{"id":3505,"date":"2011-08-02T09:49:55","date_gmt":"2011-08-02T06:49:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=3505"},"modified":"2011-08-05T23:46:56","modified_gmt":"2011-08-05T20:46:56","slug":"100-tusiad-ceosunun-gelecek-beklentisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/100-tusiad-ceosunun-gelecek-beklentisi\/","title":{"rendered":"100 T\u00dcS\u0130AD CEO&#8217;sunun gelecek beklentisi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00dcS\u0130AD, 100 CEO&#8217;nun k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fczerine 3 ay ve 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in beklentilerini ortaya koyduklar\u0131 anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re CEO&#8217;lar 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde de, 12\u00a0 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde de T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin k\u00fcresel ekonomiden daha iyi performans g\u00f6sterece\u011fine inand\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyorlar. &#8220;Temkinli iyimserlik&#8221; sergileyen CEO&#8217;lar temel ekonomik g\u00f6stergelerde de beklentilere paralel\u00a0 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncede olduklar\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyorlar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3176484867\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Hemen her kurumun ve STK&#8217;n\u0131n \u00fcyelerinin &#8220;Yar\u0131n beklentilerini&#8221; ortaya koyan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 yapmalar\u0131, belirsizli\u011fin ortadan kalkmas\u0131 ve g\u00fcven ortam\u0131n\u0131n yarat\u0131lmas\u0131na katk\u0131da bulunur. O nedenle T\u00dcS\u0130AD&#8217;\u0131n 100 CEO&#8217;dan olu\u015fan Forumunun \u00fc\u00e7 ay ve 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye ve d\u00fcnya ekonomisi beklentilerini i\u00e7eren anketi \u00f6nemli sonu\u00e7lar ortaya koymaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>-T\u00dcS\u0130AD CEO&#8217;lar\u0131na g\u00f6re hem \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde, hem de 12 ay \u00f6tesinde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, K\u00fcresel ekonomiden pozitif ayr\u0131\u015fma i\u00e7ersinde olacakt\u0131r. Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131\u00a0 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde de 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde de olumlu yada olumsuz y\u00f6ne\u00a0 do\u011fru b\u00fcy\u00fck bir beklentiyi ortaya koymamaktad\u0131r. Ancak,\u00a0 K\u00fcresel ekonominin \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde olumlu olaca\u011f\u0131na inanan hi\u00e7bir CEO yokken, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde bu d\u00f6nede iyile\u015fme olaca\u011f\u0131na inanan CEO oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 11&#8217;dir. 12 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in de K\u00fcresel ekonominin daha olumlu olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 32 iken, bizim ekonomimiz i\u00e7in bu d\u00f6nemin daha olumlu olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 42&#8217;dir. Her iki d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in de T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde olumsuzluk beklentisi y\u00fczde 21 iken, K\u00fcresel ekonomide ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde olumsuzluk beklentisi y\u00fczde 37, 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemdeki beklenti ise bizim ekonomimizdeki gibi y\u00fczde 21&#8217;dir.<\/p>\n<p>-Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra CEO&#8217;lar\u0131n anket yan\u0131tlar\u0131nda 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u00fclkemizde istihdamda daha olumlu bir tablo olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler y\u00fczde 21 iken bu oran 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde h\u0131zla y\u00fckselerek y\u00fczde53&#8217;e ula\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde yeni yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma e\u011filimi y\u00fczde 26 iken, 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde bu da y\u00fczde 47 oran\u0131na y\u00fckselmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>-Son g\u00fcnlerde d\u00f6vizdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 hareket nedeniyle \u00e7ok sorulmaya ba\u015flanan dolar fiyat\u0131, faiz gibi konularda da CEO&#8217;lar y\u0131lsonu ve gelecek y\u0131l beklentilerini ortaya koyuyorlar. CEO&#8217;lar\u0131n bu y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri y\u00fczde 6, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in beklentileri ise y\u00fczde 5.2. Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde bu y\u0131l enflasyon beklentileri 7.4, gelecek y\u0131l beklentileri de 6.8. Dolar kurunun bu y\u0131l 1.62, gelecek y\u0131l 1.69 olaca\u011f\u0131 tahminini ortaya koyuyorlar. Hazine bonosu g\u00f6sterge bile\u015fik faizinin bu y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 8.7 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, gelecek y\u0131l sonunda da ayn\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 tahminini yap\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn bu tahminler T\u00dcS\u0130AD CEO&#8217;lar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomimizin k\u00fcresel ekonomiden biraz daha iyi bir performans i\u00e7inde, beklentilere paralel olarak, temkinli bir iyimserlik i\u00e7inde y\u00fcr\u00fcyece\u011fine inan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131\u00a0 ortaya koyuyor.\u00a0 Bir iyile\u015fme olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ama b\u00fcy\u00fck bir s\u0131\u00e7rama beklenmemesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>Yeni d\u00f6nemde yat\u0131r\u0131m ortam\u0131nda geli\u015fme i\u00e7in Hukuki altyap\u0131daki belirsizli\u011fin ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve vergi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6nerilerinde bulunuyorlar. Bu alanlarda reformlar\u0131n hayata ge\u00e7irilmesini \u00f6neriyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00dcS\u0130AD CEO anketi \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu \u00fclkenin \u00f6nde gelen kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neticileri olan ki\u015filerin beklentileri ortaya koyan bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma olarak \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge. Ve do\u011fal olarak bu CEO&#8217;lar\u0131n bireysel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri olmaktan \u00f6te kurumlar\u0131nda yap\u0131lan \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na dayan\u0131yor. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6nemli bir veri taban\u0131na dayan\u0131yor ve yol g\u00f6sterici nitelik ta\u015f\u0131yor. O nedenle beklenti sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 kadar, yat\u0131r\u0131m ortam\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in ortaya koyduklar\u0131 \u00f6neriler de \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin bu \u00f6nerileri dikkate al\u0131p diyalog i\u00e7ersinde yeni \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcr\u00fctmesi yerinde olacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3570020660\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc daha iyi g\u00f6rebilmemiz i\u00e7in hem di\u011fer STK&#8217;lar\u0131n hem da sekt\u00f6rel kurulu\u015flar\u0131n kendi \u00fcyeleri\u00a0 aras\u0131nda benzeri anketler yaparak a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 faydal\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00dcS\u0130AD, 100 CEO&#8217;nun k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fczerine 3 ay ve 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in beklentilerini ortaya koyduklar\u0131 anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re CEO&#8217;lar&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":903,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3505","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3505"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3505\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/903"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3505"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3505"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3505"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}