{"id":34582,"date":"2014-07-04T09:06:54","date_gmt":"2014-07-04T06:06:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=34582"},"modified":"2014-07-04T09:17:39","modified_gmt":"2014-07-04T06:17:39","slug":"ihracatda-artis-devam-ediyor-tufede-ise-yilsonu-hedefi-zorlasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ihracatda-artis-devam-ediyor-tufede-ise-yilsonu-hedefi-zorlasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130smet Demirkol &#8211; \u0130hracat&#8217;da art\u0131\u015f devam ediyor, y\u0131lsonu T\u00dcFE hedefi ise zorla\u015f\u0131yor."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>T\u00fcrkiye, 2014\u2019\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fini, % 4,3 gibi y\u00fcksek bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ile kapatt\u0131. Bu art\u0131\u015fda \u015f\u00fcphesiz ocak ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretiminin % 7,4 olarak \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015ftir.<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-373481234\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile sanayi \u00fcretimi ve kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamikleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan son derece dikkatle izlenmektedir. \u0130lk 7 ayl\u0131k zaman diliminde % 7 \u00fczerinde sanayi \u00fcretiminin art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 Ocak\u2019dan bu yana g\u00f6remedik ancak, y\u0131lsonu b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi % 3,8 &#8211; %4 ,2 civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir.<br \/>\nHat\u0131rlarsan\u0131z, 28 ocak Sal\u0131 ak\u015fam\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizi ve faiz koridorunda y\u00fckseli\u015fe giderek, dolar talebini k\u0131rabilmi\u015f ve Dolar \/ TL 2,40 seviyelerinden 2,12 seviyelerine kadar gerilemi\u015fti. Di\u011fer yandan d\u00f6vizde, 2013 senesine g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f T\u00fcrkiyenin \u00f6demeler dengesi ve cari a\u00e7\u0131k hesab\u0131n\u0131 olumlu y\u00f6nde etkilemeye devam ediyor. T\u00fcrkiyenin ilk 6 ayl\u0131k ihracat\u0131, 80 milyar $\u2019a y\u00fckselmi\u015f ( T\u0130M Haziran verileri eklenmi\u015ftir ) , ithalat\u0131 ise ilk 5 ayda 99 milyar $\u2019a gerilemi\u015f durumda. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 ilk 5 ay % 68,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Yine ilk 5 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde, ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.4, ithalattaki azalma ise y\u00fczde 5.6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Be\u015f ayl\u0131k ihracat gelirimiz ise 4.6 milyar dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. 5 ayl\u0131k ithalat\u0131m\u0131z ise 5.8 milyar dolar geriledi . D\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ise ilk 5 ayda 2013 senesine g\u00f6re, 42.0 milyar dolardan 31.6 milyar dolara gerilemi\u015f durumda. Rakamlar, D\u00f6vizdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fin, ithalatda frene bas\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, ihracat da ise y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam etti\u011finin g\u00f6stergesi. Ancak unutmayal\u0131m ki, ara mal ithalat\u0131m\u0131z dolar \u00fczerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011finden, ilhracat\u0131 \u20ac \u00fczerinden yapmam\u0131za ra\u011fmen, girdi maliyetleri dolar baz\u0131nda oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi y\u00fckselmeye devam ediyor ki T\u00dcFE haziran enflasyonunu da hesaba katt\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda % 9,16 seviyelerinde. Her ne kadar Merkez Bankas\u0131, Haziran sonras\u0131, enflasyonda bir gerileme olabilece\u011fini belirtse bile \u015fu an ki rakamlar T\u00dcFE\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesi, \u00f6zellikle i\u015flenmemi\u015f g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n devam etmesi ve Dolar\u0131n baz etkisini \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda hissetmeye devam etmemiz, y\u0131lsonu T\u00dcFE beklentimi % 8,0 &#8211; %9,5 band\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Dr. \u0130smet DEM\u0130RKOL<br \/>\nEkonomist \u2013 Akademisyen<br \/>\n<a class=\"twitter-timeline\" data-width=\"640\" data-height=\"960\" data-dnt=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/drismetdemirkol?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">Tweets by drismetdemirkol<\/a><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\nhttp:\/\/bigyatirim.blogspot.com\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye, 2014\u2019\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fini, % 4,3 gibi y\u00fcksek bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ile kapatt\u0131. Bu art\u0131\u015fda \u015f\u00fcphesiz ocak ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretiminin % 7,4 olarak \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ilk&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,917],"class_list":["post-34582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-ismet-demirkol-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34582"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34582\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}