w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/bist-100-24-eylul-2014-d-300x186.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn bankalararas\u0131 piyasan\u0131n kapand\u0131\u011f\u0131 an\u0131, yukar\u0131daki USDTRY grafi\u011finde dikey \u00e7izgi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz. O saatten bu yana kur 2.24&#8217;e yakla\u015f\u0131p 2.2360 ile 2.24 aras\u0131nda hareket etti. Bu sabah itibariyle 2.2363 seviyesinde bulunuyor. D\u0131\u015f piyasalara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise, ABD borsa endeksleri y\u00fczde 0.60 civar\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybettiler. Bu sabah ABD vadelileri y\u00fczde 0.12 yukar\u0131da bulunuyor. Asya cephesinde ise Japonya (Nikkei) hari\u00e7 genelde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketler var. Seans a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131na kadar $\/TL kuru gev\u015feyebilir ve yine d\u00fcnk\u00fcne benzer yukar\u0131 hareketle g\u00fcne ba\u015flayabiliriz. Fakat sonras\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmek i\u00e7in kuru izlemek gerekiyor. \u00a0$\/TL kurunda en az\u0131ndan 2.24&#8217;\u00fcn \u00fczerinde olmamam\u0131z olumlu. Petrol\u00fcn ve ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k faizlerinin geriliyor olmas\u0131 kur \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 bir nebze hafifletiyor. \u00a0Yine de BIST-100 endeksi 76.500 gibi tehlikeli bir b\u00f6lgede bulunuyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda kademeler bo\u015falabilir ve 74.500-75.000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 test edilebilir. Fakat \u015fu ana kadarki i\u015flemlere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda bu t\u00fcr bir geli\u015fme olursa, piyasa hisseler yeterince ucuzlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in al\u0131ma ge\u00e7ebilir. Bu a\u015famada 76.500&#8217;\u00fcn a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131p k\u0131r\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda bir fikrim yok. Az \u00f6nce s\u00f6yledi\u011fim \u00fczere random walk d\u00f6neminde bunu tahmin etmek i\u00e7in yaz\u0131-tura atmak daha faydal\u0131 olabilir. Bu sabah i\u015finize yarayacak bir \u015fey s\u00f6yleyemiyorum. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc piyasalar r\u00fczgara g\u00f6re hareket ediyor. Sadece Banka hisselerinin, 76.500 seviyesine g\u00f6re, g\u00f6receli olarak yukar\u0131da kapatmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00a0olumlu bir sinyal olarak de\u011ferlendirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1-2 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre i\u00e7in bundan sonraki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6ndeki hareketlerde kademeli olarak beklentisi iyi olan hisselerde al\u0131m d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. \u00a0Sa\u011fl\u0131cakla kal\u0131n\u0131z&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn yine y\u00fcksek dalgalar\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir g\u00fcnd\u00fc. Yukar\u0131daki grafiklerden ilki 60 dk&#8217;l\u0131k, ortadaki\u00a0de endeksin d\u00fcn g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki hareketlerini g\u00f6steren 1&#8243; dk&#8217;l\u0131k grafik. En altaki grafik&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[769,715],"class_list":["post-35983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35983","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35983"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35983\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}